---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '21013'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: We have addressed convective self‐aggregation (CSA) in steady and oscillating
    sea surface temperature (SST) and solar radiation (SOLIN) cloud‐resolving model
    simulations in a non‐rotating radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE) framework.
    Our experiment designs are motivated by land‐ocean heterogeneity of atmospheric
    convection. The steady and oscillating forcings are idealizations of ocean and
    land conditions, respectively, based on their differences in heat capacities.
    In both kinds of simulations, the diurnal mean SST and SOLIN are the same, and
    both SST and SOLIN are only varied in time (i.e., they are spatially homogeneous
    at any given time). We find that diurnally oscillating forcing accelerates CSA.
    Stronger long‐wave cooling in dry regions at night and during the warm SST phase
    (late afternoon) both allow the long‐wave feedback, known to favor aggregation,
    to intensify compared to steady forcing simulations. In addition to the long‐wave,
    reduced short‐wave warming in dry regions (during the day) further enhances radiative
    cooling there compared to moist regions. Overall, the radiative cooling is enhanced
    in dry regions compared to neighboring moist convective regions. A dry subsidence
    is driven by this net radiative (short‐wave plus long‐wave) cooling, consistent
    with earlier work on CSA. Stronger radiative cooling allows stronger subsidence
    which allows low‐level circulation to more efficiently transport moisture and
    energy up‐gradient, driving convection to aggregate faster. We also note a sensitivity
    of our experimental setup to initial conditions, more so at warmer SST. This stochastic
    behavior might be critical in reconciling the differences of opinion regarding
    the response of convection aggregation to oscillating SST forcing.
acknowledged_ssus:
- _id: ScienComp
acknowledgement: The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research
  Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
  (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). This research was supported by the
  Scientific Service Units (SSU) of ISTA through resources provided by Scientific
  Computing (SciComp). We are grateful to three anonymous reviewer(s) for their insightful
  suggestions that have improved the quality of our manuscript. Open Access funding
  provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ.
article_number: e2024MS004576
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: BIDYUT B
  full_name: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B
  id: 3a4ac09c-6d61-11ec-bf66-884cde66b64b
  last_name: GOSWAMI
  orcid: 0000-0001-8602-3083
- first_name: Ziyin
  full_name: Lu, Ziyin
  id: a6e549c6-8972-11ed-ae7b-a336d97ac043
  last_name: Lu
  orcid: 0009-0008-5320-7730
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
  ama: GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating
    sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. <i>Journal of Advances
    in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. 2026;18(1). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576">10.1029/2024ms004576</a>
  apa: GOSWAMI, B. B., Lu, Z., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2026). Convective self‐aggregation
    in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments.
    <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576">https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576</a>
  chicago: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B, Ziyin Lu, and Caroline J Muller. “Convective Self‐aggregation
    in Diurnally Oscillating Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.”
    <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576">https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576</a>.
  ieee: B. B. GOSWAMI, Z. Lu, and C. J. Muller, “Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally
    oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments,” <i>Journal
    of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>, vol. 18, no. 1. Wiley, 2026.
  ista: GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. 2026. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally
    oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of
    Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 18(1), e2024MS004576.
  mla: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B., et al. “Convective Self‐aggregation in Diurnally Oscillating
    Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.” <i>Journal of Advances
    in Modeling Earth Systems</i>, vol. 18, no. 1, e2024MS004576, Wiley, 2026, doi:<a
    href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576">10.1029/2024ms004576</a>.
  short: B.B. GOSWAMI, Z. Lu, C.J. Muller, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
    18 (2026).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2026-01-20T10:08:54Z
date_published: 2026-01-12T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-01-21T08:41:19Z
day: '12'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
- _id: BjHo
- _id: GradSch
doi: 10.1029/2024ms004576
ec_funded: 1
file:
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intvolume: '        18'
issue: '1'
language:
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license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
month: '01'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1942-2466
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature
  and solar forcing experiments
tmp:
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  short: CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 18
year: '2026'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '21035'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: According to the scientific consensus, tropical convection must decrease with
    global warming. This decrease is manifested by a decrease of the mass transported
    in the upward branch of the atmospheric overturning circulation – the convective
    mass flux – and a connected decrease of high clouds in the tropics, with implications
    for climate sensitivity. By using kilometer-scale simulations in radiative-convective
    equilibrium and a convective tracking algorithm, we show that no such decrease
    occurs in storms when taken individually and that the mass transport per storm
    increases instead. Storms can achieve this result by aggregating more surface
    of the convective cores – the inner part of the storm doing the vertical transport
    – so that the decrease of tropical convection is actually explained by a decrease
    in the total number of storms. There is little variation of the mean pressure
    velocity in the cores of the storms, a robust finding of this study. This remarkable
    invariance of the mean pressure velocity points to an emerging property of convection
    that should receive more attention in future studies.
acknowledgement: We thank Sophie Cloché for her support with the handling of the various
  datasets. This study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is
  supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and Ecole Polytechnique. The authors
  acknowledge the CNES and CNRS support under the Megha-Tropiques program. C.M. gratefully
  acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European
  Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement
  No. 805041).
article_number: '14'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Maximilien
  full_name: Bolot, Maximilien
  last_name: Bolot
- first_name: Rémy
  full_name: Roca, Rémy
  last_name: Roca
- first_name: Thomas
  full_name: Fiolleau, Thomas
  last_name: Fiolleau
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
  ama: Bolot M, Roca R, Fiolleau T, Muller CJ. No decrease of tropical convection
    in individual deep convective systems with global warming. <i>npj Climate and
    Atmospheric Science</i>. 2026;9. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5">10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5</a>
  apa: Bolot, M., Roca, R., Fiolleau, T., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2026). No decrease
    of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming.
    <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5</a>
  chicago: Bolot, Maximilien, Rémy Roca, Thomas Fiolleau, and Caroline J Muller. “No
    Decrease of Tropical Convection in Individual Deep Convective Systems with Global
    Warming.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature, 2026. <a
    href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5</a>.
  ieee: M. Bolot, R. Roca, T. Fiolleau, and C. J. Muller, “No decrease of tropical
    convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming,” <i>npj
    Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 9. Springer Nature, 2026.
  ista: Bolot M, Roca R, Fiolleau T, Muller CJ. 2026. No decrease of tropical convection
    in individual deep convective systems with global warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric
    Science. 9, 14.
  mla: Bolot, Maximilien, et al. “No Decrease of Tropical Convection in Individual
    Deep Convective Systems with Global Warming.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>,
    vol. 9, 14, Springer Nature, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5">10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5</a>.
  short: M. Bolot, R. Roca, T. Fiolleau, C.J. Muller, Npj Climate and Atmospheric
    Science 9 (2026).
date_created: 2026-01-25T23:01:38Z
date_published: 2026-01-15T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-12T08:41:09Z
day: '15'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01285-5
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  pmid:
  - '41550270'
file:
- access_level: open_access
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  date_created: 2026-02-12T08:39:27Z
  date_updated: 2026-02-12T08:39:27Z
  file_id: '21215'
  file_name: 2026_njpClimateAtmScience_Bolot.pdf
  file_size: 511226
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file_date_updated: 2026-02-12T08:39:27Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '         9'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '01'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
pmid: 1
project:
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2397-3722
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with
  global warming
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by_nc_nd.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
    (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
  short: CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 9
year: '2026'
...
---
_id: '21164'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: 'Global emission inventories often fail to capture the complexities of vehicular
    pollution in regions with unique fuel mixes, such as Brazil’s extensive biofuel
    use, leading to significant uncertainties in atmospheric modeling. This study
    presents a century-long (1960–2100) bottom-up vehicular emission inventory for
    Brazil, leveraging locally derived emission factors. Our estimates reveal substantial
    discrepancies in magnitude, timing, and speciation of non-CO2 pollutants (CO,
    NMHC, PM2.5) compared to leading global inventories (EDGAR, CEDS, CAMS), highlighting
    critical inaccuracies in widely used data sets. More critically, future projections
    under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) uncover a novel positive feedback mechanism:
    rising temperatures significantly enhance vehicular evaporative nonmethane hydrocarbon
    (NMHC) emissions. This temperature-dependent increase and subsequent NMHC oxidation
    to CO2 suggest an overlooked pathway that could amplify climate warming and air
    pollution globally, particularly after a breakpoint around 2050 (p < 0.05). While
    historical emissions peaked in the 1990s–2000s, nonexhaust PM becomes increasingly
    important. Air quality simulations using our inventory in the MUSICA model show
    good regional PM2.5 agreement but highlight challenges in resolving local primary
    pollutant peaks. This comprehensive inventory provides crucial data for Brazil
    and uncovers globally relevant climate–chemistry interactions, urging a re-evaluation
    of regional specificities in global emission assessments.'
acknowledgement: Part of this material is based upon work supported by the NSF National
  Center for Atmospheric Research, which is a major facility sponsored by the National
  Science Foundation under Cooperative Agreement No. 1852977. Casallas was supported
  by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie
  Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. E. D. Freitas thanks the support
  provided by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq,
  Process number 313210/2022–5). Silva gratefully acknowledges the financial support
  from the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), process
  number 140512/2021–7. P. Lichtig was supported by base funding from the National
  Commission for Atomic Energy (CNEA, Arg.) and by NSF NCAR. R.Y. Ynoue thanks the
  support provided by the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development
  (CNPq, Process number 406728/2022–4). M. A. Franco thanks the support provided by
  the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Process
  number 407752/2023–4). G. M. Pereira thanks the support by the Fundação de Amparo
  à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP; Process numbers 2018/07848–9, 2016/18438–0,
  and 2019/01316–80) and Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
  (CAPES; Process number 88887.103225/2025–00). M.F. Andrade thanks the support by
  FAPESP (Process number 2016/18438–0) and CNPQ (Klimapolis INCT).
article_number: 5c08400
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Sergio
  full_name: Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio
  last_name: Ibarra-Espinosa
- first_name: Edmilson
  full_name: Dias de Freitas, Edmilson
  last_name: Dias de Freitas
- first_name: Benjamin
  full_name: Gaubert, Benjamin
  last_name: Gaubert
- first_name: Pablo
  full_name: Lichtig, Pablo
  last_name: Lichtig
- first_name: Karl
  full_name: Ropkins, Karl
  last_name: Ropkins
- first_name: Iara
  full_name: da Silva, Iara
  last_name: da Silva
- first_name: Guilherme
  full_name: Martins Pereira, Guilherme
  last_name: Martins Pereira
- first_name: Daniel
  full_name: Schuch, Daniel
  last_name: Schuch
- first_name: Janaina
  full_name: Nascimento, Janaina
  last_name: Nascimento
- first_name: Leonardo
  full_name: Hoinaski, Leonardo
  last_name: Hoinaski
- first_name: Leila Droprinchinski
  full_name: Martins, Leila Droprinchinski
  last_name: Martins
- first_name: Mario
  full_name: Gavidia-Calderón, Mario
  last_name: Gavidia-Calderón
- first_name: Angel
  full_name: Vara-Vela, Angel
  last_name: Vara-Vela
- first_name: Taciana
  full_name: Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque, Taciana
  last_name: Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque
- first_name: Rita Yuri
  full_name: Ynoue, Rita Yuri
  last_name: Ynoue
- first_name: Sebastian
  full_name: Diez, Sebastian
  last_name: Diez
- first_name: Zamir
  full_name: Mera, Zamir
  last_name: Mera
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: Fidel
  full_name: Vallejo, Fidel
  last_name: Vallejo
- first_name: Valeria
  full_name: Diaz, Valeria
  last_name: Diaz
- first_name: Rizzieri
  full_name: Pedruzzi, Rizzieri
  last_name: Pedruzzi
- first_name: Rosana
  full_name: Abrutzky, Rosana
  last_name: Abrutzky
- first_name: Marco A.
  full_name: Franco, Marco A.
  last_name: Franco
- first_name: Nicolas
  full_name: Huneeus, Nicolas
  last_name: Huneeus
- first_name: Hector
  full_name: Jorquera, Hector
  last_name: Jorquera
- first_name: Luis Carlos
  full_name: Belalcázar-Cerón, Luis Carlos
  last_name: Belalcázar-Cerón
- first_name: Néstor Y.
  full_name: Rojas, Néstor Y.
  last_name: Rojas
- first_name: Maria
  full_name: de Fatima Andrade, Maria
  last_name: de Fatima Andrade
- first_name: Louisa
  full_name: Emmons, Louisa
  last_name: Emmons
- first_name: Guy
  full_name: Brasseur, Guy
  last_name: Brasseur
citation:
  ama: 'Ibarra-Espinosa S, Dias de Freitas E, Gaubert B, et al. A century of vehicular
    emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality.
