[{"tmp":{"legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode","short":"CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc_nd.png","name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)"},"acknowledged_ssus":[{"_id":"ScienComp"}],"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-01-12T00:00:00Z","oa":1,"month":"01","volume":18,"publisher":"Wiley","_id":"21013","title":"Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments","article_type":"original","article_number":"e2024MS004576","file_date_updated":"2026-01-21T08:39:01Z","author":[{"first_name":"BIDYUT B","full_name":"GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B","id":"3a4ac09c-6d61-11ec-bf66-884cde66b64b","orcid":"0000-0001-8602-3083","last_name":"GOSWAMI"},{"full_name":"Lu, Ziyin","first_name":"Ziyin","id":"a6e549c6-8972-11ed-ae7b-a336d97ac043","orcid":"0009-0008-5320-7730","last_name":"Lu"},{"orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","last_name":"Muller"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"We have addressed convective self‐aggregation (CSA) in steady and oscillating sea surface temperature (SST) and solar radiation (SOLIN) cloud‐resolving model simulations in a non‐rotating radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE) framework. Our experiment designs are motivated by land‐ocean heterogeneity of atmospheric convection. The steady and oscillating forcings are idealizations of ocean and land conditions, respectively, based on their differences in heat capacities. In both kinds of simulations, the diurnal mean SST and SOLIN are the same, and both SST and SOLIN are only varied in time (i.e., they are spatially homogeneous at any given time). We find that diurnally oscillating forcing accelerates CSA. Stronger long‐wave cooling in dry regions at night and during the warm SST phase (late afternoon) both allow the long‐wave feedback, known to favor aggregation, to intensify compared to steady forcing simulations. In addition to the long‐wave, reduced short‐wave warming in dry regions (during the day) further enhances radiative cooling there compared to moist regions. Overall, the radiative cooling is enhanced in dry regions compared to neighboring moist convective regions. A dry subsidence is driven by this net radiative (short‐wave plus long‐wave) cooling, consistent with earlier work on CSA. Stronger radiative cooling allows stronger subsidence which allows low‐level circulation to more efficiently transport moisture and energy up‐gradient, driving convection to aggregate faster. We also note a sensitivity of our experimental setup to initial conditions, more so at warmer SST. This stochastic behavior might be critical in reconciling the differences of opinion regarding the response of convection aggregation to oscillating SST forcing."}],"article_processing_charge":"Yes","publication_status":"published","date_created":"2026-01-20T10:08:54Z","doi":"10.1029/2024ms004576","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1942-2466"]},"citation":{"ama":"GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2026;18(1). doi:10.1029/2024ms004576","short":"B.B. GOSWAMI, Z. Lu, C.J. Muller, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 18 (2026).","ieee":"B. B. GOSWAMI, Z. Lu, and C. J. Muller, “Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 1. Wiley, 2026.","ista":"GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. 2026. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 18(1), e2024MS004576.","chicago":"GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B, Ziyin Lu, and Caroline J Muller. “Convective Self‐aggregation in Diurnally Oscillating Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576.","mla":"GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B., et al. “Convective Self‐aggregation in Diurnally Oscillating Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 1, e2024MS004576, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1029/2024ms004576.","apa":"GOSWAMI, B. B., Lu, Z., & Muller, C. J. (2026). Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576"},"intvolume":" 18","publication":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","corr_author":"1","DOAJ_listed":"1","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","type":"journal_article","issue":"1","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","grant_number":"805041","call_identifier":"H2020","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576","day":"12","date_updated":"2026-01-21T08:41:19Z","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","acknowledgement":"The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). This research was supported by the Scientific Service Units (SSU) of ISTA through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp). We are grateful to three anonymous reviewer(s) for their insightful suggestions that have improved the quality of our manuscript. Open Access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ.","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"},{"_id":"BjHo"},{"_id":"GradSch"}],"file":[{"content_type":"application/pdf","file_name":"2026_JAMES_Goswami.pdf","relation":"main_file","creator":"dernst","date_updated":"2026-01-21T08:39:01Z","file_size":19509786,"date_created":"2026-01-21T08:39:01Z","file_id":"21027","access_level":"open_access","checksum":"6ea369e3b46bea58efab4f38b6c671a7","success":1}],"PlanS_conform":"1","year":"2026"},{"year":"2026","file":[{"creator":"dernst","content_type":"application/pdf","relation":"main_file","file_name":"2026_njpClimateAtmScience_Bolot.pdf","date_updated":"2026-02-12T08:39:27Z","access_level":"open_access","date_created":"2026-02-12T08:39:27Z","file_id":"21215","checksum":"c433bba3822b3c6c4a5260ad5e2429a0","file_size":511226,"success":1}],"department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"gold","acknowledgement":"We thank Sophie Cloché for her support with the handling of the various datasets. This study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and Ecole Polytechnique. The authors acknowledge the CNES and CNRS support under the Megha-Tropiques program. C.M. gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041).","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"date_updated":"2026-02-12T08:41:09Z","day":"15","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5","pmid":1,"project":[{"_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576","call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate"}],"ec_funded":1,"type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","DOAJ_listed":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publication":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","citation":{"short":"M. Bolot, R. Roca, T. Fiolleau, C.J. Muller, Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 9 (2026).","ama":"Bolot M, Roca R, Fiolleau T, Muller CJ. No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2026;9. doi:10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5","ista":"Bolot M, Roca R, Fiolleau T, Muller CJ. 2026. No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 9, 14.","chicago":"Bolot, Maximilien, Rémy Roca, Thomas Fiolleau, and Caroline J Muller. “No Decrease of Tropical Convection in Individual Deep Convective Systems with Global Warming.” Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. Springer Nature, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5.","ieee":"M. Bolot, R. Roca, T. Fiolleau, and C. J. Muller, “No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming,” npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 9. Springer Nature, 2026.","apa":"Bolot, M., Roca, R., Fiolleau, T., & Muller, C. J. (2026). No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5","mla":"Bolot, Maximilien, et al. “No Decrease of Tropical Convection in Individual Deep Convective Systems with Global Warming.” Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 9, 14, Springer Nature, 2026, doi:10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5."},"intvolume":" 9","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2397-3722"]},"doi":"10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5","publication_status":"published","date_created":"2026-01-25T23:01:38Z","article_processing_charge":"Yes","external_id":{"pmid":["41550270"]},"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"According to the scientific consensus, tropical convection must decrease with global warming. This decrease is manifested by a decrease of the mass transported in the upward branch of the atmospheric overturning circulation – the convective mass flux – and a connected decrease of high clouds in the tropics, with implications for climate sensitivity. By using kilometer-scale simulations in radiative-convective equilibrium and a convective tracking algorithm, we show that no such decrease occurs in storms when taken individually and that the mass transport per storm increases instead. Storms can achieve this result by aggregating more surface of the convective cores – the inner part of the storm doing the vertical transport – so that the decrease of tropical convection is actually explained by a decrease in the total number of storms. There is little variation of the mean pressure velocity in the cores of the storms, a robust finding of this study. This remarkable invariance of the mean pressure velocity points to an emerging property of convection that should receive more attention in future studies."}],"author":[{"full_name":"Bolot, Maximilien","first_name":"Maximilien","last_name":"Bolot"},{"last_name":"Roca","first_name":"Rémy","full_name":"Roca, Rémy"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Fiolleau, Thomas","last_name":"Fiolleau"},{"last_name":"Muller","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J"}],"file_date_updated":"2026-02-12T08:39:27Z","article_number":"14","article_type":"original","title":"No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming","_id":"21035","publisher":"Springer Nature","volume":9,"month":"01","oa":1,"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-01-15T00:00:00Z","tmp":{"legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode","short":"CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc_nd.png","name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)"}},{"month":"02","oa":1,"date_published":"2026-02-17T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"article_type":"original","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9","open_access":"1"}],"title":"Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities","_id":"21311","publisher":"Springer Nature","publication_identifier":{"issn":["2509-9426"],"eissn":["2509-9434"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","doi":"10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9","publication_status":"epub_ahead","date_created":"2026-02-18T07:11:14Z","author":[{"last_name":"González","first_name":"Yuri","full_name":"González, Yuri"},{"last_name":"Malagón","first_name":"Nicolás","full_name":"Malagón, Nicolás"},{"first_name":"Kevin","full_name":"Benavides, Kevin","last_name":"Benavides"},{"last_name":"Belalcázar","full_name":"Belalcázar, Luis Carlos","first_name":"Luis Carlos"},{"first_name":"Ellie Anne","full_name":"Lopez-Barrera, Ellie Anne","last_name":"Lopez-Barrera"},{"first_name":"Alejandro","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","last_name":"Casallas Garcia"}],"abstract":[{"text":"Air pollution is a critical public health issue worldwide, South America faces unique challenges due to rapid urban growth, industrial expansion, and recurrent biomass burning. Existing studies have largely focused on regional or national scales, overlooking detailed spatio-temporal dynamics in cities. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of air pollution spatio-temporal trends from 2013 to 2023 in six major South American cities: Bogotá, Buenos Aires, Montevideo, Quito, Santiago de Chile, and São Paulo. We evaluated four key pollutants, NO2, O3, PM10, and PM2.5, using in situ monitoring networks complemented with reanalysis (boundary layer and pollution dynamics), and fire detections datasets (biomass burning). A key innovation is the use of a Lagrangian Tracker, which identifies persistent hotspots and transport pathways of pollutants, offering new insights into transboundary pollution. Results show that nearly all cities experienced reductions in particulate matter concentrations, while three of the six cities exhibited rising O3 levels, reflecting complex interactions between emissions, meteorology, and atmospheric chemistry. Santiago de Chile recorded the highest levels of NO2 and PM, strongly influenced by topography and biomass burning in JJA. Bogotá and Quito were notably impacted by regional fire emissions, whereas coastal cities such as Buenos Aires and Montevideo benefited from greater pollutant dispersion but still exceeded the World Health Organization guidelines. By integrating ground-based, satellite, and reanalysis data with advanced trajectory modeling, this research provides detailed spatio-temporal evaluations of air pollution in South America and highlights the urgent need for coordinated regional strategies to reduce health and economic burdens.","lang":"eng"}],"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","corr_author":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publication":"Earth Systems and Environment","citation":{"ieee":"Y. González, N. Malagón, K. Benavides, L. C. Belalcázar, E. A. Lopez-Barrera, and A. Casallas Garcia, “Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities,” Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature, 2026.","chicago":"González, Yuri, Nicolás Malagón, Kevin Benavides, Luis Carlos Belalcázar, Ellie Anne Lopez-Barrera, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Spatio-Temporal Trends of Air Pollution in Six South American Cities.” Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9.","ista":"González Y, Malagón N, Benavides K, Belalcázar LC, Lopez-Barrera EA, Casallas Garcia A. 2026. Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities. Earth Systems and Environment.","ama":"González Y, Malagón N, Benavides K, Belalcázar LC, Lopez-Barrera EA, Casallas Garcia A. Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities. Earth Systems and Environment. 2026. doi:10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9","short":"Y. González, N. Malagón, K. Benavides, L.C. Belalcázar, E.A. Lopez-Barrera, A. Casallas Garcia, Earth Systems and Environment (2026).","apa":"González, Y., Malagón, N., Benavides, K., Belalcázar, L. C., Lopez-Barrera, E. A., & Casallas Garcia, A. (2026). Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities. Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9","mla":"González, Yuri, et al. “Spatio-Temporal Trends of Air Pollution in Six South American Cities.” Earth Systems and Environment, Springer Nature, 2026, doi:10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9."},"type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"date_updated":"2026-02-23T11:57:21Z","day":"17","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9","quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"hybrid","acknowledgement":"The author would like to thank Fundación Universitaria Los Libertadores (Project ID: ING-40-25) for supporting her in this work. And EALB, would like to thank Universidad Sergio Arboleda (Project ID: IN.BG.086.24.015) for supporting her in this work. Open access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology (IST Austria). The first author was funded by the Fundacion Universitaria Los Libertadores (Project ID: ING-40-25). This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413289 awarded to AC. EALB was supported by Universidad Sergio Arboleda (Project ID: IN.BG.086.24.015).","year":"2026","PlanS_conform":"1","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}]},{"publication":"Earth Systems and Environment","citation":{"chicago":"Bustos, Daniela, Diana Garcia, Nestor Y. Rojas, Ellie A. Lopez-Barrera, Carlos Peña-Rincon, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Ozone Trends and Mortality Risk: The Growing Need for Machine Learning Predictions in Bogotá, Colombia.” Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3.","ista":"Bustos D, Garcia D, Rojas NY, Lopez-Barrera EA, Peña-Rincon C, Casallas Garcia A. 2026. Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia. Earth Systems and Environment.","ieee":"D. Bustos, D. Garcia, N. Y. Rojas, E. A. Lopez-Barrera, C. Peña-Rincon, and A. Casallas Garcia, “Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia,” Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature, 2026.","ama":"Bustos D, Garcia D, Rojas NY, Lopez-Barrera EA, Peña-Rincon C, Casallas Garcia A. Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia. Earth Systems and Environment. 2026. doi:10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3","short":"D. Bustos, D. Garcia, N.Y. Rojas, E.A. Lopez-Barrera, C. Peña-Rincon, A. Casallas Garcia, Earth Systems and Environment (2026).","mla":"Bustos, Daniela, et al. “Ozone Trends and Mortality Risk: The Growing Need for Machine Learning Predictions in Bogotá, Colombia.” Earth Systems and Environment, Springer Nature, 2026, doi:10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3.","apa":"Bustos, D., Garcia, D., Rojas, N. Y., Lopez-Barrera, E. A., Peña-Rincon, C., & Casallas Garcia, A. (2026). Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia. Earth Systems and Environment. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3"},"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","corr_author":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"author":[{"last_name":"Bustos","first_name":"Daniela","full_name":"Bustos, Daniela"},{"full_name":"Garcia, Diana","first_name":"Diana","last_name":"Garcia"},{"last_name":"Rojas","full_name":"Rojas, Nestor Y.","first_name":"Nestor Y."},{"first_name":"Ellie A.","full_name":"Lopez-Barrera, Ellie A.","last_name":"Lopez-Barrera"},{"last_name":"Peña-Rincon","full_name":"Peña-Rincon, Carlos","first_name":"Carlos"},{"orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","first_name":"Alejandro","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","last_name":"Casallas Garcia"}],"abstract":[{"text":"Tropospheric ozone has the potential to become an increasingly pressing public health issue in Bogotá, Colombia, due to rising concentrations across the city driven by complex interactions among emissions, meteorology, and urban structure. This study presents a comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis of ozone levels from 2013 to 2023 and assesses the associated health burden using mortality data from the same period. Results reveal a consistent upward trend in ozone concentrations, particularly in northern, western, and southern localities, with seasonal peaks linked to biomass burning and photochemical conditions. Mortality analysis, based on the Global Exposure Mortality Model, estimates that 18.3% of all deaths among individuals aged 25 and older are attributable to long-term ozone exposure. The highest burdens are found in densely populated and socioeconomically vulnerable areas such as Kennedy, Suba, and Ciudad Bolívar, with the elderly being the most affected. Building on these findings, we developed a machine learning prediction model for ozone using a convolutional merge with a long-short term memory network architecture trained on air quality and meteorological variables. The model demonstrated strong predictive performance (mean Rho=0.86, RMSE=3.5 μg/m3) across monitoring stations (17 with at least 35000 data points), supporting its potential application in real-time early warning systems across Bogotá. This integrated approach highlights the importance of localized air quality management, combining epidemiological assessment with predictive modeling. The findings underscore the urgency of implementing region-specific mitigation strategies and improving monitoring infrastructure to reduce health risks from ozone exposure in Bogotá’s rapidly growing urban environment.","lang":"eng"}],"oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"issn":["2509-9426"],"eissn":["2509-9434"]},"article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","publication_status":"epub_ahead","doi":"10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3","date_created":"2026-02-23T08:26:51Z","_id":"21344","publisher":"Springer Nature","article_type":"original","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3","open_access":"1"}],"title":"Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"month":"02","oa":1,"date_published":"2026-02-20T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","year":"2026","PlanS_conform":"1","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"acknowledgement":"EAL-B and CP-R received support from Sergio Arboleda University through project No. IN.BG.086.24.014. AC acknowledges support by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. We thank two anonymous reviewers for thein insightful comments that largely improve the manuscript. Open access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology (IST Austria). This work was funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. The work also received funding from Sergio Arboleda University through project No. IN.BG.086.24.014.","quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"hybrid","date_updated":"2026-02-24T08:02:58Z","day":"20","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3","ddc":["550"],"type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","call_identifier":"H2020"}],"ec_funded":1},{"doi":"10.1029/2025MS005343","date_created":"2026-04-05T22:01:31Z","publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"Yes","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1942-2466"]},"article_number":"e2025MS005343","file_date_updated":"2026-04-07T09:11:23Z","author":[{"first_name":"Daisuke","full_name":"Takasuka, Daisuke","last_name":"Takasuka"},{"last_name":"Becker","first_name":"Tobias","full_name":"Becker, Tobias"},{"full_name":"Bao, Jiawei","first_name":"Jiawei","id":"bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160","last_name":"Bao"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"We compare three global kilometer-scale models (ICON, IFS and NICAM) to clarify the advantages and challenges of high-resolution global weather and climate modeling, using different approaches to represent convection, from fully parameterized to fully explicit. Our analysis focuses on tropical precipitation characteristics spanning a wide range of spatio-temporal scales—including the diurnal cycle, extreme precipitation, convective organization, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)—along with interactions between convection and the thermodynamic environment. All three models commonly show weaker convective organization with smaller precipitation cells than observed, though the strength of the bias varies by model. This diversity is introduced by differences in the representation of (a) convective initiation affected by the convective sensitivity to moisture and (b) tropospheric moistening associated with deep convection. Models with stronger thermodynamic-convection coupling increase environmental moisture near convection, thereby enhancing convective organization. This has important upscale effects on the MJO; while IFS and NICAM capture its eastward propagation well, ICON has difficulty reproducing it. The amplitudes and phases of precipitation diurnal cycles over land show much greater disagreement among the models than over ocean, influenced by how convection is initiated. Biases in rain evaporation and cold pool formation hinder the propagation of mesoscale convection, leading to errors such as the misrepresentation of nocturnal convection moving off the coast of Sumatra in IFS and ICON. These results highlight the importance of thermodynamic-convection coupling in realistically simulating tropical convection across scales. To improve this coupling, kilometer-scale models require better representation of the interaction between resolved convection and three-dimensional turbulent mixing."}],"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","corr_author":"1","intvolume":" 18","citation":{"apa":"Takasuka, D., Becker, T., & Bao, J. (2026). Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343","mla":"Takasuka, Daisuke, et al. “Precipitation Characteristics and Thermodynamic-Convection Coupling in Global Kilometer-Scale Simulations.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 3, e2025MS005343, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1029/2025MS005343.","ista":"Takasuka D, Becker T, Bao J. 2026. Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 18(3), e2025MS005343.","ieee":"D. Takasuka, T. Becker, and J. Bao, “Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 3. Wiley, 2026.","chicago":"Takasuka, Daisuke, Tobias Becker, and Jiawei Bao. “Precipitation Characteristics and Thermodynamic-Convection Coupling in Global Kilometer-Scale Simulations.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343.","short":"D. Takasuka, T. Becker, J. Bao, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 18 (2026).","ama":"Takasuka D, Becker T, Bao J. Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2026;18(3). doi:10.1029/2025MS005343"},"publication":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","oa":1,"month":"03","volume":18,"tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"title":"Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations","article_type":"original","publisher":"Wiley","_id":"21657","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"We thank Peter Bechtold, Lukas Brunner, Peter Dueben, Richard Forbes, Estibaliz Gascon, and Benoit Vanniere for providing insightful comments on the present study. We also thank Sebastian Milinski, Xabier Pedruzo and Thomas Rackow for their contributions to setting up IFS-FESOM for nextGEMS. We are also grateful to Dr. Walter Hannah and an anonymous reviewer for their constructive comments, which improved the original version of the manuscript. D. Takasuka was supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grants 20H05728 and 24K22893 and by JSPS Core-to-Core Program, “International Core-to-Core Project on Global Storm Resolving Analysis” (Grant Number: JPJSCCA20220001). T. Becker was supported by the Horizon 2020 project nextGEMS under grant agreement number 101003470. J. Bao acknowledges funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant (grant agreement No 101034413). The ICON and IFS simulations were performed with supercomputing resources of the German Climate Computing Centre (Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, DKRZ) granted by its Scientific Steering Committee (WLA) under project ID 1235. The NICAM simulation was performed on the supercomputer Fugaku (proposal numbers hp220132, hp230078, hp230108, hp230278, and hp240267).","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"file":[{"success":1,"date_created":"2026-04-07T09:11:23Z","access_level":"open_access","file_id":"21665","checksum":"ca7dac4bab31348d0640ed22580c6dce","file_size":3854313,"date_updated":"2026-04-07T09:11:23Z","creator":"dernst","content_type":"application/pdf","relation":"main_file","file_name":"2026_JAMES_Takasuka.pdf"}],"year":"2026","issue":"3","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program"}],"has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","type":"journal_article","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343","day":"01","date_updated":"2026-06-16T10:43:35Z"},{"oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1944-8007"],"issn":["0094-8276"]},"date_created":"2026-04-21T06:04:41Z","article_processing_charge":"Yes","doi":"10.1029/2025gl119921","publication_status":"published","abstract":[{"text":"Tropical shallow clouds are a major source of uncertainty in Earth's climate sensitivity, especially through their spatial arrangement, which global climate models do not represent. Efforts to understand their organization have partly relied on classifying observed scenes, identifying four patterns as archetypal regimes. Here we analyze geostationary satellite imagery of the western tropical Atlantic using the L‐function, a tool based on point pattern theory that quantifies cloud organization across spatial scales. Classical examples of the four patterns show distinct L‐function fingerprints, revealing their characteristic clustering and regularity scales and aiding physical interpretation. Yet, when evaluating many scenes at fixed spatial scales, the L‐function distribution lacks the distinct modes expected from discrete regimes. This is corroborated by analyses of other organization indices employing diverse approaches, from inter‐cloud nearest‐neighbor distances to fractal analysis. Implications for the parameterization of mesoscale cloud organization in climate models are discussed.","lang":"eng"}],"author":[{"last_name":"Biagioli","full_name":"Biagioli, Giovanni","first_name":"Giovanni"},{"first_name":"Giulio","full_name":"Mandorli, Giulio","last_name":"Mandorli"},{"last_name":"Freischem","first_name":"Lilli Johanna","full_name":"Freischem, Lilli Johanna"},{"last_name":"Casallas Garcia","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","first_name":"Alejandro","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035"},{"first_name":"Adrian Mark","full_name":"Tompkins, Adrian Mark","last_name":"Tompkins"}],"article_number":"e2025GL119921","file_date_updated":"2026-04-21T06:07:22Z","DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"mla":"Biagioli, Giovanni, et al. