---
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: hybrid
_id: '22442'
abstract:
- lang: eng
  text: Mountainous running water ecosystems are vulnerable to climate change with
    major changes coming from warming temperatures. Species distribution will be affected
    and some species are anticipated to be winners (increasing their range) or losers
    (at risk of extinction). Climate change vulnerability is seldom integrated when
    assessing threat status for lists of species at risk (Red Lists), even though
    this might appear an important addition in the current context. The main objective
    of our study was to assess the potential vulnerability of Ephemeroptera (E), Plecoptera
    (P) and Trichoptera (T) species to global warming in a Swiss mountainous region
    by supplementing Species Distribution Models (SDMs) with a trait-based approach,
    using available historical occurrence and environmental data and to compare our
    outcomes with the Swiss National Red List. First, we used nine different modelling
    techniques and topographic, land use, climatic and hydrological variables as predictors
    of EPT species distribution. The shape of the response curves of the species for
    the environmental variables in the nine modelling techniques, together with three
    biological and ecological traits were used to assess the potential vulnerability
    of each species to climate change. The joint use of SDMs and trait approach appeared
    complementary and even though discrepancies were highlighted between SDMs and
    trait analyses, groups of potential “winners” and “losers” were raised out. Plecoptera
    appeared as the most vulnerable group to global warming. Divergences between current
    threat status of species and our results pointed out the need to integrate climate
    change vulnerability in Red List assessments.
article_number: '636'
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Anne-Laure
  full_name: Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure
  last_name: Besacier Monbertrand
- first_name: Pablo
  full_name: Timoner, Pablo
  last_name: Timoner
- first_name: Kazi
  full_name: Rahman, Kazi
  last_name: Rahman
- first_name: Paolo
  full_name: Burlando, Paolo
  last_name: Burlando
- first_name: Simone
  full_name: Fatichi, Simone
  id: cf8e546b-a9b0-11f0-a43b-aa89ed1b56d6
  last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Yves
  full_name: Gonseth, Yves
  last_name: Gonseth
- first_name: Frédéric
  full_name: Moser, Frédéric
  last_name: Moser
- first_name: Emmanuel
  full_name: Castella, Emmanuel
  last_name: Castella
- first_name: Anthony
  full_name: Lehmann, Anthony
  last_name: Lehmann
citation:
  ama: 'Besacier Monbertrand A-L, Timoner P, Rahman K, et al. Assessing the vulnerability
    of aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
    presence-only data with species traits. <i>Water</i>. 2019;11(4). doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636">10.3390/w11040636</a>'
  apa: 'Besacier Monbertrand, A.-L., Timoner, P., Rahman, K., Burlando, P., Fatichi,
    S., Gonseth, Y., … Lehmann, A. (2019). Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic
    macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
    presence-only data with species traits. <i>Water</i>. MDPI. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636">https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636</a>'
  chicago: 'Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure, Pablo Timoner, Kazi Rahman, Paolo Burlando,
    Simone Fatichi, Yves Gonseth, Frédéric Moser, Emmanuel Castella, and Anthony Lehmann.
    “Assessing the Vulnerability of Aquatic Macroinvertebrates to Climate Warming
    in a Mountainous Watershed: Supplementing Presence-Only Data with Species Traits.”
    <i>Water</i>. MDPI, 2019. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636">https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636</a>.'
  ieee: 'A.-L. Besacier Monbertrand <i>et al.</i>, “Assessing the vulnerability of
    aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
    presence-only data with species traits,” <i>Water</i>, vol. 11, no. 4. MDPI, 2019.'
  ista: 'Besacier Monbertrand A-L, Timoner P, Rahman K, Burlando P, Fatichi S, Gonseth
    Y, Moser F, Castella E, Lehmann A. 2019. Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic
    macroinvertebrates to climate warming in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing
    presence-only data with species traits. Water. 11(4), 636.'
  mla: 'Besacier Monbertrand, Anne-Laure, et al. “Assessing the Vulnerability of Aquatic
    Macroinvertebrates to Climate Warming in a Mountainous Watershed: Supplementing
    Presence-Only Data with Species Traits.” <i>Water</i>, vol. 11, no. 4, 636, MDPI,
    2019, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636">10.3390/w11040636</a>.'
  short: A.-L. Besacier Monbertrand, P. Timoner, K. Rahman, P. Burlando, S. Fatichi,
    Y. Gonseth, F. Moser, E. Castella, A. Lehmann, Water 11 (2019).
das_tickbox: '1'
date_created: 2026-07-27T12:30:23Z
date_published: 2019-03-27T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-07-30T06:58:18Z
day: '27'
ddc:
- '550'
doi: 10.3390/w11040636
extern: '1'
fulldoi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636
has_accepted_license: '1'
intvolume: '        11'
issue: '4'
keyword:
- Species Distribution Models
- ensemble forecasting
- Swiss Alps
- climate change
- red lists
language:
- iso: eng
license: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040636
month: '03'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Water
publication_identifier:
  eissn:
  - 2073-4441
publication_status: published
publisher: MDPI
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: 'Assessing the vulnerability of aquatic macroinvertebrates to climate warming
  in a mountainous watershed: Supplementing presence-only data with species traits'
tmp:
  image: /images/cc_by.png
  legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
  name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
  short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: 2DF688A6-F248-11E8-B48F-1D18A9856A87
volume: 11
year: '2019'
...