    <i>Environmental Science &#38;amp; Technology</i>. 2026. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400">10.1021/acs.est.5c08400</a>'
  apa: 'Ibarra-Espinosa, S., Dias de Freitas, E., Gaubert, B., Lichtig, P., Ropkins,
    K., da Silva, I., … Brasseur, G. (2026). A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil:
    Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality. <i>Environmental Science
    &#38;amp; Technology</i>. American Chemical Society. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400">https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400</a>'
  chicago: 'Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio, Edmilson Dias de Freitas, Benjamin Gaubert, Pablo
    Lichtig, Karl Ropkins, Iara da Silva, Guilherme Martins Pereira, et al. “A Century
    of Vehicular Emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the Impacts of Unique Fuel Mix on
    Air Quality.” <i>Environmental Science &#38;amp; Technology</i>. American Chemical
    Society, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400">https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400</a>.'
  ieee: 'S. Ibarra-Espinosa <i>et al.</i>, “A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil:
    Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel mix on air quality,” <i>Environmental Science
    &#38;amp; Technology</i>. American Chemical Society, 2026.'
  ista: 'Ibarra-Espinosa S, Dias de Freitas E, Gaubert B, Lichtig P, Ropkins K, da
    Silva I, Martins Pereira G, Schuch D, Nascimento J, Hoinaski L, Martins LD, Gavidia-Calderón
    M, Vara-Vela A, Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque T, Ynoue RY, Diez S, Mera Z, Casallas
    Garcia A, Vallejo F, Diaz V, Pedruzzi R, Abrutzky R, Franco MA, Huneeus N, Jorquera
    H, Belalcázar-Cerón LC, Rojas NY, de Fatima Andrade M, Emmons L, Brasseur G. 2026.
    A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique fuel
    mix on air quality. Environmental Science &#38;amp; Technology., 5c08400.'
  mla: 'Ibarra-Espinosa, Sergio, et al. “A Century of Vehicular Emissions in Brazil:
    Unveiling the Impacts of Unique Fuel Mix on Air Quality.” <i>Environmental Science
    &#38;amp; Technology</i>, 5c08400, American Chemical Society, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c08400">10.1021/acs.est.5c08400</a>.'
  short: S. Ibarra-Espinosa, E. Dias de Freitas, B. Gaubert, P. Lichtig, K. Ropkins,
    I. da Silva, G. Martins Pereira, D. Schuch, J. Nascimento, L. Hoinaski, L.D. Martins,
    M. Gavidia-Calderón, A. Vara-Vela, T. Toledo de Almeida Albuquerque, R.Y. Ynoue,
    S. Diez, Z. Mera, A. Casallas Garcia, F. Vallejo, V. Diaz, R. Pedruzzi, R. Abrutzky,
    M.A. Franco, N. Huneeus, H. Jorquera, L.C. Belalcázar-Cerón, N.Y. Rojas, M. de
    Fatima Andrade, L. Emmons, G. Brasseur, Environmental Science &#38;amp; Technology
    (2026).
date_created: 2026-02-09T06:54:10Z
date_published: 2026-02-04T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-16T10:33:07Z
day: '04'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1021/acs.est.5c08400
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  pmid:
  - '41636708'
has_accepted_license: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '02'
oa_version: None
pmid: 1
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: Environmental Science &amp; Technology
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1520-5851
  issn:
  - 0013-936X
publication_status: epub_ahead
publisher: American Chemical Society
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'A century of vehicular emissions in Brazil: Unveiling the impacts of unique
  fuel mix on air quality'
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2026'
...
---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
_id: '21217'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: This study investigates the mechanisms driving clustered convection and the
    breakdown of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over the Western Pacific
    Warm Pool using high‐resolution cloud‐resolving simulations and machine‐learning
    sensitivity experiments. Results show that ITCZ breakdown episodes, marked by
    spatially homogeneous convection and weakened meridional moisture gradients, are
    triggered primarily by anomalous moisture advection linked to the equatorial Rossby‐wave
    activity. While large‐scale moisture advection regulates the background convective
    state strongly, it is the surface and low‐level meridional winds that dominate
    transitions between clustered and random convection. Simulations demonstrate that
    moisture alone can sustain convective clustering, but breakdown episodes are more
    persistent and widespread when coupled with southerly meridional advection. These
    findings confirm that wave‐driven advection acts as a regulatory mechanism, periodically
    disrupting convective clustering and reshaping the meridional moisture gradient.
    This modulation of organization by wave‐induced breakdown events is critical for
    understanding tropical convection variability and its implications for the climate
    system.
acknowledgement: This article is based on chapter 5 of the PhD thesis of A. Casallas.
  The authors thank Graziano Giuliani for discussions on the boundary-condition experiments.
  A. Casallas was supported by a PhD fellowship awarded by the Abdus Salam International
  Centre for Theoretical Physics. A. Casallas also acknowledges support by the European
  Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie
  grant agreement No 101034413. C. Muller acknowledges funding from the European Research
  Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
  (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). The authors gratefully acknowledge
  Daniel Hernández-Deckers, Lokahith Agasthya, Chris Holloway, and Paolina Cerlini
  for their valuable feedback and insightful discussions. They are especially thankful
  to Bety Pechacova for suggesting the use of SHAP to complement their analysis. They
  also thank the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments, which improved
  the quality and clarity of the article significantly. Open Access funding provided
  by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ.
article_number: e70131
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: Adrian
  full_name: Mark Tompkins, Adrian
  last_name: Mark Tompkins
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
  ama: Casallas Garcia A, Mark Tompkins A, Muller CJ. Moisture and wind effects of
    Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events.
    <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>. 2026. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131">10.1002/qj.70131</a>
  apa: Casallas Garcia, A., Mark Tompkins, A., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2026). Moisture
    and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence
    Zone breakdown events. <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>.
    Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131</a>
  chicago: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, Adrian Mark Tompkins, and Caroline J Muller.
    “Moisture and Wind Effects of Rossby Waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence
    Zone Breakdown Events.” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>.
    Wiley, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131</a>.
  ieee: A. Casallas Garcia, A. Mark Tompkins, and C. J. Muller, “Moisture and wind
    effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown
    events,” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>. Wiley,
    2026.
  ista: Casallas Garcia A, Mark Tompkins A, Muller CJ. 2026. Moisture and wind effects
    of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events.
    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society., e70131.
  mla: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, et al. “Moisture and Wind Effects of Rossby Waves
    on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone Breakdown Events.” <i>Quarterly
    Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>, e70131, Wiley, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131">10.1002/qj.70131</a>.
  short: A. Casallas Garcia, A. Mark Tompkins, C.J. Muller, Quarterly Journal of the
    Royal Meteorological Society (2026).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2026-02-12T10:13:02Z
date_published: 2026-02-12T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-16T10:19:52Z
day: '12'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1002/qj.70131
ec_funded: 1
has_accepted_license: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70131
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1477-870X
  issn:
  - 0035-9009
publication_status: epub_ahead
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical
  Convergence Zone breakdown events
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by_nc.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)
  short: CC BY-NC (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2026'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '21233'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Potential self-perpetuating dieback of the Amazon rain forest has been a topic
    of concern. The concern is that initial deforestation could critically impair
    the forest’s water recycling capacities, further harming the remaining forest
    through reduced annual precipitation. Many studies have focused on annual mean
    precipitation changes, due to its widespread perception as a central control on
    the Amazon rain forest’s stability. However, the impact of deforestation goes
    beyond changes in the annual mean precipitation. Yet, global coarse-resolution
    climate models are not well suited to investigate changes in short-duration and
    localized events due to their coarse resolution. Here, we circumvent these issues
    by analyzing a full-deforestation scenario simulated by a global storm-resolving
    model. We focus on changes in the tail of the hourly distribution of precipitation,
    temperature, and wind. Hourly precipitation becomes more extreme in the absence
    of the forest than in an intact forest, with an increased occurrence of both no
    rain and intense rainfall. These changes are driven by enhanced moisture convergence
    that strengthens vertical velocity. On average, the near-surface temperature rises
    significantly by about 3.84 °C, and the daily minimum temperature after deforestation
    becomes similar to the daily maximum temperature before deforestation. Except
    for wet-bulb temperature, human heat stress indicators shift to more severe levels,
    with implications for health and a significant reduction in work productivity.
    Finally, the mean 10 m wind speed intensifies by a factor of four, with the 99th
    percentile wind speed doubling. To summarize, our findings, while based on an
    idealized case, provide a stark warning of the effects of continuing deforestation
    of the Amazon.
acknowledgement: AY acknowledges funding by the CLICCS centre of excellence subproject
  A3 funded by DFG. We thank the German Climate Computing Center DKRZ for providing
  computing resources and the Integrated Climate Data Center (ICDC), the Center for
  Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, for supporting
  the IMERG data. In addition, we would like to thank Jana Sillmann for suggesting
  the analysis of heat stress indices and Keno Riechers for providing a thorough internal
  review of the initial manuscript at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Open
  Access funding is enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. This research has been
  supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (grant no. CLICCS 390683824 (A3)).
  The article processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by
  the Max Planck Society.
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Arim
  full_name: Yoon, Arim
  last_name: Yoon
- first_name: Cathy
  full_name: Hohenegger, Cathy
  last_name: Hohenegger
- first_name: Jiawei
  full_name: Bao, Jiawei
  id: bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160
  last_name: Bao
- first_name: Lukas
  full_name: Brunner, Lukas
  last_name: Brunner
citation:
  ama: Yoon A, Hohenegger C, Bao J, Brunner L. Extreme events in the Amazon after
    deforestation. <i>Earth System Dynamics</i>. 2026;17(1):167-179. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026">10.5194/esd-17-167-2026</a>
  apa: Yoon, A., Hohenegger, C., Bao, J., &#38; Brunner, L. (2026). Extreme events
    in the Amazon after deforestation. <i>Earth System Dynamics</i>. Copernicus GmbH.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026">https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026</a>
  chicago: Yoon, Arim, Cathy Hohenegger, Jiawei Bao, and Lukas Brunner. “Extreme Events
    in the Amazon after Deforestation.” <i>Earth System Dynamics</i>. Copernicus GmbH,
    2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026">https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026</a>.
  ieee: A. Yoon, C. Hohenegger, J. Bao, and L. Brunner, “Extreme events in the Amazon
    after deforestation,” <i>Earth System Dynamics</i>, vol. 17, no. 1. Copernicus
    GmbH, pp. 167–179, 2026.
  ista: Yoon A, Hohenegger C, Bao J, Brunner L. 2026. Extreme events in the Amazon
    after deforestation. Earth System Dynamics. 17(1), 167–179.
  mla: Yoon, Arim, et al. “Extreme Events in the Amazon after Deforestation.” <i>Earth
    System Dynamics</i>, vol. 17, no. 1, Copernicus GmbH, 2026, pp. 167–79, doi:<a
    href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-167-2026">10.5194/esd-17-167-2026</a>.
  short: A. Yoon, C. Hohenegger, J. Bao, L. Brunner, Earth System Dynamics 17 (2026)
    167–179.
date_created: 2026-02-16T10:44:58Z
date_published: 2026-02-04T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-23T10:28:48Z
day: '04'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.5194/esd-17-167-2026
file:
- access_level: open_access
  checksum: 6c3669c463731ad7c484b2990eb8ee0d
  content_type: application/pdf
  creator: dernst
  date_created: 2026-02-23T10:26:29Z
  date_updated: 2026-02-23T10:26:29Z
  file_id: '21348'
  file_name: 2026_EarthSystDynam_Yoon.pdf
  file_size: 2068229
  relation: main_file
  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2026-02-23T10:26:29Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '        17'
issue: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
page: 167-179
publication: Earth System Dynamics
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2190-4987
publication_status: published
publisher: Copernicus GmbH
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Extreme events in the Amazon after deforestation
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 17
year: '2026'
...
---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '21311'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: 'Air pollution is a critical public health issue worldwide, South America
    faces unique challenges due to rapid urban growth, industrial expansion, and recurrent
    biomass burning. Existing studies have largely focused on regional or national
    scales, overlooking detailed spatio-temporal dynamics in cities. This study provides
    a comprehensive assessment of air pollution spatio-temporal trends from 2013 to
    2023 in six major South American cities: Bogotá, Buenos Aires, Montevideo, Quito,
    Santiago de Chile, and São Paulo. We evaluated four key pollutants, NO2, O3, PM10,
    and PM2.5, using in situ monitoring networks complemented with reanalysis (boundary
    layer and pollution dynamics), and fire detections datasets (biomass burning).
