---
res:
  bibo_abstract:
  - Hydrologic and geomorphic responses of watersheds to changes in climate are difficult
    to assess due to projection uncertainties and nonlinearity of the processes that
    are involved. Yet such assessments are increasingly needed and call for mechanistic
    approaches within a probabilistic framework. This study employs an integrated
    hydrology‐geomorphology model, the Triangulated Irregular Network‐based Real‐time
    Integrated Basin Simulator (tRIBS)‐Erosion, to analyze runoff and erosion sensitivity
    of seven semiarid headwater basins to projected climate conditions. The Advanced
    Weather Generator is used to produce two climate ensembles representative of the
    historic and future climate conditions for the Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed
    located in the southwest U.S. The former ensemble incorporates the stochastic
    variability of the observed climate, while the latter includes the stochastic
    variability and the uncertainty of multimodel climate change projections. The
    ensembles are used as forcing for tRIBS‐Erosion that simulates runoff and sediment
    basin responses leading to probabilistic inferences of future changes. The results
    show that annual precipitation for the area is generally expected to decrease
    in the future, with lower hourly intensities and similar daily rates. The smaller
    hourly rainfall generally results in lower mean annual runoff. However, a non‐negligible
    probability of runoff increase in the future is identified, resulting from stochastic
    combinations of years with low and high runoff. On average, the magnitudes of
    mean and extreme events of sediment yield are expected to decrease with a very
    high probability. Importantly, the projected variability of annual sediment transport
    for the future conditions is comparable to that for the historic conditions, despite
    the fact that the former account for a much wider range of possible climate “alternatives.”
    This result demonstrates that the historic natural climate variability of sediment
    yield is already so high, that it is comparable to the variability for a projected
    and highly uncertain future. Additionally, changes in the scaling relationship
    between specific sediment yield/runoff and drainage basin area are detected.@eng
  bibo_authorlist:
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: A.
      foaf_name: Francipane, A.
      foaf_surname: Francipane
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: Simone
      foaf_name: Fatichi, Simone
      foaf_surname: Fatichi
      foaf_workInfoHomepage: http://www.librecat.org/personId=cf8e546b-a9b0-11f0-a43b-aa89ed1b56d6
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: V. Y.
      foaf_name: Ivanov, V. Y.
      foaf_surname: Ivanov
  - foaf_Person:
      foaf_givenName: L. V.
      foaf_name: Noto, L. V.
      foaf_surname: Noto
  bibo_doi: 10.1002/2014jf003232
  bibo_issue: '3'
  bibo_volume: 120
  dct_date: 2015^xs_gYear
  dct_isPartOf:
  - http://id.crossref.org/issn/2169-9003
  - http://id.crossref.org/issn/2169-9011
  dct_language: eng
  dct_publisher: American Geophysical Union@
  dct_title: Stochastic assessment of climate impacts on hydrology and geomorphology
    of semiarid headwater basins using a physically based model@
...