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes.” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 53, no. 8, e2025GL119921, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1029/2025gl119921.","apa":"Biagioli, G., Mandorli, G., Freischem, L. J., Casallas Garcia, A., & Tompkins, A. M. (2026). Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921","ama":"Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. 2026;53(8). doi:10.1029/2025gl119921","short":"G. Biagioli, G. Mandorli, L.J. Freischem, A. Casallas Garcia, A.M. Tompkins, Geophysical Research Letters 53 (2026).","ieee":"G. Biagioli, G. Mandorli, L. J. Freischem, A. Casallas Garcia, and A. M. Tompkins, “Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 53, no. 8. Wiley, 2026.","ista":"Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. 2026. Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. 53(8), e2025GL119921.","chicago":"Biagioli, Giovanni, Giulio Mandorli, Lilli Johanna Freischem, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, and Adrian Mark Tompkins. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes.” Geophysical Research Letters. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921."},"intvolume":" 53","publication":"Geophysical Research Letters","month":"04","volume":53,"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-04-28T00:00:00Z","oa":1,"tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"article_type":"original","title":"Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes","_id":"21755","publisher":"Wiley","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"GB was supported by an ICTP Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Agreement. GM was supported by the CNRS. AC was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant agreement No 101034413. LJF acknowledges funding from the NERC Doctoral Training Partnership in Environmental Research Grant NE/S007474/1. We thank three anonymous reviewers and Jiawei Bao for their insightful comments, which greatly improved this manuscript.","file":[{"success":1,"checksum":"2cd4ae120b14b244f5b2f50eaae0efc1","file_id":"21756","date_created":"2026-04-21T06:07:22Z","access_level":"open_access","file_size":1544417,"date_updated":"2026-04-21T06:07:22Z","creator":"acasalla","relation":"main_file","file_name":"Gio_Casallas_2026.pdf","content_type":"application/pdf"}],"PlanS_conform":"1","year":"2026","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"ec_funded":1,"issue":"8","project":[{"call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c"}],"type":"journal_article","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921","date_updated":"2026-04-28T13:35:53Z","day":"28"},{"article_type":"original","title":"Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation","_id":"21233","publisher":"Copernicus Publications","month":"02","volume":17,"oa":1,"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-02-04T00:00:00Z","das_tickbox":"1","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publication":"Earth System Dynamics","intvolume":" 17","citation":{"short":"A. Yoon, C. Hohenegger, J. Bao, L. Brunner, Earth System Dynamics 17 (2026) 167–179.","ama":"Yoon A, Hohenegger C, Bao J, Brunner L. Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation. Earth System Dynamics. 2026;17(1):167-179. doi:10.5194/esd-17-167-2026","chicago":"Yoon, Arim, Cathy Hohenegger, Jiawei Bao, and Lukas Brunner. “Extreme Events in the Amazon after Deforestation.” Earth System Dynamics. Copernicus Publications, 2026. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026.","ieee":"A. Yoon, C. Hohenegger, J. Bao, and L. Brunner, “Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation,” Earth System Dynamics, vol. 17, no. 1. Copernicus Publications, pp. 167–179, 2026.","ista":"Yoon A, Hohenegger C, Bao J, Brunner L. 2026. Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation. Earth System Dynamics. 17(1), 167–179.","apa":"Yoon, A., Hohenegger, C., Bao, J., & Brunner, L. (2026). Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation. Earth System Dynamics. Copernicus Publications. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026","mla":"Yoon, Arim, et al. “Extreme Events in the Amazon after Deforestation.” Earth System Dynamics, vol. 17, no. 1, Copernicus Publications, 2026, pp. 167–79, doi:10.5194/esd-17-167-2026."},"publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2190-4987"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","publication_status":"published","doi":"10.5194/esd-17-167-2026","article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","date_created":"2026-02-16T10:44:58Z","author":[{"last_name":"Yoon","full_name":"Yoon, Arim","first_name":"Arim"},{"last_name":"Hohenegger","first_name":"Cathy","full_name":"Hohenegger, Cathy"},{"last_name":"Bao","full_name":"Bao, Jiawei","first_name":"Jiawei","id":"bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160"},{"full_name":"Brunner, Lukas","first_name":"Lukas","last_name":"Brunner"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Potential self-perpetuating dieback of the Amazon rain forest has been a topic of concern. The concern is that initial deforestation could critically impair the forest’s water recycling capacities, further harming the remaining forest through reduced annual precipitation. Many studies have focused on annual mean precipitation changes, due to its widespread perception as a central control on the Amazon rain forest’s stability. However, the impact of deforestation goes beyond changes in the annual mean precipitation. Yet, global coarse-resolution climate models are not well suited to investigate changes in short-duration and localized events due to their coarse resolution. Here, we circumvent these issues by analyzing a full-deforestation scenario simulated by a global storm-resolving model. We focus on changes in the tail of the hourly distribution of precipitation, temperature, and wind. Hourly precipitation becomes more extreme in the absence of the forest than in an intact forest, with an increased occurrence of both no rain and intense rainfall. These changes are driven by enhanced moisture convergence that strengthens vertical velocity. On average, the near-surface temperature rises significantly by about 3.84 °C, and the daily minimum temperature after deforestation becomes similar to the daily maximum temperature before deforestation. Except for wet-bulb temperature, human heat stress indicators shift to more severe levels, with implications for health and a significant reduction in work productivity. Finally, the mean 10 m wind speed intensifies by a factor of four, with the 99th percentile wind speed doubling. To summarize, our findings, while based on an idealized case, provide a stark warning of the effects of continuing deforestation of the Amazon."}],"file_date_updated":"2026-02-23T10:26:29Z","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"day":"04","date_updated":"2026-07-06T12:55:02Z","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026","issue":"1","page":"167-179","type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","year":"2026","PlanS_conform":"1","file":[{"file_size":2068229,"checksum":"6c3669c463731ad7c484b2990eb8ee0d","file_id":"21348","access_level":"open_access","date_created":"2026-02-23T10:26:29Z","success":1,"file_name":"2026_EarthSystDynam_Yoon.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","creator":"dernst","date_updated":"2026-02-23T10:26:29Z"}],"department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"gold","acknowledgement":"AY acknowledges funding by the CLICCS centre of excellence subproject A3 funded by DFG. We thank the German Climate Computing Center DKRZ for providing computing resources and the Integrated Climate Data Center (ICDC), the Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, for supporting the IMERG data. In addition, we would like to thank Jana Sillmann for suggesting the analysis of heat stress indices and Keno Riechers for providing a thorough internal review of the initial manuscript at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Open Access funding is enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. This research has been supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (grant no. CLICCS 390683824 (A3)). The article processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by the Max Planck Society."},{"citation":{"mla":"André, Julie, et al. “Distinct Regimes of Precipitation Changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under Global Warming.” Communications Earth and Environment, vol. 7, 572, Springer Nature, 2026, doi:10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7.","apa":"André, J., Chiabrando, N., Muller, C. J., Drobinski, P., & D’Andrea, F. (2026). Distinct regimes of precipitation changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under global warming. Communications Earth and Environment. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7","chicago":"André, Julie, Nicolas Chiabrando, Caroline J Muller, Philippe Drobinski, and Fabio D’Andrea. “Distinct Regimes of Precipitation Changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under Global Warming.” Communications Earth and Environment. Springer Nature, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7.","ieee":"J. André, N. Chiabrando, C. J. Muller, P. Drobinski, and F. D’Andrea, “Distinct regimes of precipitation changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under global warming,” Communications Earth and Environment, vol. 7. Springer Nature, 2026.","ista":"André J, Chiabrando N, Muller CJ, Drobinski P, D’Andrea F. 2026. Distinct regimes of precipitation changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under global warming. Communications Earth and Environment. 7, 572.","ama":"André J, Chiabrando N, Muller CJ, Drobinski P, D’Andrea F. Distinct regimes of precipitation changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under global warming. Communications Earth and Environment. 2026;7. doi:10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7","short":"J. André, N. Chiabrando, C.J. Muller, P. Drobinski, F. D’Andrea, Communications Earth and Environment 7 (2026)."},"intvolume":" 7","publication":"Communications Earth and Environment","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","article_number":"572","file_date_updated":"2026-07-13T07:12:35Z","author":[{"full_name":"André, Julie","first_name":"Julie","last_name":"André"},{"full_name":"Chiabrando, Nicolas","first_name":"Nicolas","last_name":"Chiabrando"},{"first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","last_name":"Muller"},{"last_name":"Drobinski","first_name":"Philippe","full_name":"Drobinski, Philippe"},{"full_name":"D’Andrea, Fabio","first_name":"Fabio","last_name":"D’Andrea"}],"abstract":[{"text":"Climate change is significantly altering regional precipitation patterns across Europe and the Mediterranean. We analyze daily precipitation distribution changes in a 15-member Euro-CORDEX ensemble, through a diagnostic framework that separates occurrence changes, wet-days intensity shifts and distortions. At +4 ∘C global warming, Northern Europe shows a robust intensification of precipitation, driven by both higher occurrence and stronger events. Conversely, the Mediterranean exhibits a dominant drying signal, primarily due to fewer wet-days, which impacts daily precipitation distribution even for heavy rainfall. Transitional zones in the northern Mediterranean reveal “U-shape” regimes, with rising extremes but declining moderate rain. Comparing with ERA5 reanalysis over the past, low model agreement in the south highlights higher uncertainty in the Mediterranean region. The timing of robust signal emergence varies: Northern Europe shows robust patterns from +1 ∘C, while the Mediterranean exhibits delays until +3-4 ∘C. These findings are essential for informing risk-based adaptation strategies.","lang":"eng"}],"date_created":"2026-07-12T22:02:16Z","doi":"10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7","publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"Yes","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2662-4435"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","publisher":"Springer Nature","supplementarymaterial":"yes","_id":"22261","title":"Distinct regimes of precipitation changes across Europe and the Mediterranean under global warming","article_type":"original","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"date_published":"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","das_tickbox":"1","OA_place":"publisher","oa":1,"volume":7,"month":"07","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"dataavailabilitystatement":"ERA5 reanalysis and Euro-CORDEX simulations are publicly available from https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.143582cf and https://cordex.org/data-access/esgf/. The custom code developed and used for this paper can be accessed through Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18995401.","file":[{"file_size":3870924,"checksum":"fd8f57cbe180f7a4d49ab17b3571ad2b","date_created":"2026-07-13T07:12:35Z","file_id":"22272","access_level":"open_access","success":1,"file_name":"2026_CommEarthEnvironment_Andre.