    A key innovation is the use of a Lagrangian Tracker, which identifies persistent
    hotspots and transport pathways of pollutants, offering new insights into transboundary
    pollution. Results show that nearly all cities experienced reductions in particulate
    matter concentrations, while three of the six cities exhibited rising O3 levels,
    reflecting complex interactions between emissions, meteorology, and atmospheric
    chemistry. Santiago de Chile recorded the highest levels of NO2 and PM, strongly
    influenced by topography and biomass burning in JJA. Bogotá and Quito were notably
    impacted by regional fire emissions, whereas coastal cities such as Buenos Aires
    and Montevideo benefited from greater pollutant dispersion but still exceeded
    the World Health Organization guidelines. By integrating ground-based, satellite,
    and reanalysis data with advanced trajectory modeling, this research provides
    detailed spatio-temporal evaluations of air pollution in South America and highlights
    the urgent need for coordinated regional strategies to reduce health and economic
    burdens.'
acknowledgement: 'The author would like to thank Fundación Universitaria Los Libertadores
  (Project ID: ING-40-25) for supporting her in this work. And EALB, would like to
  thank Universidad Sergio Arboleda (Project ID: IN.BG.086.24.015) for supporting
  her in this work. Open access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology
  (IST Austria). The first author was funded by the Fundacion Universitaria Los Libertadores
  (Project ID: ING-40-25). This project has received funding from the European Union’s
  Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie
  grant agreement No 101034413289 awarded to AC. EALB was supported by Universidad
  Sergio Arboleda (Project ID: IN.BG.086.24.015).'
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Yuri
  full_name: González, Yuri
  last_name: González
- first_name: Nicolás
  full_name: Malagón, Nicolás
  last_name: Malagón
- first_name: Kevin
  full_name: Benavides, Kevin
  last_name: Benavides
- first_name: Luis Carlos
  full_name: Belalcázar, Luis Carlos
  last_name: Belalcázar
- first_name: Ellie Anne
  full_name: Lopez-Barrera, Ellie Anne
  last_name: Lopez-Barrera
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
citation:
  ama: González Y, Malagón N, Benavides K, Belalcázar LC, Lopez-Barrera EA, Casallas
    Garcia A. Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities.
    <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>. 2026. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9">10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9</a>
  apa: González, Y., Malagón, N., Benavides, K., Belalcázar, L. C., Lopez-Barrera,
    E. A., &#38; Casallas Garcia, A. (2026). Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution
    in six South American cities. <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>. Springer Nature.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9</a>
  chicago: González, Yuri, Nicolás Malagón, Kevin Benavides, Luis Carlos Belalcázar,
    Ellie Anne Lopez-Barrera, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Spatio-Temporal Trends
    of Air Pollution in Six South American Cities.” <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>.
    Springer Nature, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9</a>.
  ieee: Y. González, N. Malagón, K. Benavides, L. C. Belalcázar, E. A. Lopez-Barrera,
    and A. Casallas Garcia, “Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South
    American cities,” <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>. Springer Nature, 2026.
  ista: González Y, Malagón N, Benavides K, Belalcázar LC, Lopez-Barrera EA, Casallas
    Garcia A. 2026. Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American
    cities. Earth Systems and Environment.
  mla: González, Yuri, et al. “Spatio-Temporal Trends of Air Pollution in Six South
    American Cities.” <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>, Springer Nature, 2026,
    doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9">10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9</a>.
  short: Y. González, N. Malagón, K. Benavides, L.C. Belalcázar, E.A. Lopez-Barrera,
    A. Casallas Garcia, Earth Systems and Environment (2026).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2026-02-18T07:11:14Z
date_published: 2026-02-17T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-23T11:57:21Z
day: '17'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9
has_accepted_license: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01068-9
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Earth Systems and Environment
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2509-9434
  issn:
  - 2509-9426
publication_status: epub_ahead
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Spatio-temporal trends of air pollution in six South American cities
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2026'
...
---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '21344'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Tropospheric ozone has the potential to become an increasingly pressing public
    health issue in Bogotá, Colombia, due to rising concentrations across the city
    driven by complex interactions among emissions, meteorology, and urban structure.
    This study presents a comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis of ozone levels from
    2013 to 2023 and assesses the associated health burden using mortality data from
    the same period. Results reveal a consistent upward trend in ozone concentrations,
    particularly in northern, western, and southern localities, with seasonal peaks
    linked to biomass burning and photochemical conditions. Mortality analysis, based
    on the Global Exposure Mortality Model, estimates that 18.3% of all deaths among
    individuals aged 25 and older are attributable to long-term ozone exposure. The
    highest burdens are found in densely populated and socioeconomically vulnerable
    areas such as Kennedy, Suba, and Ciudad Bolívar, with the elderly being the most
    affected. Building on these findings, we developed a machine learning prediction
    model for ozone using a convolutional merge with a long-short term memory network
    architecture trained on air quality and meteorological variables. The model demonstrated
    strong predictive performance (mean Rho=0.86, RMSE=3.5 μg/m3) across monitoring
    stations (17 with at least 35000 data points), supporting its potential application
    in real-time early warning systems across Bogotá. This integrated approach highlights
    the importance of localized air quality management, combining epidemiological
    assessment with predictive modeling. The findings underscore the urgency of implementing
    region-specific mitigation strategies and improving monitoring infrastructure
    to reduce health risks from ozone exposure in Bogotá’s rapidly growing urban environment.
acknowledgement: EAL-B and CP-R received support from Sergio Arboleda University through
  project No. IN.BG.086.24.014. AC acknowledges support by the European Union’s Horizon
  2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement
  No 101034413. We thank two anonymous reviewers for thein insightful comments that
  largely improve the manuscript. Open access funding provided by Institute of Science
  and Technology (IST Austria). This work was funded by the European Union’s Horizon
  2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement
  No 101034413. The work also received funding from Sergio Arboleda University through
  project No. IN.BG.086.24.014.
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Daniela
  full_name: Bustos, Daniela
  last_name: Bustos
- first_name: Diana
  full_name: Garcia, Diana
  last_name: Garcia
- first_name: Nestor Y.
  full_name: Rojas, Nestor Y.
  last_name: Rojas
- first_name: Ellie A.
  full_name: Lopez-Barrera, Ellie A.
  last_name: Lopez-Barrera
- first_name: Carlos
  full_name: Peña-Rincon, Carlos
  last_name: Peña-Rincon
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
citation:
  ama: 'Bustos D, Garcia D, Rojas NY, Lopez-Barrera EA, Peña-Rincon C, Casallas Garcia
    A. Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions
    in Bogotá, Colombia. <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>. 2026. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3">10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3</a>'
  apa: 'Bustos, D., Garcia, D., Rojas, N. Y., Lopez-Barrera, E. A., Peña-Rincon, C.,
    &#38; Casallas Garcia, A. (2026). Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing
    need for machine learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia. <i>Earth Systems and
    Environment</i>. Springer Nature. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3</a>'
  chicago: 'Bustos, Daniela, Diana Garcia, Nestor Y. Rojas, Ellie A. Lopez-Barrera,
    Carlos Peña-Rincon, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Ozone Trends and Mortality
    Risk: The Growing Need for Machine Learning Predictions in Bogotá, Colombia.”
    <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>. Springer Nature, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3">https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3</a>.'
  ieee: 'D. Bustos, D. Garcia, N. Y. Rojas, E. A. Lopez-Barrera, C. Peña-Rincon, and
    A. Casallas Garcia, “Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine
    learning predictions in Bogotá, Colombia,” <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>.
    Springer Nature, 2026.'
  ista: 'Bustos D, Garcia D, Rojas NY, Lopez-Barrera EA, Peña-Rincon C, Casallas Garcia
    A. 2026. Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning
    predictions in Bogotá, Colombia. Earth Systems and Environment.'
  mla: 'Bustos, Daniela, et al. “Ozone Trends and Mortality Risk: The Growing Need
    for Machine Learning Predictions in Bogotá, Colombia.” <i>Earth Systems and Environment</i>,
    Springer Nature, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3">10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3</a>.'
  short: D. Bustos, D. Garcia, N.Y. Rojas, E.A. Lopez-Barrera, C. Peña-Rincon, A.
    Casallas Garcia, Earth Systems and Environment (2026).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2026-02-23T08:26:51Z
date_published: 2026-02-20T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-02-24T08:02:58Z
day: '20'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3
ec_funded: 1
has_accepted_license: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01052-3
month: '02'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: Earth Systems and Environment
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2509-9434
  issn:
  - 2509-9426
publication_status: epub_ahead
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
status: public
title: 'Ozone trends and mortality risk: The growing need for machine learning predictions
  in Bogotá, Colombia'
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2026'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '21657'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: We compare three global kilometer-scale models (ICON, IFS and NICAM) to clarify
    the advantages and challenges of high-resolution global weather and climate modeling,
    using different approaches to represent convection, from fully parameterized to
    fully explicit. Our analysis focuses on tropical precipitation characteristics
    spanning a wide range of spatio-temporal scales—including the diurnal cycle, extreme
    precipitation, convective organization, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)—along
    with interactions between convection and the thermodynamic environment. All three
    models commonly show weaker convective organization with smaller precipitation
    cells than observed, though the strength of the bias varies by model. This diversity
    is introduced by differences in the representation of (a) convective initiation
    affected by the convective sensitivity to moisture and (b) tropospheric moistening
    associated with deep convection. Models with stronger thermodynamic-convection
    coupling increase environmental moisture near convection, thereby enhancing convective
    organization. This has important upscale effects on the MJO; while IFS and NICAM
    capture its eastward propagation well, ICON has difficulty reproducing it. The
    amplitudes and phases of precipitation diurnal cycles over land show much greater
    disagreement among the models than over ocean, influenced by how convection is
    initiated. Biases in rain evaporation and cold pool formation hinder the propagation
    of mesoscale convection, leading to errors such as the misrepresentation of nocturnal
    convection moving off the coast of Sumatra in IFS and ICON. These results highlight
    the importance of thermodynamic-convection coupling in realistically simulating
    tropical convection across scales. To improve this coupling, kilometer-scale models
    require better representation of the interaction between resolved convection and
    three-dimensional turbulent mixing.
acknowledgement: 'We thank Peter Bechtold, Lukas Brunner, Peter Dueben, Richard Forbes,
  Estibaliz Gascon, and Benoit Vanniere for providing insightful comments on the present
  study. We also thank Sebastian Milinski, Xabier Pedruzo and Thomas Rackow for their
  contributions to setting up IFS-FESOM for nextGEMS. We are also grateful to Dr.
  Walter Hannah and an anonymous reviewer for their constructive comments, which improved
  the original version of the manuscript. D. Takasuka was supported by JSPS KAKENHI
  Grants 20H05728 and 24K22893 and by JSPS Core-to-Core Program, “International Core-to-Core
  Project on Global Storm Resolving Analysis” (Grant Number: JPJSCCA20220001). T.
  Becker was supported by the Horizon 2020 project nextGEMS under grant agreement
  number 101003470. J. Bao acknowledges funding from the European Union''s Horizon
  2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant (grant
  agreement No 101034413). The ICON and IFS simulations were performed with supercomputing
  resources of the German Climate Computing Centre (Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum,
  DKRZ) granted by its Scientific Steering Committee (WLA) under project ID 1235.
  The NICAM simulation was performed on the supercomputer Fugaku (proposal numbers
  hp220132, hp230078, hp230108, hp230278, and hp240267).'
article_number: e2025MS005343
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Daisuke
  full_name: Takasuka, Daisuke
  last_name: Takasuka
- first_name: Tobias
  full_name: Becker, Tobias
  last_name: Becker
- first_name: Jiawei
  full_name: Bao, Jiawei
  id: bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160
  last_name: Bao
citation:
  ama: Takasuka D, Becker T, Bao J. Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection
    coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems</i>. 2026;18(3). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343">10.1029/2025MS005343</a>
  apa: Takasuka, D., Becker, T., &#38; Bao, J. (2026). Precipitation characteristics
    and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. <i>Journal
    of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343</a>
  chicago: Takasuka, Daisuke, Tobias Becker, and Jiawei Bao. “Precipitation Characteristics
    and Thermodynamic-Convection Coupling in Global Kilometer-Scale Simulations.”
