---
_id: '14938'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: High elevation headwater catchments are complex hydrological systems that
seasonally buffer water and release it in the form of snow and ice melt, modulating
downstream runoff regimes and water availability. In High Mountain Asia (HMA),
where a wide range of climates from semi-arid to monsoonal exist, the importance
of the cryospheric contributions to the water budget varies with the amount and
seasonal distribution of precipitation. Losses due to evapotranspiration and sublimation
are to date largely unquantified components of the water budget in such catchments,
although they can be comparable in magnitude to glacier melt contributions to
streamflow. 
Here, we simulate the hydrology of three high elevation headwater
catchments in distinct climates in HMA over 10 years using an ecohydrological
model geared towards high-mountain areas including snow and glaciers, forced with
reanalysis data. 
Our results show that evapotranspiration and sublimation
together are most important at the semi-arid site, Kyzylsu, on the northernmost
slopes of the Pamir mountain range. Here, the evaporative loss amounts to 28%
of the water throughput, which we define as the total water added to, or removed
from the water balance within a year. In comparison, evaporative losses are 19%
at the Central Himalayan site Langtang and 13% at the wettest site, 24K, on the
Southeastern Tibetan Plateau. At the three sites, respectively, sublimation removes
15%, 13% and 6% of snowfall, while evapotranspiration removes the equivalent of
76%, 28% and 19% of rainfall. In absolute terms, and across a comparable elevation
range, the highest ET flux is 413 mm yr-1 at 24K, while the highest sublimation
flux is 91 mm yr-1 at Kyzylsu. During warm and dry years, glacier melt was found
to only partially compensate for the annual supply deficit.
acknowledgement: "We would like to thank the team at the Center for the Research of
Glaciers, Tajik National Academy of Sciences, Abduhamid Kayumov, Khusrav Kabutov,
Ardamehr Halimov, among others, for their invaluable support over multiple field
seasons in Kyzylsu. We thank Wei Yang, Zhao Xhuanxi and Zhen Cheng from the Institute
of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, for facilitating and supporting
fieldwork and for sharing crucial data from the Parlung 24K catchment. We thank
Reeju Shrestha and Himalayan Research Expeditions for their great support in Langtang.
We extend our thanks to Jakob Steiner and the team at ICIMOD for their relentless
efforts in data acquisition and curation in Langtang. Additionally, we are indebted
to Masashi Niwano from the Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological
Agency, for providing NHM atmospheric simulation outputs, which proved very valuable
in the downscaling process.\r\nThis project has received funding from the European
Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation
program Grant Agreements No. 772751 (RAVEN, Rapid mass losses of debris-covered
glaciers in High Mountain Asia). Further funding was provided by JSPS-SNSF (Japan
Society for the Promotion of Science and Swiss National Science Foundation) Bilateral
Programmes project (HOPE, High-elevation precipitation in High Mountain Asia; Grant
183633). Fieldwork support for Tajikistan was received from the Swiss Polar Institute
Flagship Programme PAMIR, SPI-FLAG-2021-001. The project also received funding from
the ESA and NRSCC Dragon 5 cooperation project 'Cryosphere-hydrosphere interactions
of the Asian water towers: using remote sensing to drive hyper-resolution ecohydrological
modeling' (grant no. 59199). The National Natural Science Foundation of China (41961134035)
financially supported the data collection at 24K."
article_number: '044057'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Stefan
full_name: Fugger, Stefan
id: 86698d64-c4c6-11ee-af02-cdf1e6a7d31f
last_name: Fugger
- first_name: Thomas
full_name: Shaw, Thomas
id: 3caa3f91-1f03-11ee-96ce-e0e553054d6e
last_name: Shaw
orcid: 0000-0001-7640-6152
- first_name: Achille
full_name: Jouberton, Achille
last_name: Jouberton
- first_name: Evan
full_name: Miles, Evan
last_name: Miles
- first_name: Pascal
full_name: Buri, Pascal
id: 317987aa-9421-11ee-ac5a-b941b041abba
last_name: Buri
- first_name: Michael
full_name: McCarthy, Michael
id: 22a2674a-61ce-11ee-94b5-d18813baf16f
last_name: McCarthy
- first_name: Catriona Louise
full_name: Fyffe, Catriona Louise
id: 001b0422-8d15-11ed-bc51-cab6c037a228
last_name: Fyffe
- first_name: Simone
full_name: Fatichi, Simone
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Marin
full_name: Kneib, Marin
last_name: Kneib
- first_name: Peter
full_name: Molnar, Peter
last_name: Molnar
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
orcid: 0000-0002-5554-8087
citation:
ama: Fugger S, Shaw T, Jouberton A, et al. Hydrological regimes and evaporative
flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental
Research Letters. 2024;19. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0
apa: Fugger, S., Shaw, T., Jouberton, A., Miles, E., Buri, P., McCarthy, M., … Pellicciotti,
F. (2024). Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic
ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0
chicago: Fugger, Stefan, Thomas Shaw, Achille Jouberton, Evan Miles, Pascal Buri,
Michael McCarthy, Catriona Louise Fyffe, et al. “Hydrological Regimes and Evaporative
Flux Partitioning at the Climatic Ends of High Mountain Asia.” Environmental
Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0.
ieee: S. Fugger et al., “Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning
at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia,” Environmental Research Letters,
vol. 19. IOP Publishing, 2024.
ista: Fugger S, Shaw T, Jouberton A, Miles E, Buri P, McCarthy M, Fyffe CL, Fatichi
S, Kneib M, Molnar P, Pellicciotti F. 2024. Hydrological regimes and evaporative
flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research
Letters. 19, 044057.
mla: Fugger, Stefan, et al. “Hydrological Regimes and Evaporative Flux Partitioning
at the Climatic Ends of High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters,
vol. 19, 044057, IOP Publishing, 2024, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0.
short: S. Fugger, T. Shaw, A. Jouberton, E. Miles, P. Buri, M. McCarthy, C.L. Fyffe,
S. Fatichi, M. Kneib, P. Molnar, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental Research Letters
19 (2024).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2024-02-05T09:01:11Z
date_published: 2024-04-09T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-04T11:57:57Z
day: '09'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: FrPe
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad25a0
external_id:
isi:
- '001198892300001'
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: 27999359b51c30fec6d81e48cdf0ee0d
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2024-07-22T09:14:44Z
date_updated: 2024-07-22T09:14:44Z
file_id: '17295'
file_name: 2024_EnvironmResearch_Fugger.pdf
file_size: 4433401
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2024-07-22T09:14:44Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 19'
isi: 1
keyword:
- Public Health
- Environmental and Occupational Health
- General Environmental Science
- Renewable Energy
- Sustainability and the Environment
language:
- iso: eng
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
month: '04'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Environmental Research Letters
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1748-9326
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends
of High Mountain Asia
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 317138e5-6ab7-11ef-aa6d-ffef3953e345
volume: 19
year: '2024'
...