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","creator":"dernst","date_updated":"2026-07-13T07:12:35Z"}],"year":"2026","acknowledgement":"J.A. gratefully acknowledges the JSPS postdoctoral fellowship (Japan Society for Promotion of Science, grant number P25709). C.J.M. gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). The authors also thank Samuel Somot (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Toulouse) and Juliette Blanchet (Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement, Grenoble) for their fruitful discussions on the project.","researchdata_availability":"yes","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03519-7","date_updated":"2026-07-13T07:13:21Z","day":"06","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","type":"journal_article","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576","call_identifier":"H2020","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","grant_number":"805041"}]},{"project":[{"name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","grant_number":"101034413","call_identifier":"H2020","_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c"},{"call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"ec_funded":1,"issue":"775","type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"day":"01","date_updated":"2026-07-23T12:11:25Z","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044","quality_controlled":"1","researchdata_availability":"no","OA_type":"hybrid","acknowledgement":"The authors gratefully acknowledge discussions with Professor Robert Plant (University of Reading, UK), Professor Steve Sherwood (University of New South Wales, Australia), Professor Steve Tobias, Professor Douglas Parker, and Gregory Dritschel (University of Leeds, UK). Discussions with colleagues at the Institute of Science and Technology Austria played a large role in shaping this study. The authors are particularly grateful for inputs and discussions from Dr. Jiawei Bao, Dr. Alejandro Casallas, and Alzbeta Pechacova.\r\nThis project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska–Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. C. Muller gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). This research was supported by the Scientific Service Units (SSU) of IST Austria through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp). Open Access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ.","year":"2026","file":[{"file_size":2665988,"file_id":"22398","date_created":"2026-07-23T12:10:28Z","access_level":"open_access","checksum":"8dd4d4d3ad027a4d26cbe5b1d66371e9","success":1,"content_type":"application/pdf","file_name":"2026_QuartJourRoyalMeteorobiolSoc_Agasthya.pdf","relation":"main_file","creator":"dernst","date_updated":"2026-07-23T12:10:28Z"}],"PlanS_conform":"1","dataavailabilitystatement":"The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, L. Agasthya, upon reasonable request.","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"month":"01","volume":152,"oa":1,"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-01-01T00:00:00Z","das_tickbox":"1","acknowledged_ssus":[{"_id":"ScienComp"}],"tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"article_type":"original","title":"Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling","_id":"20590","supplementarymaterial":"yes","publisher":"Wiley","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0035-9009"],"eissn":["1477-870X"]},"article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","doi":"10.1002/qj.70044","publication_status":"published","date_created":"2025-11-02T23:01:34Z","external_id":{"isi":["001595821400001"]},"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Moist convection is a fundamental process occurring in the Earth's atmosphere. It plays a central role in the weather and climate of the Tropics, where, to first order, the heating of the atmosphere by convection is in balance with the cooling of the atmosphere by the emission of radiation to outer space. In this study, we use a cloud-resolving model in radiative–convective equilibrium with an imposed constant rate of radiative cooling and study the response of moist convection to varying this rate of radiative cooling. In particular, we study two types of simulation: varying air temperature (VAT) simulations, where the air temperature is allowed to adjust to the imposed radiative cooling, and constant air temperature (CAT) simulations, where the surface temperature is tuned to ensure that the atmospheric temperature profile in the domain is constant. We recover the previously known result that, in response to increasing radiative cooling, the area of convection expands rapidly, while the intensity of convection does not change. We find that this response is explained by the increased boundary-layer variability in simulations with greater radiative cooling, which compensates for the decreasing temperature by adding a larger initial velocity close to the cloud base. We also propose a fundamental scaling of the non-dimensional cumulus mass flux in moist convection, which is robust across models of different complexity. We aim to bridge the gap between highly idealised prototypes of moist convection, such as the “Rainy–Bénard convection” introduced by Vallis et al., and comprehensive cloud-resolving models."}],"author":[{"id":"cd100965-0804-11ed-9c55-f4878ff4e877","full_name":"Agasthya, Lokahith N","first_name":"Lokahith N","last_name":"Agasthya"},{"last_name":"Muller","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","first_name":"Caroline J"}],"file_date_updated":"2026-07-23T12:10:28Z","article_number":"e70044","isi":1,"corr_author":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publication":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","intvolume":" 152","citation":{"ama":"Agasthya LN, Muller CJ. Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2026;152(775). doi:10.1002/qj.70044","short":"L.N. Agasthya, C.J. Muller, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 152 (2026).","ieee":"L. N. Agasthya and C. J. Muller, “Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 152, no. 775. Wiley, 2026.","chicago":"Agasthya, Lokahith N, and Caroline J Muller. “Moist Convection and Radiative Cooling: Dynamical Response and Scaling.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044.","ista":"Agasthya LN, Muller CJ. 2026. Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 152(775), e70044.","apa":"Agasthya, L. N., & Muller, C. J. (2026). Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044","mla":"Agasthya, Lokahith N., and Caroline J. Muller. “Moist Convection and Radiative Cooling: Dynamical Response and Scaling.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 152, no. 775, e70044, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1002/qj.70044."}},{"article_type":"original","title":"Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events","supplementarymaterial":"yes","_id":"21217","publisher":"Wiley","month":"04","volume":152,"OA_place":"publisher","das_tickbox":"1","date_published":"2026-04-01T00:00:00Z","oa":1,"tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc.png","short":"CC BY-NC (4.0)","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode"},"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","corr_author":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"mla":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, et al. “Moisture and Wind Effects of Rossby Waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone Breakdown Events.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 152, no. 777, e70131, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1002/qj.70131.","apa":"Casallas Garcia, A., Mark Tompkins, A., & Muller, C. J. (2026). Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131","short":"A. Casallas Garcia, A. Mark Tompkins, C.J. Muller, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 152 (2026).","ama":"Casallas Garcia A, Mark Tompkins A, Muller CJ. Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2026;152(777). doi:10.1002/qj.70131","ista":"Casallas Garcia A, Mark Tompkins A, Muller CJ. 2026. Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 152(777), e70131.","chicago":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, Adrian Mark Tompkins, and Caroline J Muller. “Moisture and Wind Effects of Rossby Waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone Breakdown Events.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131.","ieee":"A. Casallas Garcia, A. Mark Tompkins, and C. J. Muller, “Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 152, no. 777. Wiley, 2026."},"intvolume":" 152","publication":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1477-870X"],"issn":["0035-9009"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","date_created":"2026-02-12T10:13:02Z","doi":"10.1002/qj.70131","publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","abstract":[{"text":"This study investigates the mechanisms driving clustered convection and the breakdown of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over the Western Pacific Warm Pool using high‐resolution cloud‐resolving simulations and machine‐learning sensitivity experiments. Results show that ITCZ breakdown episodes, marked by spatially homogeneous convection and weakened meridional moisture gradients, are triggered primarily by anomalous moisture advection linked to the equatorial Rossby‐wave activity. While large‐scale moisture advection regulates the background convective state strongly, it is the surface and low‐level meridional winds that dominate transitions between clustered and random convection. Simulations demonstrate that moisture alone can sustain convective clustering, but breakdown episodes are more persistent and widespread when coupled with southerly meridional advection. These findings confirm that wave‐driven advection acts as a regulatory mechanism, periodically disrupting convective clustering and reshaping the meridional moisture gradient. This modulation of organization by wave‐induced breakdown events is critical for understanding tropical convection variability and its implications for the climate system.","lang":"eng"}],"author":[{"last_name":"Casallas Garcia","first_name":"Alejandro","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035"},{"last_name":"Mark Tompkins","first_name":"Adrian","full_name":"Mark Tompkins, Adrian"},{"last_name":"Muller","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","first_name":"Caroline J","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350"}],"article_number":"e70131","file_date_updated":"2026-07-27T11:09:24Z","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131","date_updated":"2026-07-27T11:10:50Z","day":"01","issue":"777","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program"},{"name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","grant_number":"805041","call_identifier":"H2020","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"type":"journal_article","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","file":[{"date_updated":"2026-07-27T11:09:24Z","creator":"dernst","relation":"main_file","file_name":"2026_QuarterlyJourRoyalMeteorolSoc_Casallas.pdf","content_type":"application/pdf","success":1,"checksum":"3edd5dee1459dcf62973ae501270be8c","file_id":"22419","access_level":"open_access","date_created":"2026-07-27T11:09:24Z","file_size":11133215}],"year":"2026","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"dataavailabilitystatement":"The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, Alejandro Casallas, upon reasonable request.","researchdata_availability":"upon request","OA_type":"hybrid","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"This article is based on chapter 5 of the PhD thesis of A. Casallas. The authors thank Graziano Giuliani for discussions on the boundary-condition experiments. A. Casallas was supported by a PhD fellowship awarded by the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics. A. Casallas also acknowledges support by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. C. Muller acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). The authors gratefully acknowledge Daniel Hernández-Deckers, Lokahith Agasthya, Chris Holloway, and Paolina Cerlini for their valuable feedback and insightful discussions. They are especially thankful to Bety Pechacova for suggesting the use of SHAP to complement their analysis. They also thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments, which improved the quality and clarity of the article significantly. Open Access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ."},{"das_tickbox":"1","date_published":"2026-02-17T00:00:00Z","volume":60,"month":"02","publisher":"American Chemical Society","_id":"21164","supplementarymaterial":"yes","title":"A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality","article_type":"original","article_number":"5c08400","external_id":{"pmid":["41636708"]},"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Global emission inventories often fail to capture the complexities of vehicular pollution in regions with unique fuel mixes, such as Brazil’s extensive biofuel use, leading to significant uncertainties in atmospheric modeling. This study presents a century-long (1960–2100) bottom-up vehicular emission inventory for Brazil, leveraging locally derived emission factors. Our estimates reveal substantial discrepancies in magnitude, timing, and speciation of non-CO2 pollutants (CO, NMHC, PM2.5) compared to leading global inventories (EDGAR, CEDS, CAMS), highlighting critical inaccuracies in widely used data sets. More critically, future projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) uncover a novel positive feedback mechanism: rising temperatures significantly enhance vehicular evaporative nonmethane hydrocarbon (NMHC) emissions. This temperature-dependent increase and subsequent NMHC oxidation to CO2 suggest an overlooked pathway that could amplify climate warming and air pollution globally, particularly after a breakpoint around 2050 (p < 0.05). While historical emissions peaked in the 1990s–2000s, nonexhaust PM becomes increasingly important. Air quality simulations using our inventory in the MUSICA model show good regional PM2.5 agreement but highlight challenges in resolving local primary pollutant peaks. This comprehensive inventory provides crucial data for Brazil and uncovers globally relevant climate–chemistry interactions, urging a re-evaluation of regional specificities in global emission assessments."