---
res:
  bibo_abstract:
  - Climate change is causing wildfires to become more frequent and intense. While
    predicting burned areas using bioclimatic and anthropogenic factors is an active
    research area, few studies have examined what drives the economic damages of wildfires.
    Our study aims to fill this gap by analyzing key factors influencing global economic
    wildfire damages and projecting future damages under three shared socioeconomic
    pathways (SSPs). We apply regression analyses to identify significant predictors
    of economic wildfire damages at country levels and use the fitted model to project
    future damages under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP370. Results show that the human vulnerability
    index (HVI), reflecting socioeconomic conditions, is the strongest predictor of
    historical wildfire damages, followed by water vapor pressure deficit during the
    fire season and population density around forested areas. We found high population
    density to be associated with lower damages. These findings contrast with studies
    of burned areas, where climate factors are more dominant. Our model projects that
    by 2070, average global economic wildfire damages will be three times higher under
    SSP370 than SSP126. Our model also shows that following SSP126 not only reduces
    wildfire damages but also lessens the inequalities in damage distribution across
    countries. This pathway’s dual focus on equitable socioeconomic progress and climate
    action potentially enhances a country’s resilience that helps mitigate wildfire
    damages. Our analyses also indicate that strong socioeconomic development can
    offset wildfire damages associated with climate hazards, although this is less
    certain under SSP370. SSP126’s integrated approach improves both socioeconomic
    conditions and limits global warming, providing substantial benefits to less developed
    countries while still reducing damages in developed nations, despite their already
    low HVI scores. Our work complements existing research on burned areas and underscores
    the importance of sustainable development and international collaboration in reducing
    the economic damages of wildfires.@eng
  bibo_authorlist:
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: Yi-Ling
      foaf_name: Hwong, Yi-Ling
      foaf_surname: Hwong
      foaf_workInfoHomepage: http://www.librecat.org/personId=1217aa61-4dd1-11ec-9ac3-f2ba3f17ee22
    orcid: 0000-0001-9281-3479
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: Edward
      foaf_name: Byers, Edward
      foaf_surname: Byers
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: Michaela
      foaf_name: Werning, Michaela
      foaf_surname: Werning
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: Yann
      foaf_name: Quilcaille, Yann
      foaf_surname: Quilcaille
  bibo_doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/adec11
  bibo_issue: '3'
  bibo_volume: 4
  dct_date: 2025^xs_gYear
  dct_isPartOf:
  - http://id.crossref.org/issn/2752-5295
  dct_language: eng
  dct_publisher: IOP Publishing@
  dct_title: Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire
    damages@
...