---
_id: '14851'
abstract:
- lang: ger
text: Die Quantenrotation ist ein spannendes Phänomen, das in vielen verschiedenen
Systemen auftritt, von Molekülen und Atomen bis hin zu subatomaren Teilchen wie
Neutronen und Protonen. Durch den Einsatz von starken Laserpulsen ist es möglich,
die mathematisch anspruchsvolle Topologie der Rotation von Molekülen aufzudecken
und topologisch geschützte Zustände zu erzeugen, die unerwartetes Verhalten zeigen.
Diese Entdeckungen könnten Auswirkungen auf die Molekülphysik und physikalische
Chemie haben und die Entwicklung neuer Technologien ermöglichen. Die Verbindung
von Quantenrotation und Topologie stellt ein aufregendes, interdisziplinäres Forschungsfeld
dar und bietet neue Wege zur Kontrolle und Nutzung von quantenmechanischen Phänomenen.
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Volker
full_name: Karle, Volker
id: D7C012AE-D7ED-11E9-95E8-1EC5E5697425
last_name: Karle
orcid: 0000-0002-6963-0129
- first_name: Mikhail
full_name: Lemeshko, Mikhail
id: 37CB05FA-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
last_name: Lemeshko
orcid: 0000-0002-6990-7802
citation:
ama: Karle V, Lemeshko M. Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten. Physik
in unserer Zeit. 2024;55(1):28-33. doi:10.1002/piuz.202301690
apa: Karle, V., & Lemeshko, M. (2024). Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender
Quanten. Physik in unserer Zeit. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/piuz.202301690
chicago: Karle, Volker, and Mikhail Lemeshko. “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender
Quanten.” Physik in unserer Zeit. Wiley, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/piuz.202301690.
ieee: V. Karle and M. Lemeshko, “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten,”
Physik in unserer Zeit, vol. 55, no. 1. Wiley, pp. 28–33, 2024.
ista: Karle V, Lemeshko M. 2024. Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten.
Physik in unserer Zeit. 55(1), 28–33.
mla: Karle, Volker, and Mikhail Lemeshko. “Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender
Quanten.” Physik in unserer Zeit, vol. 55, no. 1, Wiley, 2024, pp. 28–33,
doi:10.1002/piuz.202301690.
short: V. Karle, M. Lemeshko, Physik in unserer Zeit 55 (2024) 28–33.
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2024-01-22T08:19:36Z
date_published: 2024-01-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-04-07T11:48:52Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '530'
department:
- _id: MiLe
doi: 10.1002/piuz.202301690
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: 3051dadcf9bc57da97e36b647c596ab1
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z
date_updated: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z
file_id: '14878'
file_name: 2024_PhysikZeit_Karle.pdf
file_size: 1155244
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2024-01-23T12:18:07Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 55'
issue: '1'
keyword:
- General Earth and Planetary Sciences
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: ger
month: '01'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
page: 28-33
publication: Physik in unserer Zeit
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 1521-3943
issn:
- 0031-9252
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
related_material:
record:
- id: '19393'
relation: dissertation_contains
status: public
status: public
title: Die faszinierende Topologie rotierender Quanten
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 3E5EF7F0-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 55
year: '2024'
...
---
_id: '12573'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Supraglacial debris strongly modulates glacier melt rates and can be decisive
for ice dynamics and mountain hydrology. It is ubiquitous in High-Mountain Asia,
yet because its thickness and supply rate from local topography are poorly known,
our ability to forecast regional glacier change and streamflow is limited. Here
we combined remote sensing and numerical modelling to resolve supraglacial debris
thickness by altitude for 4689 glaciers in High-Mountain Asia, and debris-supply
rate to 4141 of those glaciers. Our results reveal extensively thin supraglacial
debris and high spatial variability in both debris thickness and supply rate.
Debris-supply rate increases with the temperature and slope of debris-supply slopes
regionally, and debris thickness increases as ice flow decreases locally. Our
centennial-scale estimates of debris-supply rate are typically an order of magnitude
or more lower than millennial-scale estimates of headwall-erosion rate from Beryllium-10
cosmogenic nuclides, potentially reflecting episodic debris supply to the region’s
glaciers.
article_number: '269'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Michael
full_name: McCarthy, Michael
last_name: McCarthy
- first_name: Evan
full_name: Miles, Evan
last_name: Miles
- first_name: Marin
full_name: Kneib, Marin
last_name: Kneib
- first_name: Pascal
full_name: Buri, Pascal
last_name: Buri
- first_name: Stefan
full_name: Fugger, Stefan
last_name: Fugger
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
citation:
ama: McCarthy M, Miles E, Kneib M, Buri P, Fugger S, Pellicciotti F. Supraglacial
debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia. Communications Earth
& Environment. 2022;3. doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2
apa: McCarthy, M., Miles, E., Kneib, M., Buri, P., Fugger, S., & Pellicciotti,
F. (2022). Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia.
Communications Earth & Environment. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2
chicago: McCarthy, Michael, Evan Miles, Marin Kneib, Pascal Buri, Stefan Fugger,
and Francesca Pellicciotti. “Supraglacial Debris Thickness and Supply Rate in
High-Mountain Asia.” Communications Earth & Environment. Springer Nature,
2022. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2.
ieee: M. McCarthy, E. Miles, M. Kneib, P. Buri, S. Fugger, and F. Pellicciotti,
“Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia,” Communications
Earth & Environment, vol. 3. Springer Nature, 2022.
ista: McCarthy M, Miles E, Kneib M, Buri P, Fugger S, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Supraglacial
debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia. Communications Earth &
Environment. 3, 269.
mla: McCarthy, Michael, et al. “Supraglacial Debris Thickness and Supply Rate in
High-Mountain Asia.” Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 3, 269,
Springer Nature, 2022, doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2.
short: M. McCarthy, E. Miles, M. Kneib, P. Buri, S. Fugger, F. Pellicciotti, Communications
Earth & Environment 3 (2022).
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:27Z
date_published: 2022-11-05T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-28T14:02:22Z
day: '05'
doi: 10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 3'
keyword:
- General Earth and Planetary Sciences
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00588-2
month: '11'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Communications Earth & Environment
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 2662-4435
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Supraglacial debris thickness and supply rate in High-Mountain Asia
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 3
year: '2022'
...
---
_id: '12575'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: The current Chilean megadrought has led to acute water shortages in central
Chile since 2010. Glaciers have provided vital fresh water to the region's rivers,
but the quantity, timing and sustainability of that provision remain unclear.
