{"file":[{"content_type":"application/pdf","checksum":"71d7f966318e11ce474737f4e37405ef","success":1,"file_size":8126046,"relation":"main_file","access_level":"open_access","date_updated":"2024-08-19T06:32:21Z","creator":"dernst","date_created":"2024-08-19T06:32:21Z","file_id":"17438","file_name":"2024_JGRAtmospheres_Andre.pdf"}],"publication_identifier":{"eissn":["2169-8996"],"issn":["2169-897X"]},"title":"Regimes of precipitation change over Europe and the Mediterranean","type":"journal_article","date_created":"2024-08-18T22:01:04Z","month":"08","publication_status":"published","article_type":"original","scopus_import":"1","tmp":{"short":"CC BY-NC (4.0)","legal_code_url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode","name":"Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)","image":"/images/cc_by_nc.png"},"_id":"17435","year":"2024","date_updated":"2024-08-19T06:35:36Z","ddc":["550"],"publisher":"Wiley","oa":1,"quality_controlled":"1","publication":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres","citation":{"ista":"André J, D’Andrea F, Drobinski P, Muller CJ. 2024. Regimes of precipitation change over Europe and the Mediterranean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 129(15), e2023JD040413.","ama":"André J, D’Andrea F, Drobinski P, Muller CJ. Regimes of precipitation change over Europe and the Mediterranean. <i>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</i>. 2024;129(15). doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413\">10.1029/2023JD040413</a>","mla":"André, Julie, et al. “Regimes of Precipitation Change over Europe and the Mediterranean.” <i>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</i>, vol. 129, no. 15, e2023JD040413, Wiley, 2024, doi:<a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413\">10.1029/2023JD040413</a>.","apa":"André, J., D’Andrea, F., Drobinski, P., &#38; Muller, C. J. (2024). Regimes of precipitation change over Europe and the Mediterranean. <i>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</i>. Wiley. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413\">https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413</a>","ieee":"J. André, F. D’Andrea, P. Drobinski, and C. J. Muller, “Regimes of precipitation change over Europe and the Mediterranean,” <i>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</i>, vol. 129, no. 15. Wiley, 2024.","short":"J. André, F. D’Andrea, P. Drobinski, C.J. Muller, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 129 (2024).","chicago":"André, Julie, Fabio D’Andrea, Philippe Drobinski, and Caroline J Muller. “Regimes of Precipitation Change over Europe and the Mediterranean.” <i>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</i>. Wiley, 2024. <a href=\"https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413\">https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040413</a>."},"project":[{"call_identifier":"H2020","name":"organization of CLoUdS, and implications of Tropical  cyclones and for the Energetics of the tropics, in current and waRming climate","_id":"629205d8-2b32-11ec-9570-e1356ff73576","grant_number":"805041"}],"status":"public","article_number":"e2023JD040413","acknowledgement":"CJM gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No 805041). The authors also thank Samuel Somot (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Toulouse) and Juliette Blanchet (Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement, Grenoble) for their fruitful discussions on the project.","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"article_processing_charge":"Yes (in subscription journal)","date_published":"2024-08-16T00:00:00Z","intvolume":"       129","ec_funded":1,"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"The Mediterranean region is experiencing pronounced aridification and in certain areas higher occurrence of intense precipitation. In this work, we analyze the evolution of the precipitation probability distribution in terms of precipitating days (or “wet-days”) and all-days quantile trends, in Europe and the Mediterranean, using the ERA5 reanalysis. Looking at the form of wet-days quantile trends curves, we identify four regimes. Two are predominant: in most of northern Europe the precipitation quantiles all intensify, while in the Mediterranean the low-medium quantiles are mostly decreasing as extremes intensify or decrease. The wet-days distribution is then modeled by a Weibull law with two parameters, whose changes capture the four regimes. Assessing the significance of the parameters' changes over 1950–2020 shows that a signal on wet-days distribution has already emerged in northern Europe (where the distribution shifts to more intense precipitation), but not yet in the Mediterranean, where the natural variability is stronger. We extend the results by describing the all-days distribution change as the wet-days’ change plus a contribution from the dry-days frequency change, and study their relative contribution. In northern Europe, the wet-days distribution change is the dominant driver, and the contribution of dry-days frequency change can be neglected for wet-days percentiles above about 50%. In the Mediterranean, however, the change of precipitation distribution comes from the significant increase of dry-days frequency instead of an intensity change during wet-days. Therefore, in the Mediterranean the increase of dry-days frequency is crucial for all-days trends, even for heavy precipitation."}],"issue":"15","author":[{"first_name":"Julie","last_name":"André","full_name":"André, Julie"},{"first_name":"Fabio","full_name":"D'Andrea, Fabio","last_name":"D'Andrea"},{"first_name":"Philippe","full_name":"Drobinski, Philippe","last_name":"Drobinski"},{"first_name":"Caroline J","orcid":"0000-0001-5836-5350","last_name":"Muller","id":"f978ccb0-3f7f-11eb-b193-b0e2bd13182b","full_name":"Muller, Caroline J"}],"has_accepted_license":"1","doi":"10.1029/2023JD040413","user_id":"2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87","file_date_updated":"2024-08-19T06:32:21Z","oa_version":"Published Version","volume":129,"day":"16","department":[{"_id":"CaMu"}]}