}],"author":[{"last_name":"Ibarra-Espinosa","first_name":"Sergio","full_name":"Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio"},{"first_name":"Edmilson","full_name":"Dias de Freitas, Edmilson","last_name":"Dias de Freitas"},{"first_name":"Benjamin","full_name":"Gaubert, Benjamin","last_name":"Gaubert"},{"last_name":"Lichtig","first_name":"Pablo","full_name":"Lichtig, Pablo"},{"full_name":"Ropkins, Karl","first_name":"Karl","last_name":"Ropkins"},{"full_name":"da Silva, Iara","first_name":"Iara","last_name":"da Silva"},{"last_name":"Martins Pereira","first_name":"Guilherme","full_name":"Martins Pereira, Guilherme"},{"last_name":"Schuch","full_name":"Schuch, Daniel","first_name":"Daniel"},{"last_name":"Nascimento","first_name":"Janaina","full_name":"Nascimento, Janaina"},{"last_name":"Hoinaski","first_name":"Leonardo","full_name":"Hoinaski, Leonardo"},{"first_name":"Leila Droprinchinski","full_name":"Martins, Leila Droprinchinski","last_name":"Martins"},{"first_name":"Mario","full_name":"Gavidia-Calderón, Mario","last_name":"Gavidia-Calderón"},{"last_name":"Vara-Vela","full_name":"Vara-Vela, Angel","first_name":"Angel"},{"last_name":"Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque","first_name":"Taciana","full_name":"Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque, Taciana"},{"last_name":"Ynoue","full_name":"Ynoue, Rita Yuri","first_name":"Rita Yuri"},{"last_name":"Diez","first_name":"Sebastian","full_name":"Diez, Sebastian"},{"last_name":"Mera","full_name":"Mera, Zamir","first_name":"Zamir"},{"id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","first_name":"Alejandro","last_name":"Casallas Garcia"},{"last_name":"Vallejo","full_name":"Vallejo, Fidel","first_name":"Fidel"},{"last_name":"Diaz","full_name":"Diaz, Valeria","first_name":"Valeria"},{"full_name":"Pedruzzi, Rizzieri","first_name":"Rizzieri","last_name":"Pedruzzi"},{"full_name":"Abrutzky, Rosana","first_name":"Rosana","last_name":"Abrutzky"},{"last_name":"Franco","first_name":"Marco A.","full_name":"Franco, Marco A."},{"full_name":"Huneeus, Nicolas","first_name":"Nicolas","last_name":"Huneeus"},{"last_name":"Jorquera","full_name":"Jorquera, Hector","first_name":"Hector"},{"first_name":"Luis Carlos","full_name":"Belalcázar-Cerón, Luis Carlos","last_name":"Belalcázar-Cerón"},{"full_name":"Rojas, Néstor Y.","first_name":"Néstor Y.","last_name":"Rojas"},{"first_name":"Maria","full_name":"de Fatima Andrade, Maria","last_name":"de Fatima Andrade"},{"first_name":"Louisa","full_name":"Emmons, Louisa","last_name":"Emmons"},{"last_name":"Brasseur","first_name":"Guy","full_name":"Brasseur, Guy"}],"doi":"10.1021/acs.est.5c08400","publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"No","date_created":"2026-02-09T06:54:10Z","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1520-5851"],"issn":["0013-936X"]},"oa_version":"None","publication":"Environmental Science & Technology","citation":{"short":"S. Ibarra-Espinosa, E. Dias de Freitas, B. Gaubert, P. Lichtig, K. Ropkins, I. da Silva, G. Martins Pereira, D. Schuch, J. Nascimento, L. Hoinaski, L.D. Martins, M. Gavidia-Calderón, A. Vara-Vela, T. Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque, R.Y. Ynoue, S. Diez, Z. Mera, A. Casallas Garcia, F. Vallejo, V. Diaz, R. Pedruzzi, R. Abrutzky, M.A. Franco, N. Huneeus, H. Jorquera, L.C. Belalcázar-Cerón, N.Y. Rojas, M. de Fatima Andrade, L. Emmons, G. Brasseur, Environmental Science & Technology 60 (2026).","ama":"Ibarra-Espinosa S, Dias de Freitas E, Gaubert B, et al. A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality. Environmental Science & Technology. 2026;60(6). doi:10.1021/acs.est.5c08400","ista":"Ibarra-Espinosa S, Dias de Freitas E, Gaubert B, Lichtig P, Ropkins K, da Silva I, Martins Pereira G, Schuch D, Nascimento J, Hoinaski L, Martins LD, Gavidia-Calderón M, Vara-Vela A, Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque T, Ynoue RY, Diez S, Mera Z, Casallas Garcia A, Vallejo F, Diaz V, Pedruzzi R, Abrutzky R, Franco MA, Huneeus N, Jorquera H, Belalcázar-Cerón LC, Rojas NY, de Fatima Andrade M, Emmons L, Brasseur G. 2026. A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality. Environmental Science & Technology. 60(6), 5c08400.","chicago":"Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio, Edmilson Dias de Freitas, Benjamin Gaubert, Pablo Lichtig, Karl Ropkins, Iara da Silva, Guilherme Martins Pereira, et al. “A Century of Vehicular Emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the Impacts of Unique Fuel Mix on Air Quality.” Environmental Science & Technology. American Chemical Society, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400.","ieee":"S. Ibarra-Espinosa et al., “A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality,” Environmental Science & Technology, vol. 60, no. 6. American Chemical Society, 2026.","mla":"Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio, et al. “A Century of Vehicular Emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the Impacts of Unique Fuel Mix on Air Quality.” Environmental Science & Technology, vol. 60, no. 6, 5c08400, American Chemical Society, 2026, doi:10.1021/acs.est.5c08400.","apa":"Ibarra-Espinosa, S., Dias de Freitas, E., Gaubert, B., Lichtig, P., Ropkins, K., da Silva, I., … Brasseur, G. (2026). A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality. Environmental Science & Technology. American Chemical Society. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400"},"intvolume":" 60","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","type":"journal_article","project":[{"name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","grant_number":"101034413","call_identifier":"H2020","_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c"}],"ec_funded":1,"issue":"6","date_updated":"2026-07-28T07:03:54Z","day":"17","pmid":1,"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","acknowledgement":"Part of this material is based upon work supported by the NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, which is a major facility sponsored by the National Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement No. 1852977. Casallas was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. E. D. Freitas thanks the support provided by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Process number 313210/2022–5). Silva gratefully acknowledges the financial support from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), process number 140512/2021–7. P. Lichtig was supported by base funding from the National Commission for Atomic Energy (CNEA, Arg.) and by NSF NCAR. R.Y. Ynoue thanks the support provided by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Process number 406728/2022–4). M. A. Franco thanks the support provided by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Process number 407752/2023–4). G. M. Pereira thanks the support by the Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP; Process numbers 2018/07848–9, 2016/18438–0, and 2019/01316–80) and Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES; Process number 88887.103225/2025–00). M.F. Andrade thanks the support by FAPESP (Process number 2016/18438–0) and CNPQ (Klimapolis INCT).","quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"closed access","researchdata_availability":"yes","dataavailabilitystatement":"Scripts available here https://github.com/ibarraespinosa/musica_vein and here https://github.com/atmoschem/vein.","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"year":"2026"},{"researchdata_availability":"upon request","OA_type":"hybrid","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"The authors thank Tom Beucler, Hamish Ramsay, and two anonymous reviewers for insightful comments and constructive feedback on earlier versions of this work.\r\n\r\nThis work is partially funded by the National Recovery and Resilience Plan project TeRABIT (Terabit network for Research and Academic Big data in Italy—IR0000022—PNRRMissione4—Componente2—Investim ento3.1—CUPI53C21000370006) in the frame of the European Union—NextGenerationEU funding. C. Muller gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant 805041). This work is an outcome of the project MIUR—Dipartimenti di Eccellenza 2023–2027.\r\n\r\nThis work used resources of the Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ) granted by its Scientific Steering Committee (WLA) under project bb1153. Open access publishing facilitated by Universita degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, as part of the Wiley - CRUI-CARE agreement.","year":"2026","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"},{"_id":"GradSch"}],"dataavailabilitystatement":"The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","call_identifier":"H2020"}],"type":"journal_article","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70280","date_updated":"2026-09-09T12:43:30Z","day":"26","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1477-870X"],"issn":["0035-9009"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","date_created":"2026-09-06T22:01:57Z","doi":"10.1002/qj.70280","article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","publication_status":"epub_ahead","author":[{"last_name":"Davin","full_name":"Davin, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea"},{"last_name":"Charinti","full_name":"Charinti, Giousef Alexandros","first_name":"Giousef Alexandros","id":"7f7cc04c-074c-11ed-af92-eb16afd85c75"},{"last_name":"Muller","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","first_name":"Caroline J","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b"},{"last_name":"Polesello","id":"74c777f4-32da-11ee-b498-874db0835561","first_name":"Andrea","full_name":"Polesello, Andrea"},{"full_name":"Pasquero, Claudia","first_name":"Claudia","last_name":"Pasquero"}],"abstract":[{"text":"Physical processes at play in the genesis and evolution of tropical cyclones are conducive to the formation of warm cores at their centres. When the warm anomaly is particularly large in the upper troposphere, it is referred to as a high-level warm core. Previous works documented the generation of high-level warm cores as a consequence of stratospheric air intrusion into the troposphere induced by the upper-level dynamics of a tropical cyclone. However, little attention has been given to their effects on the storm's subsequent evolution. It has been suggested that the presence of a high-level warm core can have opposite effects on tropical cyclone intensity: both strengthening and weakening have been described as possible consequences of its formation. In this study, we examine the role of high-level warm cores in the intensification and dissipation processes of tropical cyclones, as reproduced in numerical models of different complexities, namely the model “System for Atmospheric Modeling” (SAM) run under idealized conditions and the model Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model run under realistic conditions following the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains summer protocol. Our results confirm the hypothesis of a stratospheric origin behind the formation of high-level warm cores. Their initial role is shown to be an enhancement of storm intensity, by a lowering of the hydrostatic sea-level pressure (HSLP) associated with the presence of warm air aloft. However, as the warm anomaly intensifies and extends to lower levels, it also increases static stability in the air column, with the consequence of inhibiting convection and ultimately contributing to cyclone dissipation. These findings suggest that high-level warm cores play a dual role in the tropical cyclone life cycle, providing a stabilizing mechanism that can limit cyclone strength and longevity.","lang":"eng"}],"article_number":"e70280","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"mla":"Davin, Andrea, et al. “Stratospheric Influence on Tropical Cyclone Evolution.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, e70280, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1002/qj.70280.","apa":"Davin, A., Charinti, G. A., Muller, C. J., Polesello, A., & Pasquero, C. (2026). Stratospheric influence on tropical cyclone evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70280","ama":"Davin A, Charinti GA, Muller CJ, Polesello A, Pasquero C. Stratospheric influence on tropical cyclone evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2026. doi:10.1002/qj.70280","short":"A. Davin, G.A. Charinti, C.J. Muller, A. Polesello, C. Pasquero, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2026).","chicago":"Davin, Andrea, Giousef Alexandros Charinti, Caroline J Muller, Andrea Polesello, and Claudia Pasquero. “Stratospheric Influence on Tropical Cyclone Evolution.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70280.","ista":"Davin A, Charinti GA, Muller CJ, Polesello A, Pasquero C. 2026. Stratospheric influence on tropical cyclone evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society., e70280.","ieee":"A. Davin, G. A. Charinti, C. J. Muller, A. Polesello, and C. Pasquero, “Stratospheric influence on tropical cyclone evolution,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Wiley, 2026."