Here we combine in-situ, remote sensing and climate reanalysis data to show that
from 2010 to 2018 during the megadrought, unsustainable imbalance ablation of
glaciers (ablation not balanced by new snowfall) strongly buffered the late-summer
discharge of the Maipo River, a primary source of water to Santiago. If there
had been no glaciers, water availability would have been reduced from December
through May, with a 31 ± 19% decrease during March. Our results indicate that
while the annual contributions of imbalance ablation to river discharge during
the megadrought have been small compared to those from precipitation and sustainable
balance ablation, they have nevertheless been a substantial input to a hydrological
system that was already experiencing high water stress. The water-equivalent volume
of imbalance ablation generated in the Maipo Basin between 2010 and 2018 was 740
× 106 m3 (19 ± 12 mm yr−1), approximately 3.4 times the capacity of the basin's
El Yeso Reservoir. This is equivalent to 14% of Santiago's potable water use in
that time, while total glacier ablation was equivalent to 59%. We show that glacier
retreat will exacerbate river discharge deficits and further jeopardize water
availability in central Chile if precipitation deficits endure, and conjecture
that these effects will be amplified by climatic warming.
article_number: e2022EF002852
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Michael
full_name: McCarthy, Michael
last_name: McCarthy
- first_name: Fabienne
full_name: Meier, Fabienne
last_name: Meier
- first_name: Simone
full_name: Fatichi, Simone
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Benjamin D.
full_name: Stocker, Benjamin D.
last_name: Stocker
- first_name: Thomas E.
full_name: Shaw, Thomas E.
last_name: Shaw
- first_name: Evan
full_name: Miles, Evan
last_name: Miles
- first_name: Inés
full_name: Dussaillant, Inés
last_name: Dussaillant
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
citation:
ama: McCarthy M, Meier F, Fatichi S, et al. Glacier contributions to river discharge
during the current Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. 2022;10(10). doi:10.1029/2022ef002852
apa: McCarthy, M., Meier, F., Fatichi, S., Stocker, B. D., Shaw, T. E., Miles, E.,
… Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Glacier contributions to river discharge during the
current Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ef002852
chicago: McCarthy, Michael, Fabienne Meier, Simone Fatichi, Benjamin D. Stocker,
Thomas E. Shaw, Evan Miles, Inés Dussaillant, and Francesca Pellicciotti. “Glacier
Contributions to River Discharge during the Current Chilean Megadrought.” Earth’s
Future. American Geophysical Union, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ef002852.
ieee: M. McCarthy et al., “Glacier contributions to river discharge during
the current Chilean megadrought,” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 10. American
Geophysical Union, 2022.
ista: McCarthy M, Meier F, Fatichi S, Stocker BD, Shaw TE, Miles E, Dussaillant
I, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current
Chilean megadrought. Earth’s Future. 10(10), e2022EF002852.
mla: McCarthy, Michael, et al. “Glacier Contributions to River Discharge during
the Current Chilean Megadrought.” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no. 10, e2022EF002852,
American Geophysical Union, 2022, doi:10.1029/2022ef002852.
short: M. McCarthy, F. Meier, S. Fatichi, B.D. Stocker, T.E. Shaw, E. Miles, I.
Dussaillant, F. Pellicciotti, Earth’s Future 10 (2022).
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:49Z
date_published: 2022-10-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:55:32Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1029/2022ef002852
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 10'
issue: '10'
keyword:
- Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002852
month: '10'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Earth's Future
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 2328-4277
publication_status: published
publisher: American Geophysical Union
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Glacier contributions to river discharge during the current Chilean megadrought
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 10
year: '2022'
...
---
_id: '12576'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Glacier health across High Mountain Asia (HMA) is highly heterogeneous and
strongly governed by regional climate, which is variably influenced by monsoon
dynamics and the westerlies. We explore four decades of glacier energy and mass
balance at three climatically distinct sites across HMA by utilising a detailed
land surface model driven by bias-corrected Weather Research and Forecasting meteorological
forcing. All three glaciers have experienced long-term mass losses (ranging from
−0.04 ± 0.09 to −0.59 ± 0.20 m w.e. a−1) consistent with
widespread warming across the region. However, complex and contrasting responses
of glacier energy and mass balance to the patterns of the Indian Summer Monsoon
were evident, largely driven by the role snowfall timing, amount and phase. A
later monsoon onset generates less total snowfall to the glacier in the southeastern
Tibetan Plateau during May–June, augmenting net shortwave radiation and affecting
annual mass balance (−0.5 m w.e. on average compared to early onset years). Conversely,
timing of the monsoon’s arrival has limited impact for the Nepalese Himalaya which
is more strongly governed by the temperature and snowfall amount during the core
monsoon season. In the arid central Tibetan Plateau, a later monsoon arrival results
in a 40 mm (58%) increase of May–June snowfall on average compared to early onset
years, likely driven by the greater interaction of westerly storm events. Meanwhile,
a late monsoon cessation at this site sees an average 200 mm (192%) increase in
late summer precipitation due to monsoonal storms. A trend towards weaker intensity
monsoon conditions in recent decades, combined with long-term warming patterns,
has produced predominantly negative glacier mass balances for all sites (up to
1 m w.e. more mass loss in the Nepalese Himalaya compared to strong monsoon intensity
years) but sub-regional variability in monsoon timing can additionally complicate
this response.
article_number: '104001'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: letter_note
author:
- first_name: T E
full_name: Shaw, T E
last_name: Shaw
- first_name: E S
full_name: Miles, E S
last_name: Miles
- first_name: D
full_name: Chen, D
last_name: Chen
- first_name: A
full_name: Jouberton, A
last_name: Jouberton
- first_name: M
full_name: Kneib, M
last_name: Kneib
- first_name: S
full_name: Fugger, S
last_name: Fugger
- first_name: T
full_name: Ou, T
last_name: Ou
- first_name: H-W
full_name: Lai, H-W
last_name: Lai
- first_name: K
full_name: Fujita, K
last_name: Fujita
- first_name: W
full_name: Yang, W
last_name: Yang
- first_name: S
full_name: Fatichi, S
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
citation:
ama: Shaw TE, Miles ES, Chen D, et al. Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and
glacier response in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters.
2022;17(10). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008
apa: Shaw, T. E., Miles, E. S., Chen, D., Jouberton, A., Kneib, M., Fugger, S.,
… Pellicciotti, F. (2022). Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response
in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008
chicago: Shaw, T E, E S Miles, D Chen, A Jouberton, M Kneib, S Fugger, T Ou, et
al. “Multi-Decadal Monsoon Characteristics and Glacier Response in High Mountain
Asia.” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008.
ieee: T. E. Shaw et al., “Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier
response in High Mountain Asia,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17,
no. 10. IOP Publishing, 2022.
ista: Shaw TE, Miles ES, Chen D, Jouberton A, Kneib M, Fugger S, Ou T, Lai H-W,
Fujita K, Yang W, Fatichi S, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics
and glacier response in High Mountain Asia. Environmental Research Letters. 17(10),
104001.
mla: Shaw, T. E., et al. “Multi-Decadal Monsoon Characteristics and Glacier Response
in High Mountain Asia.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 10,
104001, IOP Publishing, 2022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008.
short: T.E. Shaw, E.S. Miles, D. Chen, A. Jouberton, M. Kneib, S. Fugger, T. Ou,
H.-W. Lai, K. Fujita, W. Yang, S. Fatichi, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental Research
Letters 17 (2022).
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:09:56Z
date_published: 2022-09-16T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:53:16Z
day: '16'
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 17'
issue: '10'
keyword:
- Public Health
- Environmental and Occupational Health
- General Environmental Science
- Renewable Energy
- Sustainability and the Environment
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9008
month: '09'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Environmental Research Letters
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1748-9326
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Multi-decadal monsoon characteristics and glacier response in High Mountain
Asia
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 17
year: '2022'
...