    <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343</a>.
  ieee: D. Takasuka, T. Becker, and J. Bao, “Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection
    coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations,” <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems</i>, vol. 18, no. 3. Wiley, 2026.
  ista: Takasuka D, Becker T, Bao J. 2026. Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection
    coupling in global kilometer-scale simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems. 18(3), e2025MS005343.
  mla: Takasuka, Daisuke, et al. “Precipitation Characteristics and Thermodynamic-Convection
    Coupling in Global Kilometer-Scale Simulations.” <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems</i>, vol. 18, no. 3, e2025MS005343, Wiley, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025MS005343">10.1029/2025MS005343</a>.
  short: D. Takasuka, T. Becker, J. Bao, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
    18 (2026).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2026-04-05T22:01:31Z
date_published: 2026-03-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-04-07T09:14:51Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1029/2025MS005343
ec_funded: 1
file:
- access_level: open_access
  checksum: ca7dac4bab31348d0640ed22580c6dce
  content_type: application/pdf
  creator: dernst
  date_created: 2026-04-07T09:11:23Z
  date_updated: 2026-04-07T09:11:23Z
  file_id: '21665'
  file_name: 2026_JAMES_Takasuka.pdf
  file_size: 3854313
  relation: main_file
  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2026-04-07T09:11:23Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '        18'
issue: '3'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '03'
oa: 1
oa_version: None
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1942-2466
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Precipitation characteristics and thermodynamic-convection coupling in global
  kilometer-scale simulations
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 18
year: '2026'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '21755'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Tropical shallow clouds are a major source of uncertainty in Earth's climate
    sensitivity, especially through their spatial arrangement, which global climate
    models do not represent. Efforts to understand their organization have partly
    relied on classifying observed scenes, identifying four patterns as archetypal
    regimes. Here we analyze geostationary satellite imagery of the western tropical
    Atlantic using the L‐function, a tool based on point pattern theory that quantifies
    cloud organization across spatial scales. Classical examples of the four patterns
    show distinct L‐function fingerprints, revealing their characteristic clustering
    and regularity scales and aiding physical interpretation. Yet, when evaluating
    many scenes at fixed spatial scales, the L‐function distribution lacks the distinct
    modes expected from discrete regimes. This is corroborated by analyses of other
    organization indices employing diverse approaches, from inter‐cloud nearest‐neighbor
    distances to fractal analysis. Implications for the parameterization of mesoscale
    cloud organization in climate models are discussed.
acknowledgement: GB was supported by an ICTP Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Agreement.
  GM was supported by the CNRS. AC was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020
  research and innovation programme Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant agreement No 101034413.
  LJF acknowledges funding from the NERC Doctoral Training Partnership in Environmental
  Research Grant NE/S007474/1. We thank three anonymous reviewers and Jiawei Bao for
  their insightful comments, which greatly improved this manuscript.
article_number: e2025GL119921
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Giovanni
  full_name: Biagioli, Giovanni
  last_name: Biagioli
- first_name: Giulio
  full_name: Mandorli, Giulio
  last_name: Mandorli
- first_name: Lilli Johanna
  full_name: Freischem, Lilli Johanna
  last_name: Freischem
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: Adrian Mark
  full_name: Tompkins, Adrian Mark
  last_name: Tompkins
citation:
  ama: 'Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. Spatial
    patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. <i>Geophysical
    Research Letters</i>. 2026;53(8). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921">10.1029/2025gl119921</a>'
  apa: 'Biagioli, G., Mandorli, G., Freischem, L. J., Casallas Garcia, A., &#38; Tompkins,
    A. M. (2026). Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined
    regimes. <i>Geophysical Research Letters</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921</a>'
  chicago: 'Biagioli, Giovanni, Giulio Mandorli, Lilli Johanna Freischem, Alejandro
    Casallas Garcia, and Adrian Mark Tompkins. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds:
    Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes.” <i>Geophysical Research Letters</i>.
    Wiley, 2026. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921</a>.'
  ieee: 'G. Biagioli, G. Mandorli, L. J. Freischem, A. Casallas Garcia, and A. M.
    Tompkins, “Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined
    regimes,” <i>Geophysical Research Letters</i>, vol. 53, no. 8. Wiley, 2026.'
  ista: 'Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. 2026.
    Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes.
    Geophysical Research Letters. 53(8), e2025GL119921.'
  mla: 'Biagioli, Giovanni, et al. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging
    the Concept of Defined Regimes.” <i>Geophysical Research Letters</i>, vol. 53,
    no. 8, e2025GL119921, Wiley, 2026, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921">10.1029/2025gl119921</a>.'
  short: G. Biagioli, G. Mandorli, L.J. Freischem, A. Casallas Garcia, A.M. Tompkins,
    Geophysical Research Letters 53 (2026).
date_created: 2026-04-21T06:04:41Z
date_published: 2026-04-28T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-04-28T13:35:53Z
day: '28'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1029/2025gl119921
ec_funded: 1
file:
- access_level: open_access
  checksum: 2cd4ae120b14b244f5b2f50eaae0efc1
  content_type: application/pdf
  creator: acasalla
  date_created: 2026-04-21T06:07:22Z
  date_updated: 2026-04-21T06:07:22Z
  file_id: '21756'
  file_name: Gio_Casallas_2026.pdf
  file_size: 1544417
  relation: main_file
  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2026-04-21T06:07:22Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '        53'
issue: '8'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '04'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: Geophysical Research Letters
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1944-8007
  issn:
  - 0094-8276
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes'
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 53
year: '2026'
...
---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
_id: '18605'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: The response of clouds and moist-convective processes to heat loss to space
    by long-wave radiative cooling is an important feedback in the Earth's atmosphere.
    It is known that moist convection increases roughly in equilibrium with radiative
    cooling, an assumption often made in simplified models of the tropical atmosphere.
    In this study, we use an idealised two-dimensional model of the atmosphere introduced
    by Vallis et. al. and incorporate a bulk-cooling term, which is an idealisation
    of radiative cooling in the atmosphere. We comment briefly on the static stability
    of the system to dry and moist convection and characteris its moist convective
    response to changes in the bulk cooling. We find that, while the clear-sky regions
    of the model respond directly to the change in the cooling term, the regions dominated
    by moist convective plumes are insensitive to changes in cooling. Similar to previous
    findings from cloud-resolving models, we too find in our idealised setting that
    the majority of the increase in convection occurs via an increase in the areal
    coverage of convection, rather than its intensity. We argue that these small-scale
    convective processes are an upper bound on how quickly convective intensity can
    change to stay in equilibrium with radiative cooling.
acknowledged_ssus:
- _id: ScienComp
acknowledgement: "The authors gratefully acknowledge the help of Julian Renaud and
  Alzbeta “Bety” Pechacova. Julian went through the relevant literature on the topic
  in the initial stages of the study in a very thorough manner and allowed the authors
  to understand the various types of idealised models that have been studied and the
  various approaches used. Bety ran simulations and performed analysis of the outputs
  of several simulations, which were crucial to bringing the article to its final
  form.\r\n\r\nThe authors also acknowledge the input of Prof. Martin Singh (Monash
  University, Australia) and discussions with Gregory Dritschel, Prof. Steven Tobias,
  and Prof. Douglas Parker (Leeds University, United Kingdom).\r\n\r\nThis project
  has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation
  programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. C. Muller
  gratefully acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the
  European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER,
  Grant Agreement No. 805041). This research was supported by the Scientific Service
  Units (SSU) of IST Austria through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp)."
article_number: e4902
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Lokahith N
  full_name: Agasthya, Lokahith N
  id: cd100965-0804-11ed-9c55-f4878ff4e877
  last_name: Agasthya
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
- first_name: Mathis
  full_name: Cheve, Mathis
  id: c2cdb722-b15c-11ef-9e63-db902a30b40d
  last_name: Cheve
citation:
  ama: 'Agasthya LN, Muller CJ, Cheve M. Moist convective scaling: Insights from an
    idealised model. <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>.
    2025;151(766). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902">10.1002/qj.4902</a>'
  apa: 'Agasthya, L. N., Muller, C. J., &#38; Cheve, M. (2025). Moist convective scaling:
    Insights from an idealised model. <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902</a>'
  chicago: 'Agasthya, Lokahith N, Caroline J Muller, and Mathis Cheve. “Moist Convective
    Scaling: Insights from an Idealised Model.” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal
    Meteorological Society</i>. Wiley, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902</a>.'
  ieee: 'L. N. Agasthya, C. J. Muller, and M. Cheve, “Moist convective scaling: Insights
    from an idealised model,” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>,
    vol. 151, no. 766. Wiley, 2025.'
  ista: 'Agasthya LN, Muller CJ, Cheve M. 2025. Moist convective scaling: Insights
    from an idealised model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
    151(766), e4902.'
  mla: 'Agasthya, Lokahith N., et al. “Moist Convective Scaling: Insights from an
    Idealised Model.” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>,
    vol. 151, no. 766, e4902, Wiley, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4902">10.1002/qj.4902</a>.'
  short: L.N. Agasthya, C.J. Muller, M. Cheve, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society 151 (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2024-12-01T23:01:54Z
date_published: 2025-01-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-30T10:22:46Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1002/qj.4902
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001363135200001'
file:
- access_level: open_access
  checksum: 2b4968f1c794da56d1eb7b856a406de7
  content_type: application/pdf
  creator: dernst
  date_created: 2025-07-03T06:46:27Z
  date_updated: 2025-07-03T06:46:27Z
  file_id: '19958'
  file_name: 2025_QuartJRMS_Agasthya.pdf
  file_size: 5924105
  relation: main_file
  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2025-07-03T06:46:27Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '       151'
isi: 1
issue: '766'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '01'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1477-870X
  issn:
  - 0035-9009
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Moist convective scaling: Insights from an idealised model'
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 317138e5-6ab7-11ef-aa6d-ffef3953e345
volume: 151
year: '2025'
...
---
OA_type: closed access
_id: '19968'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: In the dynamic arena of innovation, the relations between academia and industry
    are a keystone for breakthroughs and practical applications. Yet, the groundwork
    of these pivotal University-Industry (U-I) partnerships remains covered in complexity.
    This paper delves into these intricate relations, unraveling the factors that
    help successful collaborations. Grounded in the Resource-Based Theory, our study
    transcends traditional analytical boundaries, leveraging a neural network model
    to understand a comprehensive dataset from the UK’s Higher Education Statistics
    Agency, SCIMAGO Rankings, and Clarivate Publications. This novel approach helps
    to make clear the interplay of academic load, administrative support, scientific
    output, and university rank in sculpting U-I collaboration dynamics. Our findings
    suggest that reduced academic load and robust administrative support significantly
    bolster U-I collaborations. However, the influence of scientific output and university
    ranking is more nuanced, challenging the common belief. High scientific output,
    while indicative of expertise, doesn't always align with industry goals. Similarly,
    while higher-ranked universities could attract more collaborations, the benefits
    are not universal. This paper not only contributes to a deeper understanding of
    U-I collaborations, but also provides actionable insights for university administrators,
    policymakers, and industry leaders. In a world where innovation is key, understanding
    these collaborative dynamics is crucial for fostering partnerships that push the
    boundaries of research and practical application.
article_processing_charge: No
author:
- first_name: Carlos
  full_name: Plata, Carlos
  last_name: Plata
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
citation:
  ama: 'Plata C, Casallas Garcia A. Machine learning analysis of the factors influencing
    university-industry collaborations. In: <i>85th Annual Meeting of the Academy
    of Management</i>. Vol 2025. Academy of Management; 2025. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp">10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp</a>'
  apa: 'Plata, C., &#38; Casallas Garcia, A. (2025). Machine learning analysis of
    the factors influencing university-industry collaborations. In <i>85th Annual
    Meeting of the Academy of Management</i> (Vol. 2025). Copenhagen, Denmark: Academy
    of Management. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp">https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp</a>'
  chicago: Plata, Carlos, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Machine Learning Analysis
    of the Factors Influencing University-Industry Collaborations.” In <i>85th Annual
    Meeting of the Academy of Management</i>, Vol. 2025. Academy of Management, 2025.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp">https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp</a>.
  ieee: C. Plata and A. Casallas Garcia, “Machine learning analysis of the factors
    influencing university-industry collaborations,” in <i>85th Annual Meeting of
    the Academy of Management</i>, Copenhagen, Denmark, 2025, vol. 2025, no. 1.
  ista: 'Plata C, Casallas Garcia A. 2025. Machine learning analysis of the factors
    influencing university-industry collaborations. 85th Annual Meeting of the Academy
    of Management. AOM: Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management vol. 2025.'
  mla: Plata, Carlos, and Alejandro Casallas Garcia. “Machine Learning Analysis of
    the Factors Influencing University-Industry Collaborations.” <i>85th Annual Meeting
    of the Academy of Management</i>, vol. 2025, no. 1, Academy of Management, 2025,
    doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp">10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp</a>.
  short: C. Plata, A. Casallas Garcia, in:, 85th Annual Meeting of the Academy of
    Management, Academy of Management, 2025.
conference:
  end_date: 2025-07-29
  location: Copenhagen, Denmark
  name: 'AOM: Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management'
  start_date: 2025-07-25
date_created: 2025-07-06T22:01:23Z
date_published: 2025-06-17T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-09T08:39:03Z
day: '17'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.5465/AMPROC.2025.54bp
intvolume: '      2025'
issue: '1'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '06'
oa_version: None
publication: 85th Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2151-6561
  issn:
  - 0065-0668
publication_status: published
publisher: Academy of Management
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Machine learning analysis of the factors influencing university-industry collaborations
type: conference
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 2025
year: '2025'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '20026'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Deep Convective Systems (DCSs) reaching scales of 100–1000 km play a pivotal
    role as the primary precipitation source in the tropics. Those systems can have
    large cloud shields, and thus not only affect severe precipitation patterns but
    also play a crucial part in modulating the tropical radiation budget. Understanding
    the complex factors that control how these systems grow and how they will behave
    in a warming climate remain fundamental challenges. Research efforts have been
    directed, on one hand, towards understanding the environmental control on these
    systems, and on the other hand, towards exploring the internal potential of systems
    to develop and self-aggregate in idealized simulations. However, we still lack
    understanding on the relative role of the environment and internal feedbacks on
    DCS mature size and why. The novel high-resolution global SAM simulation from
    the DYAMOND project, combined with the TOOCAN Lagrangian tracking of DCSs and
    machine learning tools, offers an unprecedented opportunity to explore this question.
