---
DOAJ_listed: '1'
OA_place: publisher
OA_type: gold
_id: '22443'
abstract:
- lang: eng
text: 'Society faces increasingly severe flood hazards, intensifying demand for
flood early warning systems (FEWS) that deliver accurate and actionable information.
However, most existing FEWS remain prediction‐centric, treating decision‐making
as a downstream consumer of hazard forecasts while offering limited support for
uncertainty interpretation, risk communication, and real‐world response. This
Perspective presents a vision and blueprint for a novel inland FEWS‐decision‐making
(FEWS‐DM) framework that repositions decision‐making as an equal partner in the
forecasting process—not a passive recipient of its outputs. The framework is built
on three tightly coupled, co‐evolving thrusts: Physical Science (T1), which advances
flood prediction with quantified uncertainty informed by decision relevance; Human
Science (T2), which incorporates psychology, behavior, and cultural and institutional
context; and Decision Science (T3), which unifies physical predictions and human
factors through principled, utility‐based decision support with end‐to‐end uncertainty
management. Rather than treating T1 as a solved problem, FEWS‐DM recognizes that
forecast development itself must be shaped by decision needs through continuous
bidirectional feedback. We identify key scientific, behavioral, and operational
challenges limiting such integration and discuss the enabling role of AI, while
emphasizing human‐centered design and community feedback as essential for building
trust and improving flood risk management.'
article_number: e2026EF008857
article_processing_charge: No
article_type: original
author:
- first_name: Vinh Ngoc
full_name: Tran, Vinh Ngoc
last_name: Tran
- first_name: Xun
full_name: Huan, Xun
last_name: Huan
- first_name: Anindya Das
full_name: Antar, Anindya Das
last_name: Antar
- first_name: Nikola
full_name: Banovic, Nikola
last_name: Banovic
- first_name: Jeff H.
full_name: Bednar, Jeff H.
last_name: Bednar
- first_name: Shannon Marie
full_name: Bergt, Shannon Marie
last_name: Bergt
- first_name: Chen
full_name: Cheng, Chen
last_name: Cheng
- first_name: Francina
full_name: Dominguez, Francina
last_name: Dominguez
- first_name: Simone
full_name: Fatichi, Simone
id: cf8e546b-a9b0-11f0-a43b-aa89ed1b56d6
last_name: Fatichi
- first_name: Richard
full_name: Gonzalez, Richard
last_name: Gonzalez
- first_name: Kevin
full_name: Gray, Kevin
last_name: Gray
- first_name: Brian
full_name: Jewett, Brian
last_name: Jewett
- first_name: Jongho
full_name: Kim, Jongho
last_name: Kim
- first_name: Phong V.V.
full_name: Le, Phong V.V.
last_name: Le
- first_name: Dan
full_name: Lu, Dan
last_name: Lu
- first_name: Snehal
full_name: Prabhudesai, Snehal
last_name: Prabhudesai
- first_name: Deffi
full_name: Putri, Deffi
last_name: Putri
- first_name: Sudhansu
full_name: Rath, Sudhansu
last_name: Rath
- first_name: Khachik
full_name: Sargsyan, Khachik
last_name: Sargsyan
- first_name: Sarah H.
full_name: Whitaker, Sarah H.
last_name: Whitaker
- first_name: Daniel B.
full_name: Wright, Daniel B.
last_name: Wright
- first_name: Donghui
full_name: Xu, Donghui
last_name: Xu
- first_name: John P.
full_name: Ziker, John P.
last_name: Ziker
- first_name: Valeriy Y.
full_name: Ivanov, Valeriy Y.
last_name: Ivanov
citation:
ama: Tran VN, Huan X, Antar AD, et al. Reimagining how flood warnings can inform
decision‐making and community actions. Earth’s Future. 2026;14(6). doi:10.1029/2026ef008857
apa: Tran, V. N., Huan, X., Antar, A. D., Banovic, N., Bednar, J. H., Bergt, S.
M., … Ivanov, V. Y. (2026). Reimagining how flood warnings can inform decision‐making
and community actions. Earth’s Future. American Geophysical Union. https://doi.org/10.1029/2026ef008857
chicago: Tran, Vinh Ngoc, Xun Huan, Anindya Das Antar, Nikola Banovic, Jeff H. Bednar,
Shannon Marie Bergt, Chen Cheng, et al. “Reimagining How Flood Warnings Can Inform
Decision‐making and Community Actions.” Earth’s Future. American Geophysical
Union, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2026ef008857.
ieee: V. N. Tran et al., “Reimagining how flood warnings can inform decision‐making
and community actions,” Earth’s Future, vol. 14, no. 6. American Geophysical
Union, 2026.
ista: Tran VN, Huan X, Antar AD, Banovic N, Bednar JH, Bergt SM, Cheng C, Dominguez
F, Fatichi S, Gonzalez R, Gray K, Jewett B, Kim J, Le PVV, Lu D, Prabhudesai S,
Putri D, Rath S, Sargsyan K, Whitaker SH, Wright DB, Xu D, Ziker JP, Ivanov VY.
2026. Reimagining how flood warnings can inform decision‐making and community
actions. Earth’s Future. 14(6), e2026EF008857.
mla: Tran, Vinh Ngoc, et al. “Reimagining How Flood Warnings Can Inform Decision‐making
and Community Actions.” Earth’s Future, vol. 14, no. 6, e2026EF008857,
American Geophysical Union, 2026, doi:10.1029/2026ef008857.
short: V.N. Tran, X. Huan, A.D. Antar, N. Banovic, J.H. Bednar, S.M. Bergt, C. Cheng,
F. Dominguez, S. Fatichi, R. Gonzalez, K. Gray, B. Jewett, J. Kim, P.V.V. Le,
D. Lu, S. Prabhudesai, D. Putri, S. Rath, K. Sargsyan, S.H. Whitaker, D.B. Wright,
D. Xu, J.P. Ziker, V.Y. Ivanov, Earth’s Future 14 (2026).
das_tickbox: '1'
date_created: 2026-07-27T12:30:23Z
date_published: 2026-06-01T00:00:00Z
date_updated: 2026-08-06T09:02:33Z
day: '01'
doi: 10.1029/2026ef008857
extern: '1'
intvolume: ' 14'
issue: '6'
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
url: https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008857
month: '06'
oa: 1
oa_version: Published Version
publication: Earth's Future
publication_identifier:
eissn:
- 2328-4277
publication_status: published
publisher: American Geophysical Union
quality_controlled: '1'
scopus_import: '1'
status: public
title: Reimagining how flood warnings can inform decision‐making and community actions
tmp:
image: /images/cc_by.png
legal_code_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode
name: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (CC-BY 4.0)
short: CC BY (4.0)
type: journal_article
user_id: ba8df636-2132-11f1-aed0-ed93e2281fdd
volume: 14
year: '2026'
...