---
_id: '12580'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: River systems originating from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) are dominated by
runoff from snow and glacier melt and summer monsoonal rainfall. These water resources
are highly stressed as huge populations of people living in this region depend
on them, including for agriculture, domestic use, and energy production. Projections
suggest that the UIB region will be affected by considerable (yet poorly quantified)
changes to the seasonality and composition of runoff in the future, which are
likely to have considerable impacts on these supplies. Given how directly and
indirectly communities and ecosystems are dependent on these resources and the
growing pressure on them due to ever-increasing demands, the impacts of climate
change pose considerable adaptation challenges. The strong linkages between hydroclimate,
cryosphere, water resources, and human activities within the UIB suggest that
a multi- and inter-disciplinary research approach integrating the social and natural/environmental
sciences is critical for successful adaptation to ongoing and future hydrological
and climate change. Here we use a horizon scanning technique to identify the Top
100 questions related to the most pressing knowledge gaps and research priorities
in social and natural sciences on climate change and water in the UIB. These questions
are on the margins of current thinking and investigation and are clustered into
14 themes, covering three overarching topics of “governance, policy, and sustainable
solutions”, “socioeconomic processes and livelihoods”, and “integrated Earth System
processes”. Raising awareness of these cutting-edge knowledge gaps and opportunities
will hopefully encourage researchers, funding bodies, practitioners, and policy
makers to address them.
article_number: e2021EF002619
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Andrew
full_name: Orr, Andrew
last_name: Orr
- first_name: Bashir
full_name: Ahmad, Bashir
last_name: Ahmad
- first_name: Undala
full_name: Alam, Undala
last_name: Alam
- first_name: ArivudaiNambi
full_name: Appadurai, ArivudaiNambi
last_name: Appadurai
- first_name: Zareen P.
full_name: Bharucha, Zareen P.
last_name: Bharucha
- first_name: Hester
full_name: Biemans, Hester
last_name: Biemans
- first_name: Tobias
full_name: Bolch, Tobias
last_name: Bolch
- first_name: Narayan P.
full_name: Chaulagain, Narayan P.
last_name: Chaulagain
- first_name: Sanita
full_name: Dhaubanjar, Sanita
last_name: Dhaubanjar
- first_name: A. P.
full_name: Dimri, A. P.
last_name: Dimri
- first_name: Harry
full_name: Dixon, Harry
last_name: Dixon
- first_name: Hayley J.
full_name: Fowler, Hayley J.
last_name: Fowler
- first_name: Giovanna
full_name: Gioli, Giovanna
last_name: Gioli
- first_name: Sarah J.
full_name: Halvorson, Sarah J.
last_name: Halvorson
- first_name: Abid
full_name: Hussain, Abid
last_name: Hussain
- first_name: Ghulam
full_name: Jeelani, Ghulam
last_name: Jeelani
- first_name: Simi
full_name: Kamal, Simi
last_name: Kamal
- first_name: Imran S.
full_name: Khalid, Imran S.
last_name: Khalid
- first_name: Shiyin
full_name: Liu, Shiyin
last_name: Liu
- first_name: Arthur
full_name: Lutz, Arthur
last_name: Lutz
- first_name: Meeta K.
full_name: Mehra, Meeta K.
last_name: Mehra
- first_name: Evan
full_name: Miles, Evan
last_name: Miles
- first_name: Andrea
full_name: Momblanch, Andrea
last_name: Momblanch
- first_name: Veruska
full_name: Muccione, Veruska
last_name: Muccione
- first_name: Aditi
full_name: Mukherji, Aditi
last_name: Mukherji
- first_name: Daanish
full_name: Mustafa, Daanish
last_name: Mustafa
- first_name: Omaid
full_name: Najmuddin, Omaid
last_name: Najmuddin
- first_name: Mohammad N.
full_name: Nasimi, Mohammad N.
last_name: Nasimi
- first_name: Marcus
full_name: Nüsser, Marcus
last_name: Nüsser
- first_name: Vishnu P.
full_name: Pandey, Vishnu P.
last_name: Pandey
- first_name: Sitara
full_name: Parveen, Sitara
last_name: Parveen
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
- first_name: Carmel
full_name: Pollino, Carmel
last_name: Pollino
- first_name: Emily
full_name: Potter, Emily
last_name: Potter
- first_name: Mohammad R.
full_name: Qazizada, Mohammad R.
last_name: Qazizada
- first_name: Saon
full_name: Ray, Saon
last_name: Ray
- first_name: Shakil
full_name: Romshoo, Shakil
last_name: Romshoo
- first_name: Syamal K.
full_name: Sarkar, Syamal K.
last_name: Sarkar
- first_name: Amiera
full_name: Sawas, Amiera
last_name: Sawas
- first_name: Sumit
full_name: Sen, Sumit
last_name: Sen
- first_name: Attaullah
full_name: Shah, Attaullah
last_name: Shah
- first_name: M. Azeem Ali
full_name: Shah, M. Azeem Ali
last_name: Shah
- first_name: Joseph M.
full_name: Shea, Joseph M.
last_name: Shea
- first_name: Ali T.
full_name: Sheikh, Ali T.
last_name: Sheikh
- first_name: Arun B.
full_name: Shrestha, Arun B.
last_name: Shrestha
- first_name: Shresth
full_name: Tayal, Shresth
last_name: Tayal
- first_name: Snehlata
full_name: Tigala, Snehlata
last_name: Tigala
- first_name: Zeeshan T.
full_name: Virk, Zeeshan T.
last_name: Virk
- first_name: Philippus
full_name: Wester, Philippus
last_name: Wester
- first_name: James L.
full_name: Wescoat, James L.
last_name: Wescoat
citation:
ama: 'Orr A, Ahmad B, Alam U, et al. Knowledge priorities on climate change and
water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top
100 research questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s Future.
2022;10(4). doi:10.1029/2021ef002619'
apa: 'Orr, A., Ahmad, B., Alam, U., Appadurai, A., Bharucha, Z. P., Biemans, H.,
… Wescoat, J. L. (2022). Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the
Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research
questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s Future. American Geophysical
Union. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ef002619'
chicago: 'Orr, Andrew, Bashir Ahmad, Undala Alam, ArivudaiNambi Appadurai, Zareen
P. Bharucha, Hester Biemans, Tobias Bolch, et al. “Knowledge Priorities on Climate
Change and Water in the Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify
the Top 100 Research Questions in Social and Natural Sciences.” Earth’s Future.
American Geophysical Union, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021ef002619.'
ieee: 'A. Orr et al., “Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in
the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research
questions in social and natural sciences,” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no.
