---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
_id: '22442'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Mountainous running water ecosystems are vulnerable to climate change with
major changes coming from warming temperatures. Species distribution will be affected
and some species are anticipated to be winners (increasing their range) or losers
(at risk of extinction). Climate change vulnerability is seldom integrated when
assessing threat status for lists of species at risk (Red Lists), even though
this might appear an important addition in the current context. The main objective
of our study was to assess the potential vulnerability of Ephemeroptera (E), Plecoptera
(P) and Trichoptera (T) species to global warming in a Swiss mountainous region
by supplementing Species Distribution Models (SDMs) with a trait-based approach,
using available historical occurrence and environmental data and to compare our
outcomes with the Swiss National Red List. First, we used nine different modelling
techniques and topographic, land use, climatic and hydrological variables as predictors
of EPT species distribution. The shape of the response curves of the species for
the environmental variables in the nine modelling techniques, together with three
biological and ecological traits were used to assess the potential vulnerability
of each species to climate change. The joint use of SDMs and trait approach appeared
complementary and even though discrepancies were highlighted between SDMs and
trait analyses, groups of potential “winners” and “losers” were raised out. Plecoptera
appeared as the most vulnerable group to global warming. Divergences between current
threat status of species and our results pointed out the need to integrate climate
change vulnerability in Red List assessments.
article_number: '636'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Anne-Laure
full_name: Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure
last_name: Besacier Monbertrand
- first_name: Pablo
full_name: Timoner, Pablo
last_name: Timoner
- first_name: Kazi
full_name: Rahman, Kazi
last_name: Rahman
- first_name: Paolo
full_name: Burlando, Paolo
last_name: Burlando
- first_name: Simone
full_name: Fatichi, Simone
id: cf8e546b-a9b0-11f0-a43b-aa89ed1b56d6
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Yves
full_name: Gonseth, Yves
last_name: Gonseth
- first_name: Frédéric
full_name: Moser, Frédéric
last_name: Moser
- first_name: Emmanuel
full_name: Castella, Emmanuel
last_name: Castella
- first_name: Anthony
full_name: Lehmann, Anthony
last_name: Lehmann
citation:
ama: 'Besacier Monbertrand A-L, Timoner P, Rahman K, et al. Assessing the vulnerability
of aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
presence-only data with species traits. Water. 2019;11(4). doi:10.3390/w11040636'
apa: 'Besacier Monbertrand, A.-L., Timoner, P., Rahman, K., Burlando, P., Fatichi,
S., Gonseth, Y., … Lehmann, A. (2019). Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic
macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
presence-only data with species traits. Water. MDPI. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636'
chicago: 'Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure, Pablo Timoner, Kazi Rahman, Paolo Burlando,
Simone Fatichi, Yves Gonseth, Frédéric Moser, Emmanuel Castella, and Anthony Lehmann.
“Assessing the Vulnerability of Aquatic Macroinvertebrates to Climate Warming
in a Mountainous Watershed: Supplementing Presence-Only Data with Species Traits.”
Water. MDPI, 2019. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636.'
ieee: 'A.-L. Besacier Monbertrand et al., “Assessing the vulnerability of
aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
presence-only data with species traits,” Water, vol. 11, no. 4. MDPI, 2019.'
ista: 'Besacier Monbertrand A-L, Timoner P, Rahman K, Burlando P, Fatichi S, Gonseth
Y, Moser F, Castella E, Lehmann A. 2019. Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic
macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
presence-only data with species traits. Water. 11(4), 636.'
mla: 'Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure, et al. “Assessing the Vulnerability of Aquatic
Macroinvertebrates to Climate Warming in a Mountainous Watershed: Supplementing
Presence-Only Data with Species Traits.” Water, vol. 11, no. 4, 636, MDPI,
2019, doi:10.3390/w11040636.'
short: A.-L. Besacier Monbertrand, P. Timoner, K. Rahman, P. Burlando, S. Fatichi,
Y. Gonseth, F. Moser, E. Castella, A. Lehmann, Water 11 (2019).
das_tickbox: '1'
date_created: 2026-07-27T12:30:23Z
date_published: 2019-03-27T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-07-30T06:58:18Z
day: '27'
ddc:
- '550'
doi: 10.3390/w11040636
extern: '1'
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 11'
issue: '4'
keyword:
- Species Distribution Models
- ensemble forecasting
- Swiss Alps
- climate change
- red lists
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636
month: '03'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Water
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 2073-4441
publication_status: published
publisher: MDPI
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming
in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing presence-only data with species traits'
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 11
year: '2019'
...