    We find that a system’s growth rate during the first 2 h of development predicts
    its final size with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.65. Beyond this period,
    growth rate emerges as the strongest predictor. However, in the early stages,
    additional factors–such as ice water path heterogeneity, migration distance, interactions
    with neighboring systems, and deep shear–play a more significant role. Our study
    quantitatively assesses the relative influence of internal versus external factors
    on the mature cloud shield size. Our results show that system-intrinsic properties
    exert a stronger influence than environmental conditions, suggesting that the
    initial environment does not strictly constrain final system size, particularly
    for larger systems where internal dynamics dominate.
acknowledgement: C.M. and S.A. gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research
  Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
  (Project CLUSTER, grant agreement 805041), and from the PhD fellowship of Ecole
  Normale Supérieure de Paris-Saclay. DYAMOND data management was provided by the
  German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ) and supported through the projects ESiWACE
  and ESiWACE2. The projects ESiWACE and ESiWACE2 have received funding from the European
  Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreements No 675191
  and 823988. This work used resources of the Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ)
  granted by its Scientific Steering Committee (WLA) under project IDs bk1040 and
  bb1153. The authors express their gratitude to Sophie Cloché and Eileen Hertwig
  for their assistance in data archival at IPSL and DKRZ, respectively. We also thank
  Christophe Lampert and Benjamin Fildier for valuable scientific discussions, and
  acknowledge the thoughtful comments of two anonymous reviewers.
article_number: '258'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Sophie
  full_name: Abramian, Sophie
  last_name: Abramian
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
- first_name: Camille
  full_name: Risi, Camille
  last_name: Risi
- first_name: Thomas
  full_name: Fiolleau, Thomas
  last_name: Fiolleau
- first_name: Rémy
  full_name: Roca, Rémy
  last_name: Roca
citation:
  ama: Abramian S, Muller CJ, Risi C, Fiolleau T, Roca R. How key features of early
    development shape deep convective systems. <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>.
    2025;8. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1">10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1</a>
  apa: Abramian, S., Muller, C. J., Risi, C., Fiolleau, T., &#38; Roca, R. (2025).
    How key features of early development shape deep convective systems. <i>Npj Climate
    and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1</a>
  chicago: Abramian, Sophie, Caroline J Muller, Camille Risi, Thomas Fiolleau, and
    Rémy Roca. “How Key Features of Early Development Shape Deep Convective Systems.”
    <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1</a>.
  ieee: S. Abramian, C. J. Muller, C. Risi, T. Fiolleau, and R. Roca, “How key features
    of early development shape deep convective systems,” <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric
    Science</i>, vol. 8. Springer Nature, 2025.
  ista: Abramian S, Muller CJ, Risi C, Fiolleau T, Roca R. 2025. How key features
    of early development shape deep convective systems. npj Climate and Atmospheric
    Science. 8, 258.
  mla: Abramian, Sophie, et al. “How Key Features of Early Development Shape Deep
    Convective Systems.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 8, 258,
    Springer Nature, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1">10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1</a>.
  short: S. Abramian, C.J. Muller, C. Risi, T. Fiolleau, R. Roca, Npj Climate and
    Atmospheric Science 8 (2025).
date_created: 2025-07-20T22:01:59Z
date_published: 2025-07-08T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-30T14:02:27Z
day: '08'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01154-1
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
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  - '001524244500001'
file:
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month: '07'
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oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2397-3722
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: How key features of early development shape deep convective systems
tmp:
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...
---
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OA_type: gold
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '20098'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Climate change is causing wildfires to become more frequent and intense. While
    predicting burned areas using bioclimatic and anthropogenic factors is an active
    research area, few studies have examined what drives the economic damages of wildfires.
    Our study aims to fill this gap by analyzing key factors influencing global economic
    wildfire damages and projecting future damages under three shared socioeconomic
    pathways (SSPs). We apply regression analyses to identify significant predictors
    of economic wildfire damages at country levels and use the fitted model to project
    future damages under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP370. Results show that the human vulnerability
    index (HVI), reflecting socioeconomic conditions, is the strongest predictor of
    historical wildfire damages, followed by water vapor pressure deficit during the
    fire season and population density around forested areas. We found high population
    density to be associated with lower damages. These findings contrast with studies
    of burned areas, where climate factors are more dominant. Our model projects that
    by 2070, average global economic wildfire damages will be three times higher under
    SSP370 than SSP126. Our model also shows that following SSP126 not only reduces
    wildfire damages but also lessens the inequalities in damage distribution across
    countries. This pathway’s dual focus on equitable socioeconomic progress and climate
    action potentially enhances a country’s resilience that helps mitigate wildfire
    damages. Our analyses also indicate that strong socioeconomic development can
    offset wildfire damages associated with climate hazards, although this is less
    certain under SSP370. SSP126’s integrated approach improves both socioeconomic
    conditions and limits global warming, providing substantial benefits to less developed
    countries while still reducing damages in developed nations, despite their already
    low HVI scores. Our work complements existing research on burned areas and underscores
    the importance of sustainable development and international collaboration in reducing
    the economic damages of wildfires.
acknowledgement: We thank Marina Andrijevic, Giacomo Falchetta, Samuel Lüthi, Caroline
  Muller, Carl Schleussner, and Adriano Vinca for providing useful ideas and feedback
  for this work. YLH is supported by funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
  research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska‐Curie Grant No. 101034413.
  EB, MW, and YQ are supported by the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and
  innovation programme under Grant Agreement No. 101081369 (SPARCCLE). We also thank
  the two anonymous reviewers for providing helpful feedback that greatly improved
  this manuscript.
article_number: '035005'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Yi-Ling
  full_name: Hwong, Yi-Ling
  id: 1217aa61-4dd1-11ec-9ac3-f2ba3f17ee22
  last_name: Hwong
  orcid: 0000-0001-9281-3479
- first_name: Edward
  full_name: Byers, Edward
  last_name: Byers
- first_name: Michaela
  full_name: Werning, Michaela
  last_name: Werning
- first_name: Yann
  full_name: Quilcaille, Yann
  last_name: Quilcaille
citation:
  ama: 'Hwong Y-L, Byers E, Werning M, Quilcaille Y. Sustainable development key to
    limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages. <i>Environmental Research: Climate</i>.
    2025;4(3). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11">10.1088/2752-5295/adec11</a>'
  apa: 'Hwong, Y.-L., Byers, E., Werning, M., &#38; Quilcaille, Y. (2025). Sustainable
    development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages. <i>Environmental
    Research: Climate</i>. IOP Publishing. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11">https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11</a>'
  chicago: 'Hwong, Yi-Ling, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning, and Yann Quilcaille. “Sustainable
    Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages.” <i>Environmental
    Research: Climate</i>. IOP Publishing, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11">https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11</a>.'
  ieee: 'Y.-L. Hwong, E. Byers, M. Werning, and Y. Quilcaille, “Sustainable development
    key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages,” <i>Environmental Research:
    Climate</i>, vol. 4, no. 3. IOP Publishing, 2025.'
  ista: 'Hwong Y-L, Byers E, Werning M, Quilcaille Y. 2025. Sustainable development
    key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages. Environmental Research:
    Climate. 4(3), 035005.'
  mla: 'Hwong, Yi-Ling, et al. “Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven
    Wildfire Damages.” <i>Environmental Research: Climate</i>, vol. 4, no. 3, 035005,
    IOP Publishing, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/adec11">10.1088/2752-5295/adec11</a>.'
  short: 'Y.-L. Hwong, E. Byers, M. Werning, Y. Quilcaille, Environmental Research:
    Climate 4 (2025).'
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-07-31T14:03:16Z
date_published: 2025-07-15T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-08-04T07:46:33Z
day: '15'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/adec11
ec_funded: 1
file:
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  date_updated: 2025-08-04T07:38:14Z
  file_id: '20108'
  file_name: 2025_EnvironResearchClimate_Hwong.pdf
  file_size: 2807041
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  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2025-08-04T07:38:14Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '         4'
issue: '3'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '07'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: 'Environmental Research: Climate'
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2752-5295
publication_status: published
publisher: IOP Publishing
quality_controlled: '1'
related_material:
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scopus_import: '1'
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  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 4
year: '2025'
...
---
OA_place: repository
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_id: '20107'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: 'This repository contains the data and scripts required to reproduce the results
    of the manuscript "Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven
    Wildfire Damages" submitted to the Environmental Research Climate Journal (ERCL). '
article_processing_charge: No
author:
- first_name: Yi-Ling
  full_name: Hwong, Yi-Ling
  id: 1217aa61-4dd1-11ec-9ac3-f2ba3f17ee22
  last_name: Hwong
  orcid: 0000-0001-9281-3479
- first_name: Edward
  full_name: Byers, Edward
  last_name: Byers
- first_name: Michaela
  full_name: Werning, Michaela
  last_name: Werning
- first_name: Yann
  full_name: Quilcaille, Yann
  last_name: Quilcaille
citation:
  ama: Hwong Y-L, Byers E, Werning M, Quilcaille Y. Data - Sustainable Development
    Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages. 2025. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679">10.5281/ZENODO.13988679</a>
  apa: Hwong, Y.-L., Byers, E., Werning, M., &#38; Quilcaille, Y. (2025). Data - Sustainable
    Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages. Zenodo. <a
    href="https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679">https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679</a>
  chicago: Hwong, Yi-Ling, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning, and Yann Quilcaille. “Data
    - Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages.”
    Zenodo, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679">https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679</a>.
  ieee: Y.-L. Hwong, E. Byers, M. Werning, and Y. Quilcaille, “Data - Sustainable
    Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages.” Zenodo, 2025.
  ista: Hwong Y-L, Byers E, Werning M, Quilcaille Y. 2025. Data - Sustainable Development
    Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire Damages, Zenodo, <a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679">10.5281/ZENODO.13988679</a>.
  mla: Hwong, Yi-Ling, et al. <i>Data - Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate
    Change-Driven Wildfire Damages</i>. Zenodo, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.13988679">10.5281/ZENODO.13988679</a>.
  short: Y.-L. Hwong, E. Byers, M. Werning, Y. Quilcaille, (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-08-04T07:34:39Z
date_published: 2025-05-21T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-08-04T07:46:33Z
day: '21'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.5281/ZENODO.13988679
ec_funded: 1
has_accepted_license: '1'
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15409324
month: '05'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publisher: Zenodo
related_material:
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status: public
title: Data - Sustainable Development Key to Limiting Climate Change-Driven Wildfire
  Damages
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: research_data_reference
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2025'
...
---
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OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '20319'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: The time needed by deep convection to bring the atmosphere back to equilibrium
    is called convective adjustment timescale or simply adjustment timescale, typically
    denoted by . In the Community Atmospheric Model|Community Atmosphere Model (CAM),  is
    the convective available potential energy (CAPE) relaxation timescale and is 1 hr,
    worldwide. Observational evidence suggests that  is generally longer than 1 hr.