4. American Geophysical Union, 2022.'
ista: 'Orr A, Ahmad B, Alam U, Appadurai A, Bharucha ZP, Biemans H, Bolch T, Chaulagain
NP, Dhaubanjar S, Dimri AP, Dixon H, Fowler HJ, Gioli G, Halvorson SJ, Hussain
A, Jeelani G, Kamal S, Khalid IS, Liu S, Lutz A, Mehra MK, Miles E, Momblanch
A, Muccione V, Mukherji A, Mustafa D, Najmuddin O, Nasimi MN, Nüsser M, Pandey
VP, Parveen S, Pellicciotti F, Pollino C, Potter E, Qazizada MR, Ray S, Romshoo
S, Sarkar SK, Sawas A, Sen S, Shah A, Shah MAA, Shea JM, Sheikh AT, Shrestha AB,
Tayal S, Tigala S, Virk ZT, Wester P, Wescoat JL. 2022. Knowledge priorities on
climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin: A horizon scanning exercise
to identify the Top 100 research questions in social and natural sciences. Earth’s
Future. 10(4), e2021EF002619.'
mla: 'Orr, Andrew, et al. “Knowledge Priorities on Climate Change and Water in the
Upper Indus Basin: A Horizon Scanning Exercise to Identify the Top 100 Research
Questions in Social and Natural Sciences.” Earth’s Future, vol. 10, no.
4, e2021EF002619, American Geophysical Union, 2022, doi:10.1029/2021ef002619.'
short: A. Orr, B. Ahmad, U. Alam, A. Appadurai, Z.P. Bharucha, H. Biemans, T. Bolch,
N.P. Chaulagain, S. Dhaubanjar, A.P. Dimri, H. Dixon, H.J. Fowler, G. Gioli, S.J.
Halvorson, A. Hussain, G. Jeelani, S. Kamal, I.S. Khalid, S. Liu, A. Lutz, M.K.
Mehra, E. Miles, A. Momblanch, V. Muccione, A. Mukherji, D. Mustafa, O. Najmuddin,
M.N. Nasimi, M. Nüsser, V.P. Pandey, S. Parveen, F. Pellicciotti, C. Pollino,
E. Potter, M.R. Qazizada, S. Ray, S. Romshoo, S.K. Sarkar, A. Sawas, S. Sen, A.
Shah, M.A.A. Shah, J.M. Shea, A.T. Sheikh, A.B. Shrestha, S. Tayal, S. Tigala,
Z.T. Virk, P. Wester, J.L. Wescoat, Earth’s Future 10 (2022).
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:10:23Z
date_published: 2022-04-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:41:50Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1029/2021ef002619
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 10'
issue: '4'
keyword:
- Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002619
month: '04'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Earth's Future
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 2328-4277
publication_status: published
publisher: American Geophysical Union
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Knowledge priorities on climate change and water in the Upper Indus Basin:
A horizon scanning exercise to identify the Top 100 research questions in social
and natural sciences'
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 10
year: '2022'
...
---
_id: '12582'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Supraglacial debris covers 7% of mountain glacier area globally and generally
reduces glacier surface melt. Enhanced energy absorption at ice cliffs and supraglacial
ponds scattered across the debris surface leads these features to contribute disproportionately
to glacier-wide ablation. However, the degree to which cliffs and ponds actually
increase melt rates remains unclear, as these features have only been studied
in a detailed manner for selected locations, almost exclusively in High Mountain
Asia. In this study we model the surface energy balance for debris-covered ice,
ice cliffs, and supraglacial ponds with a set of automatic weather station records
representing the global prevalence of debris-covered glacier ice. We generate
5000 random sets of values for physical parameters using probability distributions
derived from literature, which we use to investigate relative melt rates and to
isolate the melt responses of debris, cliffs and ponds to the site-specific meteorological
forcing. Modelled sub-debris melt rates are primarily controlled by debris thickness
and thermal conductivity. At a reference thickness of 0.1 m, sub-debris melt rates
vary considerably, differing by up to a factor of four between sites, mainly attributable
to air temperature differences. We find that melt rates for ice cliffs are consistently
2–3× the melt rate for clean glacier ice, but this melt enhancement decays with
increasing clean ice melt rates. Energy absorption at supraglacial ponds is dominated
by latent heat exchange and is therefore highly sensitive to wind speed and relative
humidity, but is generally less than for clean ice. Our results provide reference
melt enhancement factors for melt modelling of debris-covered glacier sites, globally,
while highlighting the need for direct measurement of debris-covered glacier surface
characteristics, physical parameters, and local meteorological conditions at a
variety of sites around the world.
article_number: '064004'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: letter_note
author:
- first_name: E S
full_name: Miles, E S
last_name: Miles
- first_name: J F
full_name: Steiner, J F
last_name: Steiner
- first_name: P
full_name: Buri, P
last_name: Buri
- first_name: W W
full_name: Immerzeel, W W
last_name: Immerzeel
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
citation:
ama: Miles ES, Steiner JF, Buri P, Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F. Controls on the
relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces. Environmental Research
Letters. 2022;17(6). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966
apa: Miles, E. S., Steiner, J. F., Buri, P., Immerzeel, W. W., & Pellicciotti,
F. (2022). Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces.
Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966
chicago: Miles, E S, J F Steiner, P Buri, W W Immerzeel, and Francesca Pellicciotti.
“Controls on the Relative Melt Rates of Debris-Covered Glacier Surfaces.” Environmental
Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966.
ieee: E. S. Miles, J. F. Steiner, P. Buri, W. W. Immerzeel, and F. Pellicciotti,
“Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces,” Environmental
Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 6. IOP Publishing, 2022.
ista: Miles ES, Steiner JF, Buri P, Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F. 2022. Controls
on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces. Environmental Research
Letters. 17(6), 064004.
mla: Miles, E. S., et al. “Controls on the Relative Melt Rates of Debris-Covered
Glacier Surfaces.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, no. 6, 064004,
IOP Publishing, 2022, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966.
short: E.S. Miles, J.F. Steiner, P. Buri, W.W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, Environmental
Research Letters 17 (2022).
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:10:37Z
date_published: 2022-06-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-28T13:34:25Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 17'
issue: '6'
keyword:
- Public Health
- Environmental and Occupational Health
- General Environmental Science
- Renewable Energy
- Sustainability and the Environment
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6966
month: '06'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Environmental Research Letters
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1748-9326
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Controls on the relative melt rates of debris-covered glacier surfaces
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 17
year: '2022'
...
---
_id: '11447'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Empirical essays of fitness landscapes suggest that they may be rugged, that
is having multiple fitness peaks. Such fitness landscapes, those that have multiple
peaks, necessarily have special local structures, called reciprocal sign epistasis
(Poelwijk et al. in J Theor Biol 272:141–144, 2011). Here, we investigate the
quantitative relationship between the number of fitness peaks and the number of
reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Previously, it has been shown (Poelwijk
et al. in J Theor Biol 272:141–144, 2011) that pairwise reciprocal sign epistasis
is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the existence of multiple peaks.