---
OA_type: closed access
_id: '22521'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: "A fully distributed hydrological analysis at scales significant for water
management for present-day, and\r\nprojected future climate conditions is presented
for a catchment in the Alps. We selected the upper Rhone\r\nbasin (Switzerland)
as a test case for understanding anthropogenic impacts including climate change
on\r\nwater resources and flood risk in the Alpine area. The upper Rhone basin
contains reservoirs, river diversions and irrigated areas offering the opportunity
to study the interaction between climate change effects\r\nand hydraulic infrastructure.
Anthropogenic disturbances of the flow regime were implemented in detail\r\nin
the hydrological analysis. We downscaled climate model realizations using a methodology
that\r\naccounts for the uncertainty in climate change projections related to
the stochastic variability of precipitation and air temperature. We showed how
climate change effects on streamflow propagate from high\r\nelevation headwater
catchments to the river in the main valley by analyzing changes in several hydrological
metrics and at various temporal scales across 297 control sections. Changes in
the natural hydrological regime imposed by the existing hydraulic infrastructure
are likely larger than climate change\r\nsignals expected by the middle of the
21st century in most of the river network. Despite a strong uncertainty induced
by stochastic climate variability, we identified an elevational dependence of
climate\r\nchange impacts with a severe reduction in streamflow due to the missing
contribution of water from\r\nice melt at high-elevation and a dampened effect
downstream. Reduced ice cover and ice melt are likely\r\nto have significant implications
for hydropower production. The impacts can emerge without any additional climate
warming. A decrease of August–September discharge and an increase of hourly and
daily\r\nmaximum flows appear as plausible projected change for the most part
of the catchment. However, it is\r\nunlikely that major changes in total runoff
for the entire upper Rhone basin will occur in the next four\r\ndecades."
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Simone
full_name: Fatichi, Simone
id: cf8e546b-a9b0-11f0-a43b-aa89ed1b56d6
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: S.
full_name: Rimkus, S.
last_name: Rimkus
- first_name: P.
full_name: Burlando, P.
last_name: Burlando
- first_name: R.
full_name: Bordoy, R.
last_name: Bordoy
- first_name: P.
full_name: Molnar, P.
last_name: Molnar
citation:
ama: Fatichi S, Rimkus S, Burlando P, Bordoy R, Molnar P. High-resolution distributed
analysis of climate and anthropogenic changes on the hydrology of an Alpine catchment.
Journal of Hydrology. 2015;525:362-382. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.036
apa: Fatichi, S., Rimkus, S., Burlando, P., Bordoy, R., & Molnar, P. (2015).
High-resolution distributed analysis of climate and anthropogenic changes on the
hydrology of an Alpine catchment. Journal of Hydrology. Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.036
chicago: Fatichi, Simone, S. Rimkus, P. Burlando, R. Bordoy, and P. Molnar. “High-Resolution
Distributed Analysis of Climate and Anthropogenic Changes on the Hydrology of
an Alpine Catchment.” Journal of Hydrology. Elsevier, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.036.
ieee: S. Fatichi, S. Rimkus, P. Burlando, R. Bordoy, and P. Molnar, “High-resolution
distributed analysis of climate and anthropogenic changes on the hydrology of
an Alpine catchment,” Journal of Hydrology, vol. 525. Elsevier, pp. 362–382,
2015.
ista: Fatichi S, Rimkus S, Burlando P, Bordoy R, Molnar P. 2015. High-resolution
distributed analysis of climate and anthropogenic changes on the hydrology of
an Alpine catchment. Journal of Hydrology. 525, 362–382.
mla: Fatichi, Simone, et al. “High-Resolution Distributed Analysis of Climate and
Anthropogenic Changes on the Hydrology of an Alpine Catchment.” Journal of
Hydrology, vol. 525, Elsevier, 2015, pp. 362–82, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.036.
short: S. Fatichi, S. Rimkus, P. Burlando, R. Bordoy, P. Molnar, Journal of Hydrology
525 (2015) 362–382.
das_tickbox: '1'
date_created: 2026-07-27T12:30:24Z
date_published: 2015-06-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-08-06T08:04:28Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.036
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 525'
keyword:
- Climate change
- Water resources
- Stochastic approaches
- Ice melt
- Alps
- Hydrological modeling
language:
- iso: eng
month: '06'
oa_version: None
page: 362-382
publication: Journal of Hydrology
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 1879-2707
issn:
- 0022-1694
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: High-resolution distributed analysis of climate and anthropogenic changes on
the hydrology of an Alpine catchment
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 525
year: '2015'
...