    Further, continental and oceanic convection are different in terms of the vigor
    of updrafts and can have different longevities. So using  hour worldwide in CAM
    has two potential caveats. A longer  improves the simulation of the mean climate.
    However, it does not address the land‐ocean heterogeneity of atmospheric deep
    convection. We investigate the prescription of two different CAPE relaxation timescales
    for land ( hr) and ocean ( to 4 hr). It is arguably an extremely crude parameterization
    of boundary layer control on atmospheric convection. We contrast a suite of 5‐year‐long
    simulations with two different  for land and ocean to having one  globally. The
    choice of longer  over ocean is guided by previous studies and inspired by observational
    pieces of evidence. Nonetheless, to complement our variable  experiments, we perform
    a simulation with  hr and  hrs. Most importantly, our key findings are immune
    to the exact values of prescribed  and . The CAM model, with two  values , improves
    convective‐stratiform rainfall partitioning and the Madden–Julian oscillation
    propagation characteristics.
acknowledged_ssus:
- _id: ScienComp
acknowledgement: The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research
  Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
  (Project CLUSTER, Grant 805041). This research was supported by the Scientific Service
  Units (SSU) of ISTA through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp).
  We would like to thank Prof. Courtney Schumacher and Dr. Aaron Funk of Texas A&M
  University for their help in understanding the TRMM Radar data. The authors are
  grateful to two anonymous reviewers who helped improve the quality of this paper.
article_number: e2025MS005035
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: BIDYUT B
  full_name: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B
  id: 3a4ac09c-6d61-11ec-bf66-884cde66b64b
  last_name: GOSWAMI
  orcid: 0000-0001-8602-3083
- first_name: Andrea
  full_name: Polesello, Andrea
  id: 74c777f4-32da-11ee-b498-874db0835561
  last_name: Polesello
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
  ama: GOSWAMI BB, Polesello A, Muller CJ. An assessment of representing land‐ocean
    heterogeneity via CAPE relaxation timescale in the Community Atmospheric Model
    6 (CAM6). <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. 2025;17(9). doi:<a
    href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035">10.1029/2025ms005035</a>
  apa: GOSWAMI, B. B., Polesello, A., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2025). An assessment of
    representing land‐ocean heterogeneity via CAPE relaxation timescale in the Community
    Atmospheric Model 6 (CAM6). <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>.
    Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035</a>
  chicago: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B, Andrea Polesello, and Caroline J Muller. “An Assessment
    of Representing Land‐ocean Heterogeneity via CAPE Relaxation Timescale in the
    Community Atmospheric Model 6 (CAM6).” <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth
    Systems</i>. Wiley, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035">https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035</a>.
  ieee: B. B. GOSWAMI, A. Polesello, and C. J. Muller, “An assessment of representing
    land‐ocean heterogeneity via CAPE relaxation timescale in the Community Atmospheric
    Model 6 (CAM6),” <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>, vol. 17,
    no. 9. Wiley, 2025.
  ista: GOSWAMI BB, Polesello A, Muller CJ. 2025. An assessment of representing land‐ocean
    heterogeneity via CAPE relaxation timescale in the Community Atmospheric Model
    6 (CAM6). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 17(9), e2025MS005035.
  mla: GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B., et al. “An Assessment of Representing Land‐ocean Heterogeneity
    via CAPE Relaxation Timescale in the Community Atmospheric Model 6 (CAM6).” <i>Journal
    of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>, vol. 17, no. 9, e2025MS005035, Wiley,
    2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005035">10.1029/2025ms005035</a>.
  short: B.B. GOSWAMI, A. Polesello, C.J. Muller, Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems 17 (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-09-10T05:36:16Z
date_published: 2025-09-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-10T08:14:28Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1029/2025ms005035
ec_funded: 1
file:
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  checksum: 5961d6290432c5ac0e8587ef07f30c9b
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  creator: dernst
  date_created: 2025-09-10T08:12:34Z
  date_updated: 2025-09-10T08:12:34Z
  file_id: '20338'
  file_name: 2025_JAMES_Goswami.pdf
  file_size: 2143025
  relation: main_file
  success: 1
file_date_updated: 2025-09-10T08:12:34Z
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '        17'
issue: '9'
language:
- iso: eng
month: '09'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1942-2466
publication_status: published
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: An assessment of representing land‐ocean heterogeneity via CAPE relaxation
  timescale in the Community Atmospheric Model 6 (CAM6)
tmp:
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  short: CC BY-NC-ND (4.0)
type: journal_article
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volume: 17
year: '2025'
...
---
OA_place: publisher
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abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: 'Moist convection is a fundamental process occurring in the Earth''s atmosphere.
    It plays a central role in the weather and climate of the Tropics, where, to first
    order, the heating of the atmosphere by convection is in balance with the cooling
    of the atmosphere by the emission of radiation to outer space. In this study,
    we use a cloud-resolving model in radiative–convective equilibrium with an imposed
    constant rate of radiative cooling and study the response of moist convection
    to varying this rate of radiative cooling. In particular, we study two types of
    simulation: varying air temperature (VAT) simulations, where the air temperature
    is allowed to adjust to the imposed radiative cooling, and constant air temperature
    (CAT) simulations, where the surface temperature is tuned to ensure that the atmospheric
    temperature profile in the domain is constant. We recover the previously known
    result that, in response to increasing radiative cooling, the area of convection
    expands rapidly, while the intensity of convection does not change. We find that
    this response is explained by the increased boundary-layer variability in simulations
    with greater radiative cooling, which compensates for the decreasing temperature
    by adding a larger initial velocity close to the cloud base. We also propose a
    fundamental scaling of the non-dimensional cumulus mass flux in moist convection,
    which is robust across models of different complexity. We aim to bridge the gap
    between highly idealised prototypes of moist convection, such as the “Rainy–Bénard
    convection” introduced by Vallis et al., and comprehensive cloud-resolving models.'
acknowledged_ssus:
- _id: ScienComp
acknowledgement: "The authors gratefully acknowledge discussions with Professor Robert
  Plant (University of Reading, UK), Professor Steve Sherwood (University of New South
  Wales, Australia), Professor Steve Tobias, Professor Douglas Parker, and Gregory
  Dritschel (University of Leeds, UK). Discussions with colleagues at the Institute
  of Science and Technology Austria played a large role in shaping this study. The
  authors are particularly grateful for inputs and discussions from Dr. Jiawei Bao,
  Dr. Alejandro Casallas, and Alzbeta Pechacova.\r\nThis project has received funding
  from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the
  Marie Sklodowska–Curie grant agreement No. 101034413. C. Muller gratefully acknowledges
  funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon
  2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041).
  This research was supported by the Scientific Service Units (SSU) of IST Austria
  through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp). Open Access funding
  provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ."
article_number: e70044
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Lokahith N
  full_name: Agasthya, Lokahith N
  id: cd100965-0804-11ed-9c55-f4878ff4e877
  last_name: Agasthya
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
citation:
  ama: 'Agasthya LN, Muller CJ. Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical
    response and scaling. <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society</i>.
    2025. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044">10.1002/qj.70044</a>'
  apa: 'Agasthya, L. N., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2025). Moist convection and radiative
    cooling: Dynamical response and scaling. <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044</a>'
  chicago: 'Agasthya, Lokahith N, and Caroline J Muller. “Moist Convection and Radiative
    Cooling: Dynamical Response and Scaling.” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society</i>. Wiley, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044">https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044</a>.'
  ieee: 'L. N. Agasthya and C. J. Muller, “Moist convection and radiative cooling:
    Dynamical response and scaling,” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society</i>. Wiley, 2025.'
  ista: 'Agasthya LN, Muller CJ. 2025. Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical
    response and scaling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.,
    e70044.'
  mla: 'Agasthya, Lokahith N., and Caroline J. Muller. “Moist Convection and Radiative
    Cooling: Dynamical Response and Scaling.” <i>Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society</i>, e70044, Wiley, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044">10.1002/qj.70044</a>.'
  short: L.N. Agasthya, C.J. Muller, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological
    Society (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-11-02T23:01:34Z
date_published: 2025-10-18T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-12-01T15:15:18Z
day: '18'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1002/qj.70044
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001595821400001'
has_accepted_license: '1'
isi: 1
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70044
month: '10'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
project:
- _id: fc2ed2f7-9c52-11eb-aca3-c01059dda49c
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
- _id: 629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576
  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1477-870X
  issn:
  - 0035-9009
publication_status: epub_ahead
publisher: Wiley
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Moist convection and radiative cooling: Dynamical response and scaling'
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
year: '2025'
...
---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
PlanS_conform: '1'
_id: '20685'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: 'The Next Generation of Earth Modeling Systems (nextGEMS) project aimed to
    produce multidecadal climate simulations, for the first time, with resolved kilometer-scale
    (km-scale) processes in the ocean, land, and atmosphere. In only 3 years, nextGEMS
    achieved this milestone with the two km-scale Earth system models, ICOsahedral
    Non-hydrostatic model (ICON) and Integrated Forecasting System coupled to the
    Finite-volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (IFS-FESOM). nextGEMS was based on three cornerstones:
    (1) developing km-scale Earth system models with small errors in the energy and
    water balance, (2) performing km-scale climate simulations with a throughput greater
    than 1 simulated year per day, and (3) facilitating new workflows for an efficient
    analysis of the large simulations with common data structures and output variables.
    These cornerstones shaped the timeline of nextGEMS, divided into four cycles.
    Each cycle marked the release of a new configuration of ICON and IFS-FESOM, which
    were evaluated at hackathons. The hackathon participants included experts from
    climate science, software engineering, and high-performance computing as well
    as users from the energy and agricultural sectors. The continuous efforts over
    the four cycles allowed us to produce 30-year simulations with ICON and IFS-FESOM,
    spanning the period 2020–2049 under the SSP3-7.0 scenario. The throughput was
    about 500 simulated days per day on the Levante supercomputer of the German Climate
    Computing Center (DKRZ). The simulations employed a horizontal grid of about 5 km
    resolution in the ocean and 10 km resolution in the atmosphere and land. Aside
    from this technical achievement, the simulations allowed us to gain new insights
    into the realism of ICON and IFS-FESOM. Beyond its time frame, nextGEMS builds
    the foundation of the Climate Change Adaptation Digital Twin developed in the
    Destination Earth initiative and paves the way for future European research on
    climate change.'
acknowledgement: "This research was supported by the Horizon 2020 project nextGEMS
  under grant agreement no. 101003470. Most simulations were performed and analyzed
  on facilities of the DKRZ (HLRE-4 Levante, 2024) with resources granted under project
  bm1235. We would like to thank DKRZ staff for their continued support in running
  the simulations and hosting and handling the data, in particular Jan Frederik Engels,
  Hendryk Bockelmann, Fabian Wachsmann, Irina Fast, and Carsten Beyer. We also want
  to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments.This research
  has been supported by the EU Horizon 2020 (grant no. 101003470).\r\nThe article
  processing charges for this open-access publication were covered by the Max Planck
  Society."
article_processing_charge: Yes (via OA deal)
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Hans
  full_name: Segura, Hans
  last_name: Segura
- first_name: Xabier
  full_name: Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia, Xabier
  last_name: Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia
- first_name: Philipp
  full_name: Weiss, Philipp
  last_name: Weiss
- first_name: Sebastian K.
  full_name: Müller, Sebastian K.
  last_name: Müller
- first_name: Thomas
  full_name: Rackow, Thomas
  last_name: Rackow
- first_name: Junhong
  full_name: Lee, Junhong
  last_name: Lee
- first_name: Edgar
  full_name: Dolores-Tesillos, Edgar
  last_name: Dolores-Tesillos
- first_name: Imme
  full_name: Benedict, Imme
  last_name: Benedict
- first_name: Matthias
  full_name: Aengenheyster, Matthias
  last_name: Aengenheyster
- first_name: Razvan
  full_name: Aguridan, Razvan
  last_name: Aguridan
- first_name: Gabriele
  full_name: Arduini, Gabriele
  last_name: Arduini
- first_name: Alexander J.
  full_name: Baker, Alexander J.