Applying discrete Morse theory, which to our knowledge has never been used in
this context, we extend this result by giving the minimal number of reciprocal
sign epistatic interactions required to create a given number of peaks.
acknowledgement: We are grateful to Herbert Edelsbrunner and Jeferson Zapata for helpful
discussions. Open access funding provided by Austrian Science Fund (FWF). Partially
supported by the ERC Consolidator (771209–CharFL) and the FWF Austrian Science Fund
(I5127-B) grants to FAK.
article_number: '74'
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Raimundo J
full_name: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J
id: BD1DF4C4-D767-11E9-B658-BC13E6697425
last_name: Saona Urmeneta
orcid: 0000-0001-5103-038X
- first_name: Fyodor
full_name: Kondrashov, Fyodor
id: 44FDEF62-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
last_name: Kondrashov
orcid: 0000-0001-8243-4694
- first_name: Kseniia
full_name: Khudiakova, Kseniia
id: 4E6DC800-AE37-11E9-AC72-31CAE5697425
last_name: Khudiakova
orcid: 0000-0002-6246-1465
citation:
ama: Saona Urmeneta RJ, Kondrashov F, Khudiakova K. Relation between the number
of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Bulletin
of Mathematical Biology. 2022;84(8). doi:10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z
apa: Saona Urmeneta, R. J., Kondrashov, F., & Khudiakova, K. (2022). Relation
between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions.
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z
chicago: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J, Fyodor Kondrashov, and Kseniia Khudiakova.
“Relation between the Number of Peaks and the Number of Reciprocal Sign Epistatic
Interactions.” Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. Springer Nature, 2022.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z.
ieee: R. J. Saona Urmeneta, F. Kondrashov, and K. Khudiakova, “Relation between
the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions,”
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, vol. 84, no. 8. Springer Nature, 2022.
ista: Saona Urmeneta RJ, Kondrashov F, Khudiakova K. 2022. Relation between the
number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic interactions. Bulletin
of Mathematical Biology. 84(8), 74.
mla: Saona Urmeneta, Raimundo J., et al. “Relation between the Number of Peaks and
the Number of Reciprocal Sign Epistatic Interactions.” Bulletin of Mathematical
Biology, vol. 84, no. 8, 74, Springer Nature, 2022, doi:10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z.
short: R.J. Saona Urmeneta, F. Kondrashov, K. Khudiakova, Bulletin of Mathematical
Biology 84 (2022).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2022-06-17T16:16:15Z
date_published: 2022-06-17T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-04-15T08:51:10Z
day: '17'
ddc:
- '510'
- '570'
department:
- _id: GradSch
- _id: NiBa
- _id: JaMa
doi: 10.1007/s11538-022-01029-z
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
isi:
- '000812509800001'
pmid:
- '35713756'
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: 05a1fe7d10914a00c2bca9b447993a65
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z
date_updated: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z
file_id: '11455'
file_name: 2022_BulletinMathBiology_Saona.pdf
file_size: 463025
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2022-06-20T07:51:32Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 84'
isi: 1
issue: '8'
keyword:
- Computational Theory and Mathematics
- General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
- Pharmacology
- General Environmental Science
- General Biochemistry
- Genetics and Molecular Biology
- General Mathematics
- Immunology
- General Neuroscience
language:
- iso: eng
month: '06'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
pmid: 1
project:
- _id: 26580278-B435-11E9-9278-68D0E5697425
call_identifier: H2020
grant_number: '771209'
name: Characterizing the fitness landscape on population and global scales
- _id: 34e076d6-11ca-11ed-8bc3-aec76c41a181
grant_number: I05127
name: Evolutionary analysis of gene regulation
publication: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 1522-9602
issn:
- 0092-8240
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
related_material:
link:
- relation: erratum
url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01118-z
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Relation between the number of peaks and the number of reciprocal sign epistatic
interactions
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 84
year: '2022'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '9128'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: This paper reviews recent important advances in our understanding of the response
of precipitation extremes to warming from theory and from idealized cloud-resolving
simulations. A theoretical scaling for precipitation extremes has been proposed
and refined in the past decades, allowing to address separately the contributions
from the thermodynamics, the dynamics and the microphysics. Theoretical constraints,
as well as remaining uncertainties, associated with each of these three contributions
to precipitation extremes, are discussed. Notably, although to leading order precipitation
extremes seem to follow the thermodynamic theoretical expectation in idealized
simulations, considerable uncertainty remains regarding the response of the dynamics
and of the microphysics to warming, and considerable departure from this theoretical
expectation is found in observations and in more realistic simulations. We also
emphasize key outstanding questions, in particular the response of mesoscale convective
organization to warming. Observations suggest that extreme rainfall often comes
from an organized system in very moist environments. Improved understanding of
the physical processes behind convective organization is needed in order to achieve
accurate extreme rainfall prediction in our current, and in a warming climate.
article_number: '035001'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: letter_note
author:
- first_name: Caroline J
full_name: Muller, Caroline J
id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
last_name: Muller
orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
- first_name: Yukari
full_name: Takayabu, Yukari
last_name: Takayabu
citation:
ama: 'Muller CJ, Takayabu Y. Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What
have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what
remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. 2020;15(3). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130'
apa: 'Muller, C. J., & Takayabu, Y. (2020). Response of precipitation extremes
to warming: What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations,
and what remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing.
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130'
chicago: 'Muller, Caroline J, and Yukari Takayabu. “Response of Precipitation Extremes
to Warming: What Have We Learned from Theory and Idealized Cloud-Resolving Simulations,
and What Remains to Be Learned?” Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing,
2020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130.'
ieee: 'C. J. Muller and Y. Takayabu, “Response of precipitation extremes to warming:
What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and
what remains to be learned?,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15,
no. 3. IOP Publishing, 2020.'
ista: 'Muller CJ, Takayabu Y. 2020. Response of precipitation extremes to warming:
What have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and
what remains to be learned? Environmental Research Letters. 15(3), 035001.'
mla: 'Muller, Caroline J., and Yukari Takayabu. “Response of Precipitation Extremes
to Warming: What Have We Learned from Theory and Idealized Cloud-Resolving Simulations,
and What Remains to Be Learned?” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15,
no. 3, 035001, IOP Publishing, 2020, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130.'
short: C.J. Muller, Y. Takayabu, Environmental Research Letters 15 (2020).
date_created: 2021-02-15T14:07:14Z
date_published: 2020-02-18T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2024-10-15T13:49:06Z
day: '18'
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 15'
issue: '3'
keyword:
- Renewable Energy
- Sustainability and the Environment
- Public Health
- Environmental and Occupational Health
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7130
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Environmental Research Letters
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1748-9326
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: 'Response of precipitation extremes to warming: What have we learned from theory
and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?'
type: journal_article
user_id: 0043cee0-e5fc-11ee-9736-f83bc23afbf0
volume: 15
year: '2020'
...