},"publication":"Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society","month":"08","OA_place":"publisher","das_tickbox":"1","date_published":"2026-08-26T00:00:00Z","oa":1,"tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"article_type":"original","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70280","open_access":"1"}],"title":"Stratospheric influence on tropical cyclone evolution","_id":"22818","supplementarymaterial":"yes","publisher":"Wiley"},{"quality_controlled":"1","researchdata_availability":"yes","OA_type":"gold","acknowledgement":"GAC and CM acknowledge funding from the European Research Council (ERC)under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No.805041). AD and CP acknowledge support by the National Recovery and Resilience Plan project TeRABIT (Terabit network for Research and Academic Big data in Italy—IR0000022—PNRR Missione 4,Componente 2, Investimento 3.1 CUPI53C21000370006) in the frame of the European Union ‐ NextGenerationEUfunding. Open Access funding provided by Institute of Science and TechnologyAustria/KEMÖ","dataavailabilitystatement":"The post‐processed simulation data and the analysis scripts are available on Figshare https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.30933764 (Charinti et al., 2025).","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"},{"_id":"GradSch"}],"year":"2026","PlanS_conform":"1","file":[{"checksum":"8d1c470e4c2cb43bf3220f34a0d3e10c","date_created":"2026-09-15T12:34:00Z","file_id":"22931","access_level":"open_access","file_size":1277378,"success":1,"creator":"dernst","file_name":"2026_GeophysicalResearchLetters_Charinti.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","date_updated":"2026-09-15T12:34:00Z"}],"project":[{"grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","call_identifier":"H2020","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"issue":"17","ec_funded":1,"status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","type":"journal_article","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","day":"16","date_updated":"2026-09-15T12:38:32Z","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121307","publication_status":"published","date_created":"2026-09-13T22:01:51Z","article_processing_charge":"Yes","doi":"10.1029/2025GL121307","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0094-8276"],"eissn":["1944-8007"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","file_date_updated":"2026-09-15T12:34:00Z","article_number":"e2025GL121307","abstract":[{"text":"Deep convection from tropical cyclones (TCs) can reach the height of the tropopause and as such an interaction between the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere is likely to occur. Such interactions have been reported in both numerical and observational studies, mainly showing that subsidence from the stratosphere into the eye of an intensifying storm leads to a high-level warm core. However, the effect of this upper-level warming on the intensity of the TCs is not yet well understood. In this study, we show that subsiding air from the stratosphere beyond subsidence in the eye is the reason for the upper-level warming in idealized simulations. We further show that it is possible to quantify the effects of the upper-level warming on the potential intensity of the TC. Finally, we conclude that overshooting convection into the stratosphere causes the observed subsidence, as both become more pronounced with increasing sea-surface temperatures (SST).","lang":"eng"}],"author":[{"last_name":"Charinti","full_name":"Charinti, Giousef Alexandros","first_name":"Giousef Alexandros","id":"7f7cc04c-074c-11ed-af92-eb16afd85c75"},{"last_name":"Davin","full_name":"Davin, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea"},{"last_name":"Polesello","full_name":"Polesello, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea","id":"74c777f4-32da-11ee-b498-874db0835561"},{"first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","last_name":"Muller"},{"full_name":"Pasquero, Claudia","first_name":"Claudia","last_name":"Pasquero"}],"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"corr_author":"1","DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","publication":"Geophysical Research Letters","intvolume":" 53","citation":{"ista":"Charinti GA, Davin A, Polesello A, Muller CJ, Pasquero C. 2026. Impact of upper-level warming on tropical cyclone intensity. Geophysical Research Letters. 53(17), e2025GL121307.","ieee":"G. A. Charinti, A. Davin, A. Polesello, C. J. Muller, and C. Pasquero, “Impact of upper-level warming on tropical cyclone intensity,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 53, no. 17. Wiley, 2026.","chicago":"Charinti, Giousef Alexandros, Andrea Davin, Andrea Polesello, Caroline J Muller, and Claudia Pasquero. “Impact of Upper-Level Warming on Tropical Cyclone Intensity.” Geophysical Research Letters. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL121307.","short":"G.A. Charinti, A. Davin, A. Polesello, C.J. Muller, C. Pasquero, Geophysical Research Letters 53 (2026).","ama":"Charinti GA, Davin A, Polesello A, Muller CJ, Pasquero C. Impact of upper-level warming on tropical cyclone intensity. Geophysical Research Letters. 2026;53(17). doi:10.1029/2025GL121307","apa":"Charinti, G. A., Davin, A., Polesello, A., Muller, C. J., & Pasquero, C. (2026). Impact of upper-level warming on tropical cyclone intensity. Geophysical Research Letters. 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This research was supported by the \r\nScientific Service Units of The Institute of Science and Technology Austria (ISTA) \r\nthrough resources provided by the Miba Machine Shop and the Imaging & Optics \r\nFacility. ","keyword":["aerosol physics","electrostatics","optics","optical tweezers","atmospheric electricity"],"publisher":"Institute of Science and Technology Austria","_id":"23033","title":"Microscale electrical behavior of highly charged individual aerosol particles using optical tweezers","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"OA_embargo":"6","acknowledged_ssus":[{"_id":"M-Shop"},{"_id":"Bio"}],"OA_place":"publisher","date_published":"2026-10-02T00:00:00Z","month":"10","citation":{"mla":"Stöllner, Andrea. Microscale Electrical Behavior of Highly Charged Individual Aerosol Particles Using Optical Tweezers. Institute of Science and Technology Austria, 2026, doi:10.15479/AT-ISTA-23033.","apa":"Stöllner, A. (2026). Microscale electrical behavior of highly charged individual aerosol particles using optical tweezers. Institute of Science and Technology Austria. https://doi.org/10.15479/AT-ISTA-23033","chicago":"Stöllner, Andrea. “Microscale Electrical Behavior of Highly Charged Individual Aerosol Particles Using Optical Tweezers.” Institute of Science and Technology Austria, 2026. https://doi.org/10.15479/AT-ISTA-23033.","ista":"Stöllner A. 2026. Microscale electrical behavior of highly charged individual aerosol particles using optical tweezers. Institute of Science and Technology Austria.","ieee":"A. Stöllner, “Microscale electrical behavior of highly charged individual aerosol particles using optical tweezers,” Institute of Science and Technology Austria, 2026.","ama":"Stöllner A. Microscale electrical behavior of highly charged individual aerosol particles using optical tweezers. 2026. doi:10.15479/AT-ISTA-23033","short":"A. Stöllner, Microscale Electrical Behavior of Highly Charged Individual Aerosol Particles Using Optical Tweezers, Institute of Science and Technology Austria, 2026."},"related_material":{"record":[{"relation":"part_of_dissertation","id":"20705","status":"public"},{"status":"public","id":"23038","relation":"part_of_dissertation"}]},"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9","corr_author":"1","file_date_updated":"2026-10-05T12:06:04Z","author":[{"last_name":"Stöllner","full_name":"Stöllner, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea","orcid":"0000-0002-0464-8440","id":"4bdcf7f6-eb97-11eb-a6c2-9981bbdc3bed"}],"article_processing_charge":"No","doi":"10.15479/AT-ISTA-23033","date_created":"2026-10-02T10:03:57Z","publication_status":"published","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"issn":["2663-337X"]}},{"acknowledgement":"We thank Todor Asenov and Abdulhamid Baghdadi\r\nfor their outstanding technical support. This project\r\nhas received funding from the European Research Council\r\n(ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research\r\nand innovation programme (Grant agreements No. 949120\r\nand No. 805041). This research was supported by the\r\nScientific Service Units of The Institute of Science and\r\nTechnology Austria (ISTA) through resources provided\r\nby the Miba Machine Shop.","OA_type":"green","arxiv":1,"department":[{"_id":"CaMu"},{"_id":"ScWa"}],"year":"2026","status":"public","type":"preprint","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"call_identifier":"H2020","name":"Tribocharge: a multi-scale approach to an enduring problem in physics","grant_number":"949120","_id":"0aa60e99-070f-11eb-9043-a6de6bdc3afa"},{"_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","call_identifier":"H2020"}],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040","date_updated":"2026-10-09T11:09:09Z","day":"17","author":[{"last_name":"Stöllner","orcid":"0000-0002-0464-8440","id":"4bdcf7f6-eb97-11eb-a6c2-9981bbdc3bed","full_name":"Stöllner, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea"},{"first_name":"Isaac C. D.","full_name":"Lenton, Isaac C. D.","last_name":"Lenton"},{"first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","last_name":"Muller"},{"orcid":"0000-0002-2299-3176","id":"3A1FFC16-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","first_name":"Scott R","full_name":"Waitukaitis, Scott R","last_name":"Waitukaitis"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Electrical discharge at the smallest possible length and charge scales is not well understood. Using optical tweezers, we investigate spontaneous discharges of a single micron-scale particle levitated in air. These ``microdischarges'' have a typical size of $\\sim$40 $|e|$, but can be as small as a few $|e|$ and as large as several hundred. The absence of a well-defined trigger charge and the weak dependence on particle size suggest events are not classical gaseous breakdown. Instead, we show that microdischarge events arise from the rapid capture of ions left in the tracks of nearby passing ionizing radiation. Our results highlight the role of natural ionizing radiation in initiating micron-scale discharges and provide a platform for studying discharge physics in electrode-free environments and at the smallest scales."}],"external_id":{"arxiv":["2604.16040"]},"date_created":"2026-10-02T11:35:14Z","publication_status":"draft","article_processing_charge":"No","doi":"10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040","oa_version":"Preprint","citation":{"ieee":"A. Stöllner, I. C. D. Lenton, C. J. Muller, and S. R. Waitukaitis, “Discharge at the microscale: Using optical tweezers to observe Muon-induced discharges of a levitated microparticle in air,” arXiv. .","ista":"Stöllner A, Lenton ICD, Muller CJ, Waitukaitis SR. Discharge at the microscale: Using optical tweezers to observe Muon-induced discharges of a levitated microparticle in air. arXiv, 10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040.","chicago":"Stöllner, Andrea, Isaac C. D. Lenton, Caroline J Muller, and Scott R Waitukaitis. “Discharge at the Microscale: Using Optical Tweezers to Observe Muon-Induced Discharges of a Levitated Microparticle in Air.” ArXiv, n.d. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040.","ama":"Stöllner A, Lenton ICD, Muller CJ, Waitukaitis SR. Discharge at the microscale: Using optical tweezers to observe Muon-induced discharges of a levitated microparticle in air. arXiv. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040","short":"A. Stöllner, I.C.D. Lenton, C.J. Muller, S.R. Waitukaitis, ArXiv (n.d.).","mla":"Stöllner, Andrea, et al. “Discharge at the Microscale: Using Optical Tweezers to Observe Muon-Induced Discharges of a Levitated Microparticle in Air.” ArXiv, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040.","apa":"Stöllner, A., Lenton, I. C. D., Muller, C. J., & Waitukaitis, S. R. (n.d.). Discharge at the microscale: Using optical tweezers to observe Muon-induced discharges of a levitated microparticle in air. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040"},"publication":"arXiv","related_material":{"record":[{"id":"23033","status":"public","relation":"dissertation_contains"}]},"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"8b945eb4-e2f2-11eb-945a-df72226e66a9","corr_author":"1","acknowledged_ssus":[{"_id":"M-Shop"}],"date_published":"2026-04-17T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"repository","oa":1,"month":"04","_id":"23038","title":"Discharge at the microscale: Using optical tweezers to observe Muon-induced discharges of a levitated microparticle in air","main_file_link":[{"open_access":"1","url":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.16040"}]},{"article_type":"original","title":"Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific","_id":"19080","publisher":"Springer Nature","volume":8,"month":"02","oa":1,"date_published":"2025-02-24T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","tmp":{"legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode","short":"CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc_nd.png","name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)"},"isi":1,"DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"317138e5-6ab7-11ef-aa6d-ffef3953e345","corr_author":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"publication":"npj Climate and Atmospheric Science","intvolume":" 8","citation":{"ama":"Tompkins AM, Casallas Garcia A, De Vera MV. Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2025;8. doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2","short":"A.M. Tompkins, A. Casallas Garcia, M.V. De Vera, Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 8 (2025).","ieee":"A. M. Tompkins, A. Casallas Garcia, and M. V. De Vera, “Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific,” npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 8. Springer Nature, 2025.","chicago":"Tompkins, Adrian Mike, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, and Michie Vianca De Vera. “Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Aggregation and Spatial Humidity Variability in the Tropical Western Pacific.” Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. Springer Nature, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2.","ista":"Tompkins AM, Casallas Garcia A, De Vera MV. 2025. Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 8, 69.","mla":"Tompkins, Adrian Mike, et al. “Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Aggregation and Spatial Humidity Variability in the Tropical Western Pacific.” Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 8, 69, Springer Nature, 2025, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2.","apa":"Tompkins, A. M., Casallas Garcia, A., & De Vera, M. V. (2025). Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2"},"publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2397-3722"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","date_created":"2025-02-24T10:18:50Z","doi":"10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2","publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"Yes","external_id":{"isi":["001432282900002"]},"author":[{"first_name":"Adrian Mike","full_name":"Tompkins, Adrian Mike","last_name":"Tompkins"},{"last_name":"Casallas Garcia","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","first_name":"Alejandro"},{"last_name":"De Vera","full_name":"De Vera, Michie Vianca","first_name":"Michie Vianca"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"We examine mesoscale convective organisation in the tropical western Pacific using a multivariate analysis of column humidity, precipitation and sea surface temperature (SST) observations. We demonstrate that in boreal summer and autumn, convection remains spatially random despite radiative-feedbacks acting to aggregate convection, which we attribute to the high density of convective moisture sources and the role of wind shear. Instead, in winter and spring, a weak meridional SST gradient exists and convection is usually clustered over the regions of warmer SSTs, with significant meridional humidity gradients. However, this is sporadically interrupted by episodes of convection migration to the coldest SSTs and limited spatial humidity variance. These episodes are the result of westward propagating equatorial waves, which remove meridional humidity gradients. It appears that the drivers of mesoscale convective clustering and humidity variability in the Pacific warm pool are the SST gradients, shear, and equatorial wave dynamics."}],"file_date_updated":"2025-02-24T10:24:12Z","article_number":"69","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"day":"24","date_updated":"2025-09-30T10:41:20Z","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2","project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","call_identifier":"H2020","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","grant_number":"101034413"}],"ec_funded":1,"type":"journal_article","status":"public","has_accepted_license":"1","year":"2025","file":[{"creator":"acasalla","file_name":"Casallas_npj_2025.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","date_updated":"2025-02-24T10:18:47Z","checksum":"a62c4fd5ddc1b240ed1e755d02ef7c05","access_level":"open_access","file_id":"19081","date_created":"2025-02-24T10:18:47Z","file_size":5807997},{"relation":"main_file","file_name":"Casallas_npj_2025_SM.pdf","content_type":"application/pdf","creator":"acasalla","date_updated":"2025-02-24T10:24:12Z","file_size":13703455,"checksum":"101072da7cbcc8b44aa47e3317546f78","date_created":"2025-02-24T10:24:12Z","file_id":"19082","access_level":"open_access","success":1}],"department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"quality_controlled":"1","OA_type":"gold","acknowledgement":"This paper is based on A.C. Ph.D. thesis, chapter 4. A.C. was supported by an ICTP Ph.D scholarship and subsequently by funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. MVDV was supported by an ICTP diploma programme scholarship while carrying out analysis for this publication. The funders played no role in study design, data collection, analysis and interpretation of data, or the writing of this manuscript. We would like to thank Maria Gehne of NOAA for providing the code for the wave activity calculation and advice on its use, and Fred Kucharski, Erika Coppola, Hernández-Deckers, Caroline Muller and Paolina Cerlini for their insightful comments and advice"},{"scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791","day":"18","date_updated":"2025-09-30T11:04:38Z","ec_funded":1,"issue":"3","project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","call_identifier":"H2020"},{"call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"type":"journal_article","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","file":[{"checksum":"bc32677e63f8abb07b330f4a08da796d","file_id":"19417","date_created":"2025-03-19T07:58:21Z","access_level":"open_access","file_size":18285343,"creator":"acasalla","relation":"main_file","file_name":"Casallas_et_al_2025_dclr.pdf","content_type":"application/pdf","date_updated":"2025-03-19T07:58:21Z"}],"year":"2025","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"This article is based on chapter 3 of AC Ph.D. thesis. The authors thank Graziano Giuliani for his coding assistance. We also thank Daniel Hernández-Deckers, Paolina Cerlini, and especially to Giovanni Biagioli for discussions and feedback. We also thank two reviewers for their insightful comments. AC was supported by a fellowship awarded by ICTP and by the European Union Horizon 2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. CM acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041).","article_type":"original","title":"Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance","_id":"19416","publisher":"Wiley","volume":17,"month":"03","date_published":"2025-03-18T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","oa":1,"tmp":{"legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode","short":"CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc_nd.png","name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)"},"corr_author":"1","user_id":"317138e5-6ab7-11ef-aa6d-ffef3953e345","isi":1,"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"ama":"Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM, Muller CJ, Thompson G. Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2025;17(3). doi:10.1029/2024MS004791","short":"A. Casallas Garcia, A.M. Tompkins, C.J. Muller, G. Thompson, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 17 (2025).","ista":"Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM, Muller CJ, Thompson G. 2025. Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 17(3), e2024MS004791.","ieee":"A. Casallas Garcia, A. M. Tompkins, C. J. Muller, and G. Thompson, “Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 17, no. 3. Wiley, 2025.","chicago":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, A.M. Tompkins, Caroline J Muller, and G. Thompson. “Sensitivity of Self-Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791.","apa":"Casallas Garcia, A., Tompkins, A. M., Muller, C. J., & Thompson, G. (2025). Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791","mla":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, et al. “Sensitivity of Self-Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 17, no. 3, e2024MS004791, Wiley, 2025, doi:10.1029/2024MS004791."},"intvolume":" 17","publication":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1942-2466"]},"article_processing_charge":"Yes","publication_status":"published","doi":"10.1029/2024MS004791","date_created":"2025-03-19T07:58:38Z","abstract":[{"text":"Recently, Biagioli and Tompkins (2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003231) used a simple stochastic model to derive a dimensionless parameter to predict convective self aggregation (SA) development, which was based on the derivation of the maximum free convective distance ($d_{clr}$) expected in the pre-aggregated, random state. Our goal is to test and further investigate this hypothesis, namely that $d_{clr}$ can predict SA occurrence, using an ensemble of twenty-four distinct combinations of horizontal mixing, planetary boundary layer (PBL), and microphysical parameterizations. We conclude that the key impact of parameterization schemes on SA is through their control of the number of convective cores and their relative spacing, $d_{clr}$, which itself is impacted by cold-pool (CP) properties and mean updraft core size. SA is more likely when the convective core count is small, while CPs modify convective spacing via suppression in their interiors and triggering by gust-front convergence and collisions. Each parameterization scheme emphasizes a different mechanism. Subgrid-scale horizontal turbulent mixing mainly affects SA through the determination of convective core size and thus spacing. The sensitivity to the microphysics is mainly through rain evaporation and the subsequent impact on CPs, while perturbations to the ice cloud microphysics have a limited effect. Non-local PBL mixing schemes promote SA primarily by increasing convective inhibition through inversion entrainment and altering low cloud amounts, leading to fewer convective cores and larger $d_{clr}$. ","lang":"eng"}],"author":[{"first_name":"Alejandro","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","last_name":"Casallas Garcia"},{"first_name":"A.M.","full_name":"Tompkins, A.M.","last_name":"Tompkins"},{"last_name":"Muller","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","first_name":"Caroline J","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J"},{"full_name":"Thompson, G.","first_name":"G.","last_name":"Thompson"}],"external_id":{"isi":["001447023900001"]},"article_number":"e2024MS004791","file_date_updated":"2025-03-19T07:58:21Z"},{"date_published":"2025-07-01T00:00:00Z","month":"07","volume":324,"title":"High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America","article_type":"original","publisher":"Elsevier","_id":"19585","date_created":"2025-04-17T09:04:17Z","article_processing_charge":"No","doi":"10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761","publication_status":"published","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1879-0704"],"issn":["0034-4257"]},"oa_version":"None","article_number":"114761","author":[{"last_name":"Antezana-Lopez","first_name":"Franz","full_name":"Antezana-Lopez, Franz"},{"last_name":"Casallas Garcia","first_name":"Alejandro","full_name":"Casallas Garcia, Alejandro","orcid":"0000-0002-1988-5035","id":"92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a"},{"first_name":"Guanhua","full_name":"Zhou, Guanhua","last_name":"Zhou"},{"full_name":"Zhang, Kai","first_name":"Kai","last_name":"Zhang"},{"full_name":"Jing, Guifei","first_name":"Guifei","last_name":"Jing"},{"last_name":"Ali","first_name":"Aamir","full_name":"Ali, Aamir"},{"full_name":"Lopez-Barrera, Ellie","first_name":"Ellie","last_name":"Lopez-Barrera"},{"last_name":"Belalcazar","full_name":"Belalcazar, Luis Carlos","first_name":"Luis Carlos"},{"first_name":"Nestor","full_name":"Rojas, Nestor","last_name":"Rojas"},{"last_name":"Jiang","first_name":"Hongzhi","full_name":"Jiang, Hongzhi"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"Air quality in northern South America faces significant challenges due to insufficient high-resolution emission inventories and sparse atmospheric studies. This study addresses these gaps by developing a novel framework that integrates high-resolution nighttime light data from SDGSAT-1 and multisource remote sensing datasets with deep learning techniques to downscale emission inventories. The refined inventories are coupled with meteorological inputs into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-Chem) model, enabling precise simulation of pollutant dynamics. Validated against ground measurements from Colombia's SISAIRE monitoring network, demonstrates significant improvements in spatiotemporal accuracy, particularly for particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) with error reductions of 22–30 % and correlation coefficients increasing from 0.68 to 0.85. These findings underscore the critical role of satellite-enhanced inventories in resolving localized emission patterns and seasonal variability, such as dry-season PM₁₀ spikes (150 % increase from wildfires). The framework provides policymakers with actionable insights to prioritize mitigation in rapidly urbanizing regions and manage transboundary pollution. By bridging data scarcity gaps, this replicable methodology offers transformative potential for global air quality management and public health protection, advocating for expanded ground monitoring networks and real-time satellite data integration in future applications."}],"external_id":{"isi":["001475174300001"]},"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","isi":1,"citation":{"ama":"Antezana-Lopez F, Casallas Garcia A, Zhou G, et al. High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America. Remote Sensing of Environment. 2025;324. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761","short":"F. Antezana-Lopez, A. Casallas Garcia, G. Zhou, K. Zhang, G. Jing, A. Ali, E. Lopez-Barrera, L.C. Belalcazar, N. Rojas, H. Jiang, Remote Sensing of Environment 324 (2025).","chicago":"Antezana-Lopez, Franz, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, Guanhua Zhou, Kai Zhang, Guifei Jing, Aamir Ali, Ellie Lopez-Barrera, Luis Carlos Belalcazar, Nestor Rojas, and Hongzhi Jiang. “High-Resolution Anthropogenic Emission Inventories with Deep Learning in Northern South America.” Remote Sensing of Environment. Elsevier, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761.","ieee":"F. Antezana-Lopez et al., “High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 324. Elsevier, 2025.","ista":"Antezana-Lopez F, Casallas Garcia A, Zhou G, Zhang K, Jing G, Ali A, Lopez-Barrera E, Belalcazar LC, Rojas N, Jiang H. 2025. High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America. Remote Sensing of Environment. 