  last_name: Baker
- first_name: Jiawei
  full_name: Bao, Jiawei
  id: bb9a7399-fefd-11ed-be3c-ae648fd1d160
  last_name: Bao
- first_name: Swantje
  full_name: Bastin, Swantje
  last_name: Bastin
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  full_name: Baulenas, Eulàlia
  last_name: Baulenas
- first_name: Tobias
  full_name: Becker, Tobias
  last_name: Becker
- first_name: Sebastian
  full_name: Beyer, Sebastian
  last_name: Beyer
- first_name: Hendryk
  full_name: Bockelmann, Hendryk
  last_name: Bockelmann
- first_name: Nils
  full_name: Brüggemann, Nils
  last_name: Brüggemann
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  full_name: Brunner, Lukas
  last_name: Brunner
- first_name: Suvarchal K.
  full_name: Cheedela, Suvarchal K.
  last_name: Cheedela
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  full_name: Das, Sushant
  last_name: Das
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  full_name: Denissen, Jasper
  last_name: Denissen
- first_name: Ian
  full_name: Dragaud, Ian
  last_name: Dragaud
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  full_name: Dziekan, Piotr
  last_name: Dziekan
- first_name: Madeleine
  full_name: Ekblom, Madeleine
  last_name: Ekblom
- first_name: Jan Frederik
  full_name: Engels, Jan Frederik
  last_name: Engels
- first_name: Monika
  full_name: Esch, Monika
  last_name: Esch
- first_name: Richard
  full_name: Forbes, Richard
  last_name: Forbes
- first_name: Claudia
  full_name: Frauen, Claudia
  last_name: Frauen
- first_name: Lilli
  full_name: Freischem, Lilli
  last_name: Freischem
- first_name: Diego
  full_name: García-Maroto, Diego
  last_name: García-Maroto
- first_name: Philipp
  full_name: Geier, Philipp
  last_name: Geier
- first_name: Paul
  full_name: Gierz, Paul
  last_name: Gierz
- first_name: Álvaro
  full_name: González-Cervera, Álvaro
  last_name: González-Cervera
- first_name: Katherine
  full_name: Grayson, Katherine
  last_name: Grayson
- first_name: Matthew
  full_name: Griffith, Matthew
  last_name: Griffith
- first_name: Oliver
  full_name: Gutjahr, Oliver
  last_name: Gutjahr
- first_name: Helmuth
  full_name: Haak, Helmuth
  last_name: Haak
- first_name: Ioan
  full_name: Hadade, Ioan
  last_name: Hadade
- first_name: Kerstin
  full_name: Haslehner, Kerstin
  last_name: Haslehner
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  full_name: ul Hasson, Shabeh
  last_name: ul Hasson
- first_name: Jan
  full_name: Hegewald, Jan
  last_name: Hegewald
- first_name: Lukas
  full_name: Kluft, Lukas
  last_name: Kluft
- first_name: Aleksei
  full_name: Koldunov, Aleksei
  last_name: Koldunov
- first_name: Nikolay
  full_name: Koldunov, Nikolay
  last_name: Koldunov
- first_name: Tobias
  full_name: Kölling, Tobias
  last_name: Kölling
- first_name: Shunya
  full_name: Koseki, Shunya
  last_name: Koseki
- first_name: Sergey
  full_name: Kosukhin, Sergey
  last_name: Kosukhin
- first_name: Josh
  full_name: Kousal, Josh
  last_name: Kousal
- first_name: Peter
  full_name: Kuma, Peter
  last_name: Kuma
- first_name: Arjun U.
  full_name: Kumar, Arjun U.
  last_name: Kumar
- first_name: Rumeng
  full_name: Li, Rumeng
  last_name: Li
- first_name: Nicolas
  full_name: Maury, Nicolas
  last_name: Maury
- first_name: Maximilian
  full_name: Meindl, Maximilian
  last_name: Meindl
- first_name: Sebastian
  full_name: Milinski, Sebastian
  last_name: Milinski
- first_name: Kristian
  full_name: Mogensen, Kristian
  last_name: Mogensen
- first_name: Bimochan
  full_name: Niraula, Bimochan
  last_name: Niraula
- first_name: Jakub
  full_name: Nowak, Jakub
  last_name: Nowak
- first_name: Divya Sri
  full_name: Praturi, Divya Sri
  last_name: Praturi
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  last_name: Proske
- first_name: Dian
  full_name: Putrasahan, Dian
  last_name: Putrasahan
- first_name: René
  full_name: Redler, René
  last_name: Redler
- first_name: David
  full_name: Santuy, David
  last_name: Santuy
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  full_name: Sármány, Domokos
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  full_name: Schnur, Reiner
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  full_name: Scholz, Patrick
  last_name: Scholz
- first_name: Dmitry
  full_name: Sidorenko, Dmitry
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- first_name: Dorian
  full_name: Spät, Dorian
  last_name: Spät
- first_name: Birgit
  full_name: Sützl, Birgit
  last_name: Sützl
- first_name: Daisuke
  full_name: Takasuka, Daisuke
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- first_name: Adrian
  full_name: Tompkins, Adrian
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- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Uribe, Alejandro
  last_name: Uribe
- first_name: Mirco
  full_name: Valentini, Mirco
  last_name: Valentini
- first_name: Menno
  full_name: Veerman, Menno
  last_name: Veerman
- first_name: Aiko
  full_name: Voigt, Aiko
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- first_name: Sarah
  full_name: Warnau, Sarah
  last_name: Warnau
- first_name: Fabian
  full_name: Wachsmann, Fabian
  last_name: Wachsmann
- first_name: Marta
  full_name: Wacławczyk, Marta
  last_name: Wacławczyk
- first_name: Nils
  full_name: Wedi, Nils
  last_name: Wedi
- first_name: Karl-Hermann
  full_name: Wieners, Karl-Hermann
  last_name: Wieners
- first_name: Jonathan
  full_name: Wille, Jonathan
  last_name: Wille
- first_name: Marius
  full_name: Winkler, Marius
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  last_name: Wu
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  last_name: Ziemen
- first_name: Janos
  full_name: Zimmermann, Janos
  last_name: Zimmermann
- first_name: Frida A.-M.
  full_name: Bender, Frida A.-M.
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  full_name: Dengler, Marcus
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  last_name: Dutra
- first_name: Saliou
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  full_name: Hohenegger, Cathy
  last_name: Hohenegger
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  full_name: Jochum, Markus
  last_name: Jochum
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  full_name: Jung, Thomas
  last_name: Jung
- first_name: Johann H.
  full_name: Jungclaus, Johann H.
  last_name: Jungclaus
- first_name: Noel S.
  full_name: Keenlyside, Noel S.
  last_name: Keenlyside
- first_name: Daniel
  full_name: Klocke, Daniel
  last_name: Klocke
- first_name: Heike
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- first_name: Martina
  full_name: Klose, Martina
  last_name: Klose
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- first_name: Olivia
  full_name: Martius, Olivia
  last_name: Martius
- first_name: Thorsten
  full_name: Mauritsen, Thorsten
  last_name: Mauritsen
- first_name: Juan Pedro
  full_name: Mellado, Juan Pedro
  last_name: Mellado
- first_name: Theresa
  full_name: Mieslinger, Theresa
  last_name: Mieslinger
- first_name: Elsa
  full_name: Mohino, Elsa
  last_name: Mohino
- first_name: Hanna
  full_name: Pawłowska, Hanna
  last_name: Pawłowska
- first_name: Karsten
  full_name: Peters-von Gehlen, Karsten
  last_name: Peters-von Gehlen
- first_name: Abdoulaye
  full_name: Sarré, Abdoulaye
  last_name: Sarré
- first_name: Pajam
  full_name: Sobhani, Pajam
  last_name: Sobhani
- first_name: Philip
  full_name: Stier, Philip
  last_name: Stier
- first_name: Lauri
  full_name: Tuppi, Lauri
  last_name: Tuppi
- first_name: Pier Luigi
  full_name: Vidale, Pier Luigi
  last_name: Vidale
- first_name: Irina
  full_name: Sandu, Irina
  last_name: Sandu
- first_name: Bjorn
  full_name: Stevens, Bjorn
  last_name: Stevens
citation:
  ama: 'Segura H, Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia X, Weiss P, et al. nextGEMS: Entering the era
    of kilometer-scale Earth system modeling. <i>Geoscientific Model Development</i>.
    2025;18(20):7735-7761. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025">10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025</a>'
  apa: 'Segura, H., Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia, X., Weiss, P., Müller, S. K., Rackow, T.,
    Lee, J., … Stevens, B. (2025). nextGEMS: Entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth
    system modeling. <i>Geoscientific Model Development</i>. Copernicus Publications.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025">https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025</a>'
  chicago: 'Segura, Hans, Xabier Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia, Philipp Weiss, Sebastian K.
    Müller, Thomas Rackow, Junhong Lee, Edgar Dolores-Tesillos, et al. “NextGEMS:
    Entering the Era of Kilometer-Scale Earth System Modeling.” <i>Geoscientific Model
    Development</i>. Copernicus Publications, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025">https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025</a>.'
  ieee: 'H. Segura <i>et al.</i>, “nextGEMS: Entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth
    system modeling,” <i>Geoscientific Model Development</i>, vol. 18, no. 20. Copernicus
    Publications, pp. 7735–7761, 2025.'
  ista: 'Segura H et al. 2025. nextGEMS: Entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth
    system modeling. Geoscientific Model Development. 18(20), 7735–7761.'
  mla: 'Segura, Hans, et al. “NextGEMS: Entering the Era of Kilometer-Scale Earth
    System Modeling.” <i>Geoscientific Model Development</i>, vol. 18, no. 20, Copernicus
    Publications, 2025, pp. 7735–61, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025">10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025</a>.'
  short: H. Segura, X. Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia, P. Weiss, S.K. Müller, T. Rackow, J. Lee,
    E. Dolores-Tesillos, I. Benedict, M. Aengenheyster, R. Aguridan, G. Arduini, A.J.
    Baker, J. Bao, S. Bastin, E. Baulenas, T. Becker, S. Beyer, H. Bockelmann, N.
    Brüggemann, L. Brunner, S.K. Cheedela, S. Das, J. Denissen, I. Dragaud, P. Dziekan,
    M. Ekblom, J.F. Engels, M. Esch, R. Forbes, C. Frauen, L. Freischem, D. García-Maroto,
    P. Geier, P. Gierz, Á. González-Cervera, K. Grayson, M. Griffith, O. Gutjahr,
    H. Haak, I. Hadade, K. Haslehner, S. ul Hasson, J. Hegewald, L. Kluft, A. Koldunov,
    N. Koldunov, T. Kölling, S. Koseki, S. Kosukhin, J. Kousal, P. Kuma, A.U. Kumar,
    R. Li, N. Maury, M. Meindl, S. Milinski, K. Mogensen, B. Niraula, J. Nowak, D.S.
    Praturi, U. Proske, D. Putrasahan, R. Redler, D. Santuy, D. Sármány, R. Schnur,
    P. Scholz, D. Sidorenko, D. Spät, B. Sützl, D. Takasuka, A. Tompkins, A. Uribe,
    M. Valentini, M. Veerman, A. Voigt, S. Warnau, F. Wachsmann, M. Wacławczyk, N.
    Wedi, K.-H. Wieners, J. Wille, M. Winkler, Y. Wu, F. Ziemen, J. Zimmermann, F.A.-M.
    Bender, D. Bojovic, S. Bony, S. Bordoni, P. Brehmer, M. Dengler, E. Dutra, S.
    Faye, E. Fischer, C. van Heerwaarden, C. Hohenegger, H. Järvinen, M. Jochum, T.