---
_id: '10794'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Mathematical models are of fundamental importance in the understanding of
complex population dynamics. For instance, they can be used to predict the population
evolution starting from different initial conditions or to test how a system responds
to external perturbations. For this analysis to be meaningful in real applications,
however, it is of paramount importance to choose an appropriate model structure
and to infer the model parameters from measured data. While many parameter inference
methods are available for models based on deterministic ordinary differential
equations, the same does not hold for more detailed individual-based models. Here
we consider, in particular, stochastic models in which the time evolution of the
species abundances is described by a continuous-time Markov chain. These models
are governed by a master equation that is typically difficult to solve. Consequently,
traditional inference methods that rely on iterative evaluation of parameter likelihoods
are computationally intractable. The aim of this paper is to present recent advances
in parameter inference for continuous-time Markov chain models, based on a moment
closure approximation of the parameter likelihood, and to investigate how these
results can help in understanding, and ultimately controlling, complex systems
in ecology. Specifically, we illustrate through an agricultural pest case study
how parameters of a stochastic individual-based model can be identified from measured
data and how the resulting model can be used to solve an optimal control problem
in a stochastic setting. In particular, we show how the matter of determining
the optimal combination of two different pest control methods can be formulated
as a chance constrained optimization problem where the control action is modeled
as a state reset, leading to a hybrid system formulation.
acknowledgement: "The authors would like to acknowledge contributions from Baptiste
Mottet who performed preliminary analysis regarding parameter inference for the
considered case study in a student project (Mottet, 2014/2015).\r\nThe research
leading to these results has received funding from the People Programme (Marie Curie
Actions) of the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under
REA grant agreement No. [291734] and from SystemsX under the project SignalX."
article_number: '42'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Parise, Francesca
last_name: Parise
- first_name: John
full_name: Lygeros, John
last_name: Lygeros
- first_name: Jakob
full_name: Ruess, Jakob
id: 4A245D00-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
last_name: Ruess
orcid: 0000-0003-1615-3282
citation:
ama: 'Parise F, Lygeros J, Ruess J. Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based
models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study. Frontiers in
Environmental Science. 2015;3. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042'
apa: 'Parise, F., Lygeros, J., & Ruess, J. (2015). Bayesian inference for stochastic
individual-based models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study.
Frontiers in Environmental Science. Frontiers. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042'
chicago: 'Parise, Francesca, John Lygeros, and Jakob Ruess. “Bayesian Inference
for Stochastic Individual-Based Models of Ecological Systems: A Pest Control Simulation
Study.” Frontiers in Environmental Science. Frontiers, 2015. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042.'
ieee: 'F. Parise, J. Lygeros, and J. Ruess, “Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based
models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study,” Frontiers in
Environmental Science, vol. 3. Frontiers, 2015.'
ista: 'Parise F, Lygeros J, Ruess J. 2015. Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based
models of ecological systems: a pest control simulation study. Frontiers in Environmental
Science. 3, 42.'
mla: 'Parise, Francesca, et al. “Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Individual-Based
Models of Ecological Systems: A Pest Control Simulation Study.” Frontiers in
Environmental Science, vol. 3, 42, Frontiers, 2015, doi:10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042.'
short: F. Parise, J. Lygeros, J. Ruess, Frontiers in Environmental Science 3 (2015).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2022-02-25T11:42:25Z
date_published: 2015-06-10T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-04-15T06:50:01Z
day: '10'
ddc:
- '000'
- '570'
department:
- _id: ToHe
- _id: GaTk
doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2015.00042
ec_funded: 1
file:
- access_level: open_access
checksum: 26c222487564e1be02a11d688d6f769d
content_type: application/pdf
creator: dernst
date_created: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z
date_updated: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z
file_id: '10795'
file_name: 2015_FrontiersEnvironmScience_Parise.pdf
file_size: 1371201
relation: main_file
success: 1
file_date_updated: 2022-02-25T11:55:26Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: ' 3'
keyword:
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
month: '06'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: 25681D80-B435-11E9-9278-68D0E5697425
call_identifier: FP7
grant_number: '291734'
name: International IST Postdoc Fellowship Programme
publication: Frontiers in Environmental Science
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 2296-665X
publication_status: published
publisher: Frontiers
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Bayesian inference for stochastic individual-based models of ecological systems:
a pest control simulation study'
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 3
year: '2015'
...
---
_id: '12638'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Central Asian water resources largely depend on melt water generated in the
Pamir and Tien Shan mountain ranges. To estimate future water availability in
this region, it is necessary to use climate projections to estimate the future
glacier extent and volume. In this study, we evaluate the impact of uncertainty
in climate change projections on the future glacier extent in the Amu and Syr
Darya river basins. To this end we use the latest climate change projections generated
for the upcoming IPCC report (CMIP5) and, for comparison, projections used in
the fourth IPCC assessment (CMIP3). With these projections we force a regionalized
glacier mass balance model, and estimate changes in the basins' glacier extent
as a function of the glacier size distribution in the basins and projected temperature
and precipitation. This glacier mass balance model is specifically developed for
implementation in large scale hydrological models, where the spatial resolution
does not allow for simulating individual glaciers and data scarcity is an issue.
Although the CMIP5 ensemble results in greater regional warming than the CMIP3
ensemble and the range in projections for temperature as well as precipitation
is wider for the CMIP5 than for the CMIP3, the spread in projections of future
glacier extent in Central Asia is similar for both ensembles. This is because
differences in temperature rise are small during periods of maximum melt (July–September)
while differences in precipitation change are small during the period of maximum
accumulation (October–February). However, the model uncertainty due to parameter
uncertainty is high, and has roughly the same importance as uncertainty in the
climate projections. Uncertainty about the size of the decline in glacier extent
remains large, making estimates of future Central Asian glacier evolution and
downstream water availability uncertain.
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: A. F.
full_name: Lutz, A. F.
last_name: Lutz
- first_name: W. W.
full_name: Immerzeel, W. W.
last_name: Immerzeel
- first_name: A.
full_name: Gobiet, A.
last_name: Gobiet
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
- first_name: M. F. P.
full_name: Bierkens, M. F. P.
last_name: Bierkens
citation:
ama: Lutz AF, Immerzeel WW, Gobiet A, Pellicciotti F, Bierkens MFP. Comparison of
climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications
for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 2013;17(9):3661-3677.
doi:10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013
apa: Lutz, A. F., Immerzeel, W. W., Gobiet, A., Pellicciotti, F., & Bierkens,
M. F. P. (2013). Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model
ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth
System Sciences. Copernicus GmbH. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013
chicago: Lutz, A. F., W. W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, Francesca Pellicciotti, and M.
F. P. Bierkens. “Comparison of Climate Change Signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 Multi-Model
Ensembles and Implications for Central Asian Glaciers.” Hydrology and Earth
System Sciences. Copernicus GmbH, 2013. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013.
ieee: A. F. Lutz, W. W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, F. Pellicciotti, and M. F. P. Bierkens,
“Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles
and implications for Central Asian glaciers,” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,
vol. 17, no. 9. Copernicus GmbH, pp. 3661–3677, 2013.
ista: Lutz AF, Immerzeel WW, Gobiet A, Pellicciotti F, Bierkens MFP. 2013. Comparison
of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications
for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 17(9), 3661–3677.
mla: Lutz, A. F., et al. “Comparison of Climate Change Signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5
Multi-Model Ensembles and Implications for Central Asian Glaciers.” Hydrology
and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 9, Copernicus GmbH, 2013, pp. 3661–77,
doi:10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013.
short: A.F. Lutz, W.W. Immerzeel, A. Gobiet, F. Pellicciotti, M.F.P. Bierkens, Hydrology
and Earth System Sciences 17 (2013) 3661–3677.
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:17:05Z
date_published: 2013-09-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-24T08:19:48Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 17'
issue: '9'
keyword:
- General Earth and Planetary Sciences
- General Engineering
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-3661-2013
month: '09'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
page: 3661-3677
publication: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1607-7938
publication_status: published
publisher: Copernicus GmbH
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles
and implications for Central Asian glaciers
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 17
year: '2013'
...