324, 114761.","apa":"Antezana-Lopez, F., Casallas Garcia, A., Zhou, G., Zhang, K., Jing, G., Ali, A., … Jiang, H. (2025). High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America. Remote Sensing of Environment. Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761","mla":"Antezana-Lopez, Franz, et al. “High-Resolution Anthropogenic Emission Inventories with Deep Learning in Northern South America.” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 324, 114761, Elsevier, 2025, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761."},"intvolume":" 324","publication":"Remote Sensing of Environment","ec_funded":1,"project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program"}],"has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","type":"journal_article","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761","day":"01","date_updated":"2025-12-30T08:15:35Z","OA_type":"closed access","quality_controlled":"1","acknowledgement":"This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42471425). The research findings are a component of the SDGSAT-1 Open Science Program, which is conducted by the International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals (CBAS). The data utilized in this study is sourced from SDGSAT-1 and provided by CBAS. Alejandro Casallas was supported by a fellowship awarded by the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics and also by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. Ellie López-Barrera was supported by project No. IN.BG.086.24.015 from Universidad Sergio Arboleda.","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"year":"2025"},{"fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025","day":"25","date_updated":"2025-07-09T08:40:18Z","scopus_import":"1","ddc":["550"],"type":"journal_article","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","ec_funded":1,"issue":"2","page":"489-503","project":[{"_id":"fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c","grant_number":"101034413","name":"IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program","call_identifier":"H2020"}],"PlanS_conform":"1","file":[{"date_updated":"2025-05-12T08:23:10Z","file_name":"2025_WeatherClimateDynam_Gnanaraj.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","creator":"dernst","success":1,"file_size":6500575,"checksum":"2ea68f7e51ee39ccb6886719a83a78ca","access_level":"open_access","date_created":"2025-05-12T08:23:10Z","file_id":"19680"}],"year":"2025","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"acknowledgement":"We thank Bjorn Stevens for suggesting the study and for substantial ideas along the way. We also thank Sebastian Rast for helping with the model compilation. This work used resources of the German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ) under project ID mh0066 for our experiments and analysis. Jiawei Bao acknowledges the European Union's Horizon 2020 for funding.Jiawei Bao has been supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under a Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant (grant agreement no. 101034413).\r\nThe article processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by the Max Planck Society.","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","_id":"19662","publisher":"Copernicus Publications","article_type":"original","title":"The impact of the rotation rate on an aquaplanet's radiant energy budget: Insights from experiments varying the Coriolis parameter","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"month":"04","volume":6,"date_published":"2025-04-25T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","oa":1,"citation":{"ieee":"A. M. Gnanaraj, J. Bao, and H. Schmidt, “The impact of the rotation rate on an aquaplanet’s radiant energy budget: Insights from experiments varying the Coriolis parameter,” Weather and Climate Dynamics, vol. 6, no. 2. Copernicus Publications, pp. 489–503, 2025.","chicago":"Gnanaraj, Abisha Mary, Jiawei Bao, and Hauke Schmidt. “The Impact of the Rotation Rate on an Aquaplanet’s Radiant Energy Budget: Insights from Experiments Varying the Coriolis Parameter.” Weather and Climate Dynamics. Copernicus Publications, 2025. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025.","ista":"Gnanaraj AM, Bao J, Schmidt H. 2025. The impact of the rotation rate on an aquaplanet’s radiant energy budget: Insights from experiments varying the Coriolis parameter. Weather and Climate Dynamics. 6(2), 489–503.","ama":"Gnanaraj AM, Bao J, Schmidt H. The impact of the rotation rate on an aquaplanet’s radiant energy budget: Insights from experiments varying the Coriolis parameter. Weather and Climate Dynamics. 2025;6(2):489-503. doi:10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025","short":"A.M. Gnanaraj, J. Bao, H. Schmidt, Weather and Climate Dynamics 6 (2025) 489–503.","mla":"Gnanaraj, Abisha Mary, et al. “The Impact of the Rotation Rate on an Aquaplanet’s Radiant Energy Budget: Insights from Experiments Varying the Coriolis Parameter.” Weather and Climate Dynamics, vol. 6, no. 2, Copernicus Publications, 2025, pp. 489–503, doi:10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025.","apa":"Gnanaraj, A. M., Bao, J., & Schmidt, H. (2025). The impact of the rotation rate on an aquaplanet’s radiant energy budget: Insights from experiments varying the Coriolis parameter. Weather and Climate Dynamics. Copernicus Publications. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025"},"intvolume":" 6","publication":"Weather and Climate Dynamics","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","DOAJ_listed":"1","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"We investigate the effect of changes in the Coriolis force caused by changes in the rotation rate on the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiant energy budget of an aquaplanet general circulation model with prescribed sea surface temperatures. We analyse the effective radiative forcing caused by changes from Earth-like rotation to values between 1/32 and 8 times the Earth's rotation rate. The forcing differs by about 60 W m−2 between the fastest and slowest rotation cases, with a monotonically increasing positive forcing for faster-than-Earth-like rotations and a non-monotonically increasing negative forcing for slower rotations. The largest contributions to the forcing are due to changes in, in this order, the shortwave cloud radiative effect (SWCRE) and the clear-sky outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). From the fastest to the slowest rotation, the Hadley cell expands and the troposphere becomes drier, increasing the OLR. This contributes to negative forcing at slower-than-Earth-like rotations and to positive forcing at faster-than-Earth-like rotations. The SWCRE is influenced by changes in the low-level cloudiness within the Hadley cell and the baroclinic regime. With the expansion of the Hadley cell, the area of enhanced tropospheric stability increases, resulting in more low-level clouds, a higher SWCRE, and increased negative forcing. The non-monotonicity results from an intermediate decrease in the SWCRE caused by the disappearance of baroclinic eddies as the Hadley cell reaches global extension. At rotations faster than Earth-like, the decrease in the SWCRE, mainly due to the weakening of baroclinic eddies and storm systems, leads to an increase in positive forcing. In summary, changes in the SWCRE, driven by different circulation responses at slower-than-Earth-like and faster-than-Earth-like rotations, strongly influence the TOA radiant energy budget. These effects, along with a substantial contribution from the clear-sky OLR, could impact the habitability of Earth-like rotating planets."}],"author":[{"first_name":"Abisha Mary","full_name":"Gnanaraj, Abisha Mary","last_name":"Gnanaraj"},{"id":"bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160","first_name":"Jiawei","full_name":"Bao, Jiawei","last_name":"Bao"},{"full_name":"Schmidt, Hauke","first_name":"Hauke","last_name":"Schmidt"}],"file_date_updated":"2025-05-12T08:23:10Z","oa_version":"Published Version","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2698-4016"]},"publication_status":"published","article_processing_charge":"Yes (via OA deal)","doi":"10.5194/wcd-6-489-2025","date_created":"2025-05-11T22:02:38Z"},{"department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}],"file":[{"checksum":"2f7c74aceaeea4be1fff4de300791319","file_id":"19683","date_created":"2025-05-12T12:17:08Z","access_level":"open_access","file_size":942325,"success":1,"creator":"dernst","file_name":"2025_JAMES_Polesello.pdf","relation":"main_file","content_type":"application/pdf","date_updated":"2025-05-12T12:17:08Z"}],"year":"2025","acknowledgement":"The authors acknowledge two anonymous reviewers and the editor who provided insightful remarks and comments that helped to significantly improve the manuscript. AP and CJM gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). Part of this work is an outcome of the project MIUR—Dipartimenti di Eccellenza 2023–2027. ANM is supported by HPC-TRES Grant 2023-04.","OA_type":"gold","quality_controlled":"1","fulldoi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004613","date_updated":"2025-09-30T12:30:29Z","day":"01","ddc":["550"],"scopus_import":"1","has_accepted_license":"1","status":"public","type":"journal_article","ec_funded":1,"issue":"4","project":[{"call_identifier":"H2020","grant_number":"805041","name":"Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576"}],"citation":{"mla":"Polesello, Andrea, et al. “Intensity Oscillations of Tropical Cyclones: Surface versus Mid and Upper Tropospheric Processes.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 17, no. 4, e2024MS004613, Wiley, 2025, doi:10.1029/2024MS004613.","apa":"Polesello, A., Charinti, G. A., Meroni, A. N., Muller, C. J., & Pasquero, C. (2025). Intensity oscillations of tropical cyclones: Surface versus mid and upper tropospheric processes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004613","ama":"Polesello A, Charinti GA, Meroni AN, Muller CJ, Pasquero C. Intensity oscillations of tropical cyclones: Surface versus mid and upper tropospheric processes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2025;17(4). doi:10.1029/2024MS004613","short":"A. Polesello, G.A. Charinti, A.N. Meroni, C.J. Muller, C. Pasquero, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 17 (2025).","ieee":"A. Polesello, G. A. Charinti, A. N. Meroni, C. J. Muller, and C. Pasquero, “Intensity oscillations of tropical cyclones: Surface versus mid and upper tropospheric processes,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 17, no. 4. Wiley, 2025.","ista":"Polesello A, Charinti GA, Meroni AN, Muller CJ, Pasquero C. 2025. Intensity oscillations of tropical cyclones: Surface versus mid and upper tropospheric processes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 17(4), e2024MS004613.","chicago":"Polesello, Andrea, Giousef Alexandros Charinti, Agostino Niyonkuru Meroni, Caroline J Muller, and Claudia Pasquero. “Intensity Oscillations of Tropical Cyclones: Surface versus Mid and Upper Tropospheric Processes.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004613."},"intvolume":" 17","publication":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"DOAJ_listed":"1","user_id":"317138e5-6ab7-11ef-aa6d-ffef3953e345","corr_author":"1","isi":1,"article_number":"e2024MS004613","file_date_updated":"2025-05-12T12:17:08Z","author":[{"last_name":"Polesello","id":"74c777f4-32da-11ee-b498-874db0835561","full_name":"Polesello, Andrea","first_name":"Andrea"},{"last_name":"Charinti","id":"7f7cc04c-074c-11ed-af92-eb16afd85c75","first_name":"Giousef Alexandros","full_name":"Charinti, Giousef Alexandros"},{"last_name":"Meroni","full_name":"Meroni, Agostino Niyonkuru","first_name":"Agostino Niyonkuru"},{"full_name":"Muller, Caroline J","first_name":"Caroline J","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","last_name":"Muller"},{"last_name":"Pasquero","first_name":"Claudia","full_name":"Pasquero, Claudia"}],"abstract":[{"text":"Some of the classical models of tropical cyclone intensification predict tropical cyclones to intensify up to a steady intensity, which depends on surface fluxes only, without any relevant role played by convective motions in the troposphere, typically assumed to have a moist adiabatic lapse rate. Simulations performed using the non-hydrostatic, high-resolution model System for Atmosphere Modeling in idealized settings (rotating radiative-convective equilibrium on a doubly periodic domain) show early intensification consistent with these theoretical expectations, but different intensity evolution, with the cyclone undergoing an oscillation in wind speed. This oscillation can be linked to feedbacks between the cyclone intensity and air buoyancy: convective heating, radiative heating, and mixing with warm low stratospheric air warm the mid and upper troposphere of the cyclone stabilizing the air column and thus reducing its intensity. After the intensity decay phase, mid and upper tropospheric cooling, mostly through cold advection from the surroundings, cooled by radiation, rebuilds Convective Available Potential Energy, that peaks just before a new intensification phase. These idealized simulations thus highlight the potentially important interactions between a tropical cyclone, its environment and radiation.","lang":"eng"}],"external_id":{"isi":["001472439600001"]},"publication_status":"published","date_created":"2025-05-11T22:02:41Z","doi":"10.1029/2024MS004613","article_processing_charge":"Yes","publication_identifier":{"eissn":["1942-2466"]},"oa_version":"Published Version","publisher":"Wiley","_id":"19672","title":"Intensity oscillations of tropical cyclones: Surface versus mid and upper tropospheric processes","article_type":"original","tmp":{"name":"Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)","short":"CC BY (4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by.png","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode"},"date_published":"2025-04-01T00:00:00Z","OA_place":"publisher","oa":1,"month":"04","volume":17}]