    Jung, J.H. Jungclaus, N.S. Keenlyside, D. Klocke, H. Konow, M. Klose, S. Malinowski,
    O. Martius, T. Mauritsen, J.P. Mellado, T. Mieslinger, E. Mohino, H. Pawłowska,
    K. Peters-von Gehlen, A. Sarré, P. Sobhani, P. Stier, L. Tuppi, P.L. Vidale, I.
    Sandu, B. Stevens, Geoscientific Model Development 18 (2025) 7735–7761.
date_created: 2025-11-24T14:23:07Z
date_published: 2025-10-23T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-11-25T12:33:05Z
day: '23'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-7735-2025
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abstract:
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  text: We examine mesoscale convective organisation in the tropical western Pacific
    using a multivariate analysis of column humidity, precipitation and sea surface
    temperature (SST) observations. We demonstrate that in boreal summer and autumn,
    convection remains spatially random despite radiative-feedbacks acting to aggregate
    convection, which we attribute to the high density of convective moisture sources
    and the role of wind shear. Instead, in winter and spring, a weak meridional SST
    gradient exists and convection is usually clustered over the regions of warmer
    SSTs, with significant meridional humidity gradients. However, this is sporadically
    interrupted by episodes of convection migration to the coldest SSTs and limited
    spatial humidity variance. These episodes are the result of westward propagating
    equatorial waves, which remove meridional humidity gradients. It appears that
    the drivers of mesoscale convective clustering and humidity variability in the
    Pacific warm pool are the SST gradients, shear, and equatorial wave dynamics.
acknowledgement: This paper is based on A.C. Ph.D. thesis, chapter 4. A.C. was supported
  by an ICTP Ph.D scholarship and subsequently by funding from the European Union’s
  Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie
  grant agreement No 101034413. MVDV was supported by an ICTP diploma programme scholarship
  while carrying out analysis for this publication. The funders played no role in
  study design, data collection, analysis and interpretation of data, or the writing
  of this manuscript. We would like to thank Maria Gehne of NOAA for providing the
  code for the wave activity calculation and advice on its use, and Fred Kucharski,
  Erika Coppola, Hernández-Deckers, Caroline Muller and Paolina Cerlini for their
  insightful comments and advice
article_number: '69'
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Adrian Mike
  full_name: Tompkins, Adrian Mike
  last_name: Tompkins
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: Michie Vianca
  full_name: De Vera, Michie Vianca
  last_name: De Vera
citation:
  ama: Tompkins AM, Casallas Garcia A, De Vera MV. Drivers of mesoscale convective
    aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific.
    <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. 2025;8. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2">10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2</a>
  apa: Tompkins, A. M., Casallas Garcia, A., &#38; De Vera, M. V. (2025). Drivers
    of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical
    western Pacific. <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>. Springer Nature.
    <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2</a>
  chicago: Tompkins, Adrian Mike, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, and Michie Vianca De
    Vera. “Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Aggregation and Spatial Humidity Variability
    in the Tropical Western Pacific.” <i>Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>.
    Springer Nature, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2</a>.
  ieee: A. M. Tompkins, A. Casallas Garcia, and M. V. De Vera, “Drivers of mesoscale
    convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western
    Pacific,” <i>npj Climate and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 8. Springer Nature,
    2025.
  ista: Tompkins AM, Casallas Garcia A, De Vera MV. 2025. Drivers of mesoscale convective
    aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific.
    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 8, 69.
  mla: Tompkins, Adrian Mike, et al. “Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Aggregation
    and Spatial Humidity Variability in the Tropical Western Pacific.” <i>Npj Climate
    and Atmospheric Science</i>, vol. 8, 69, Springer Nature, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2">10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2</a>.
  short: A.M. Tompkins, A. Casallas Garcia, M.V. De Vera, Npj Climate and Atmospheric
    Science 8 (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-02-24T10:18:50Z
date_published: 2025-02-24T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-30T10:41:20Z
day: '24'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00848-2
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001432282900002'
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  call_identifier: H2020
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  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
publication_identifier:
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  - 2397-3722
publication_status: published
publisher: Springer Nature
quality_controlled: '1'
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title: Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability
  in the tropical western Pacific
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abstract:
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  text: 'Recently, Biagioli and Tompkins (2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003231)
    used a simple stochastic model to derive a dimensionless parameter to predict
    convective self aggregation (SA) development, which was based on the derivation
    of the maximum free convective distance ($d_{clr}$) expected in the pre-aggregated,
    random state. Our goal is to test and further investigate this hypothesis, namely
    that $d_{clr}$ can predict SA occurrence, using an ensemble of twenty-four distinct
    combinations of horizontal mixing, planetary boundary layer (PBL), and microphysical
    parameterizations. We conclude that the key impact of parameterization schemes
    on SA is through their control of the number of convective cores and their relative
    spacing, $d_{clr}$, which itself is impacted by cold-pool (CP) properties and
    mean updraft core size. SA is more likely when the convective core count is small,
    while CPs modify convective spacing via suppression in their interiors and triggering
    by gust-front convergence and collisions. Each parameterization scheme emphasizes
    a different mechanism. Subgrid-scale horizontal turbulent mixing mainly affects
    SA through the determination of convective core size and thus spacing. The sensitivity
    to the microphysics is mainly through rain evaporation and the subsequent impact
    on CPs, while perturbations to the ice cloud microphysics have a limited effect.
    Non-local PBL mixing schemes promote SA primarily by increasing convective inhibition
    through inversion entrainment and altering low cloud amounts, leading to fewer
    convective cores and larger $d_{clr}$. '
acknowledgement: This article is based on chapter 3 of AC Ph.D. thesis. The authors
  thank Graziano Giuliani for his coding assistance. We also thank Daniel Hernández-Deckers,
  Paolina Cerlini, and especially to Giovanni Biagioli for discussions and feedback.
  We also thank two reviewers for their insightful comments. AC was supported by a
  fellowship awarded by ICTP and by the European Union Horizon 2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie
  grant agreement No. 101034413. CM acknowledges funding from the European Research
  Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
  (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041).
article_number: e2024MS004791
article_processing_charge: Yes
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: A.M.
  full_name: Tompkins, A.M.
  last_name: Tompkins
- first_name: Caroline J
  full_name: Muller, Caroline J
  id: f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b
  last_name: Muller
  orcid: 0000-0001-5836-5350
- first_name: G.
  full_name: Thompson, G.
  last_name: Thompson
citation:
  ama: Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM, Muller CJ, Thompson G. Sensitivity of self-aggregation
    and the key role of the free convection distance. <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems</i>. 2025;17(3). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791">10.1029/2024MS004791</a>
  apa: Casallas Garcia, A., Tompkins, A. M., Muller, C. J., &#38; Thompson, G. (2025).
    Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance.
    <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791">https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791</a>
  chicago: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, A.M. Tompkins, Caroline J Muller, and G. Thompson.
    “Sensitivity of Self-Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance.”
    <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>. Wiley, 2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791">https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791</a>.
  ieee: A. Casallas Garcia, A. M. Tompkins, C. J. Muller, and G. Thompson, “Sensitivity
    of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance,” <i>Journal
    of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</i>, vol. 17, no. 3. Wiley, 2025.
  ista: Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM, Muller CJ, Thompson G. 2025. Sensitivity of
    self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance. Journal of
    Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 17(3), e2024MS004791.
  mla: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro, et al. “Sensitivity of Self-Aggregation and the
    Key Role of the Free Convection Distance.” <i>Journal of Advances in Modeling
    Earth Systems</i>, vol. 17, no. 3, e2024MS004791, Wiley, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004791">10.1029/2024MS004791</a>.
  short: A. Casallas Garcia, A.M. Tompkins, C.J. Muller, G. Thompson, Journal of Advances
    in Modeling Earth Systems 17 (2025).
corr_author: '1'
date_created: 2025-03-19T07:58:38Z
date_published: 2025-03-18T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-09-30T11:04:38Z
day: '18'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1029/2024MS004791
ec_funded: 1
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  grant_number: '805041'
  name: Organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the
    Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate
publication: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
publication_identifier:
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title: Sensitivity of self-aggregation and the key role of the free convection distance
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OA_type: closed access
_id: '19585'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Air quality in northern South America faces significant challenges due to
    insufficient high-resolution emission inventories and sparse atmospheric studies.
    This study addresses these gaps by developing a novel framework that integrates
    high-resolution nighttime light data from SDGSAT-1 and multisource remote sensing
    datasets with deep learning techniques to downscale emission inventories. The
    refined inventories are coupled with meteorological inputs into the Weather Research
    and Forecasting (WRF-Chem) model, enabling precise simulation of pollutant dynamics.
    Validated against ground measurements from Colombia's SISAIRE monitoring network,
    demonstrates significant improvements in spatiotemporal accuracy, particularly
    for particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) with error reductions of
    22–30 % and correlation coefficients increasing from 0.68 to 0.85. These findings
    underscore the critical role of satellite-enhanced inventories in resolving localized
    emission patterns and seasonal variability, such as dry-season PM₁₀ spikes (150
    % increase from wildfires). The framework provides policymakers with actionable
    insights to prioritize mitigation in rapidly urbanizing regions and manage transboundary
    pollution. By bridging data scarcity gaps, this replicable methodology offers
    transformative potential for global air quality management and public health protection,
    advocating for expanded ground monitoring networks and real-time satellite data
    integration in future applications.
acknowledgement: This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation
  of China (Grant No. 42471425). The research findings are a component of the SDGSAT-1
  Open Science Program, which is conducted by the International Research Center of
  Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals (CBAS). The data utilized in this study
  is sourced from SDGSAT-1 and provided by CBAS. Alejandro Casallas was supported
  by a fellowship awarded by the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical
  Physics and also by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme
  under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 101034413. Ellie López-Barrera
  was supported by project No. IN.BG.086.24.015 from Universidad Sergio Arboleda.
article_number: '114761'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Franz
  full_name: Antezana-Lopez, Franz
  last_name: Antezana-Lopez
- first_name: Alejandro
  full_name: Casallas Garcia, Alejandro
  id: 92081129-2d75-11ef-a48d-b04dd7a2385a
  last_name: Casallas Garcia
  orcid: 0000-0002-1988-5035
- first_name: Guanhua
  full_name: Zhou, Guanhua
  last_name: Zhou
- first_name: Kai
  full_name: Zhang, Kai
  last_name: Zhang
- first_name: Guifei
  full_name: Jing, Guifei
  last_name: Jing
- first_name: Aamir
  full_name: Ali, Aamir
  last_name: Ali
- first_name: Ellie
  full_name: Lopez-Barrera, Ellie
  last_name: Lopez-Barrera
- first_name: Luis Carlos
  full_name: Belalcazar, Luis Carlos
  last_name: Belalcazar
- first_name: Nestor
  full_name: Rojas, Nestor
  last_name: Rojas
- first_name: Hongzhi
  full_name: Jiang, Hongzhi
  last_name: Jiang
citation:
  ama: Antezana-Lopez F, Casallas Garcia A, Zhou G, et al. High-resolution anthropogenic
    emission inventories with deep learning in northern South America. <i>Remote Sensing
    of Environment</i>. 2025;324. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761">10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761</a>
  apa: Antezana-Lopez, F., Casallas Garcia, A., Zhou, G., Zhang, K., Jing, G., Ali,
    A., … Jiang, H. (2025). High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with
    deep learning in northern South America. <i>Remote Sensing of Environment</i>.
    Elsevier. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761</a>
  chicago: Antezana-Lopez, Franz, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, Guanhua Zhou, Kai Zhang,
    Guifei Jing, Aamir Ali, Ellie Lopez-Barrera, Luis Carlos Belalcazar, Nestor Rojas,
    and Hongzhi Jiang. “High-Resolution Anthropogenic Emission Inventories with Deep
    Learning in Northern South America.” <i>Remote Sensing of Environment</i>. Elsevier,
    2025. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761</a>.
  ieee: F. Antezana-Lopez <i>et al.</i>, “High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories
    with deep learning in northern South America,” <i>Remote Sensing of Environment</i>,
    vol. 324. Elsevier, 2025.
  ista: Antezana-Lopez F, Casallas Garcia A, Zhou G, Zhang K, Jing G, Ali A, Lopez-Barrera
    E, Belalcazar LC, Rojas N, Jiang H. 2025. High-resolution anthropogenic emission
    inventories with deep learning in northern South America. Remote Sensing of Environment.
    324, 114761.
  mla: Antezana-Lopez, Franz, et al. “High-Resolution Anthropogenic Emission Inventories
    with Deep Learning in Northern South America.” <i>Remote Sensing of Environment</i>,
    vol. 324, 114761, Elsevier, 2025, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761">10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761</a>.
  short: F. Antezana-Lopez, A. Casallas Garcia, G. Zhou, K. Zhang, G. Jing, A. Ali,
    E. Lopez-Barrera, L.C. Belalcazar, N. Rojas, H. Jiang, Remote Sensing of Environment
    324 (2025).
date_created: 2025-04-17T09:04:17Z
date_published: 2025-07-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2025-12-30T08:15:35Z
day: '01'
ddc:
- '550'
department:
- _id: CaMu
doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2025.114761
ec_funded: 1
external_id:
  isi:
  - '001475174300001'
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '       324'
isi: 1
language:
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month: '07'
oa_version: None
project:
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  call_identifier: H2020
  grant_number: '101034413'
  name: 'IST-BRIDGE: International postdoctoral program'
publication: Remote Sensing of Environment
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 1879-0704
  issn:
  - 0034-4257
publication_status: published
publisher: Elsevier
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: High-resolution anthropogenic emission inventories with deep learning in northern
  South America
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 324
year: '2025'
...