---
_id: '12647'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: Accurate quantification of the spatial distribution of precipitation in mountain
regions is crucial for assessments of water resources and for the understanding
of high-altitude hydrology, yet it is one of the largest unknowns due to the lack
of high-altitude observations. The Hunza basin in Pakistan contains very large
glacier systems, which, given the melt, cannot persist unless precipitation (snow
input) is much higher than what is observed at the meteorological stations, mostly
located in mountain valleys. Several studies, therefore, suggest strong positive
vertical precipitation lapse rates; in the present study, we quantify this lapse
rate by using glaciers as a proxy. We assume a neutral mass balance for the glaciers
for the period from 2001 to 2003, and we inversely model the precipitation lapse
by balancing the total accumulation in the catchment area and the ablation over
the glacier area for the 50 largest glacier systems in the Hunza basin in the
Karakoram. Our results reveal a vertical precipitation lapse rate that equals
0.21 ± 0.12% m−1, with a maximum precipitation at an elevation of 5500 masl. We
showed that the total annual basin precipitation (828 mm) is 260% higher than
what is estimated based on interpolated observations (319 mm); this has major
consequences for hydrological modeling and water resource assessments in general.
Our results were validated by using previously published studies on individual
glaciers as well as the water balance of the Hunza basin. The approach is more
widely applicable in mountain ranges where precipitation measurements at high
altitude are lacking.
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Walter Willem
full_name: Immerzeel, Walter Willem
last_name: Immerzeel
- first_name: Francesca
full_name: Pellicciotti, Francesca
id: b28f055a-81ea-11ed-b70c-a9fe7f7b0e70
last_name: Pellicciotti
- first_name: Arun B.
full_name: Shrestha, Arun B.
last_name: Shrestha
citation:
ama: Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F, Shrestha AB. Glaciers as a proxy to quantify
the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin. Mountain Research
and Development. 2012;32(1):30-38. doi:10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1
apa: Immerzeel, W. W., Pellicciotti, F., & Shrestha, A. B. (2012). Glaciers
as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza
basin. Mountain Research and Development. International Mountain Society.
https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1
chicago: Immerzeel, Walter Willem, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Arun B. Shrestha.
“Glaciers as a Proxy to Quantify the Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in
the Hunza Basin.” Mountain Research and Development. International Mountain
Society, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1.
ieee: W. W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, and A. B. Shrestha, “Glaciers as a proxy
to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin,” Mountain
Research and Development, vol. 32, no. 1. International Mountain Society,
pp. 30–38, 2012.
ista: Immerzeel WW, Pellicciotti F, Shrestha AB. 2012. Glaciers as a proxy to quantify
the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Hunza basin. Mountain Research
and Development. 32(1), 30–38.
mla: Immerzeel, Walter Willem, et al. “Glaciers as a Proxy to Quantify the Spatial
Distribution of Precipitation in the Hunza Basin.” Mountain Research and Development,
vol. 32, no. 1, International Mountain Society, 2012, pp. 30–38, doi:10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1.
short: W.W. Immerzeel, F. Pellicciotti, A.B. Shrestha, Mountain Research and Development
32 (2012) 30–38.
date_created: 2023-02-20T08:17:52Z
date_published: 2012-02-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2023-02-21T08:56:29Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1659/mrd-journal-d-11-00097.1
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 32'
issue: '1'
keyword:
- General Environmental Science
- Development
- Environmental Chemistry
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-11-00097.1
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
page: 30-38
publication: Mountain Research and Development
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 1994-7151
issn:
- 0276-4741
publication_status: published
publisher: International Mountain Society
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Glaciers as a proxy to quantify the spatial distribution of precipitation in
the Hunza basin
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 32
year: '2012'
...
---
_id: '9146'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: "The factors governing the rate of change in the amount of atmospheric water
vapor are analyzed in simulations of climate change. The global-mean amount of
water vapor is estimated to increase at a differential rate of 7.3% K − 1 with
respect to global-mean surface air temperature in the multi-model mean. Larger
rates of change result if the fractional change is evaluated over a finite change
in temperature (e.g., 8.2% K − 1 for a 3 K warming), and rates of change of zonal-mean
column water vapor range from 6 to 12% K − 1 depending on latitude.\r\nClausius–Clapeyron
scaling is directly evaluated using an invariant distribution of monthly-mean
relative humidity, giving a rate of 7.4% K − 1 for global-mean water vapor. There
are deviations from Clausius–Clapeyron scaling of zonal-mean column water vapor
in the tropics and mid-latitudes, but they largely cancel in the global mean.
A purely thermodynamic scaling based on a saturated troposphere gives a higher
global rate of 7.9% K − 1.\r\nSurface specific humidity increases at a rate of
5.7% K − 1, considerably lower than the rate for global-mean water vapor. Surface
specific humidity closely follows Clausius–Clapeyron scaling over ocean. But there
are widespread decreases in surface relative humidity over land (by more than
1% K − 1 in many regions), and it is argued that decreases of this magnitude could
result from the land/ocean contrast in surface warming."
article_number: '025207'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: P A
full_name: O’Gorman, P A
last_name: O’Gorman
- first_name: Caroline J
full_name: Muller, Caroline J
id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
last_name: Muller
orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
ama: O’Gorman PA, Muller CJ. How closely do changes in surface and column water
vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? Environmental
Research Letters. 2010;5(2). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207
apa: O’Gorman, P. A., & Muller, C. J. (2010). How closely do changes in surface
and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations?
Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207
chicago: O’Gorman, P A, and Caroline J Muller. “How Closely Do Changes in Surface
and Column Water Vapor Follow Clausius–Clapeyron Scaling in Climate Change Simulations?”
Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207.
ieee: P. A. O’Gorman and C. J. Muller, “How closely do changes in surface and column
water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations?,”
Environmental Research Letters, vol. 5, no. 2. IOP Publishing, 2010.
ista: O’Gorman PA, Muller CJ. 2010. How closely do changes in surface and column
water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron scaling in climate change simulations? Environmental
Research Letters. 5(2), 025207.
mla: O’Gorman, P. A., and Caroline J. Muller. “How Closely Do Changes in Surface
and Column Water Vapor Follow Clausius–Clapeyron Scaling in Climate Change Simulations?”
Environmental Research Letters, vol. 5, no. 2, 025207, IOP Publishing,
2010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207.
short: P.A. O’Gorman, C.J. Muller, Environmental Research Letters 5 (2010).
date_created: 2021-02-15T14:40:46Z
date_published: 2010-04-09T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2022-01-24T13:51:02Z
day: '09'
doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 5'
issue: '2'
keyword:
- Renewable Energy
- Sustainability and the Environment
- Public Health
- Environmental and Occupational Health
- General Environmental Science
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025207
month: '04'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Environmental Research Letters
publication_identifier:
issn:
- 1748-9326
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow Clausius–Clapeyron
scaling in climate change simulations?
type: journal_article
user_id: 8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9
volume: 5
year: '2010'
...