Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments

GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. 2026. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 18(1), e2024MS004576.

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Journal Article | Published | English

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Corresponding author has ISTA affiliation

Abstract
We have addressed convective self‐aggregation (CSA) in steady and oscillating sea surface temperature (SST) and solar radiation (SOLIN) cloud‐resolving model simulations in a non‐rotating radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE) framework. Our experiment designs are motivated by land‐ocean heterogeneity of atmospheric convection. The steady and oscillating forcings are idealizations of ocean and land conditions, respectively, based on their differences in heat capacities. In both kinds of simulations, the diurnal mean SST and SOLIN are the same, and both SST and SOLIN are only varied in time (i.e., they are spatially homogeneous at any given time). We find that diurnally oscillating forcing accelerates CSA. Stronger long‐wave cooling in dry regions at night and during the warm SST phase (late afternoon) both allow the long‐wave feedback, known to favor aggregation, to intensify compared to steady forcing simulations. In addition to the long‐wave, reduced short‐wave warming in dry regions (during the day) further enhances radiative cooling there compared to moist regions. Overall, the radiative cooling is enhanced in dry regions compared to neighboring moist convective regions. A dry subsidence is driven by this net radiative (short‐wave plus long‐wave) cooling, consistent with earlier work on CSA. Stronger radiative cooling allows stronger subsidence which allows low‐level circulation to more efficiently transport moisture and energy up‐gradient, driving convection to aggregate faster. We also note a sensitivity of our experimental setup to initial conditions, more so at warmer SST. This stochastic behavior might be critical in reconciling the differences of opinion regarding the response of convection aggregation to oscillating SST forcing.
Publishing Year
Date Published
2026-01-12
Journal Title
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Publisher
Wiley
Acknowledgement
The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (Project CLUSTER, Grant Agreement No. 805041). This research was supported by the Scientific Service Units (SSU) of ISTA through resources provided by Scientific Computing (SciComp). We are grateful to three anonymous reviewer(s) for their insightful suggestions that have improved the quality of our manuscript. Open Access funding provided by Institute of Science and Technology Austria/KEMÖ.
Acknowledged SSUs
Volume
18
Issue
1
Article Number
e2024MS004576
eISSN
IST-REx-ID

Cite this

GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 2026;18(1). doi:10.1029/2024ms004576
GOSWAMI, B. B., Lu, Z., & Muller, C. J. (2026). Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576
GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B, Ziyin Lu, and Caroline J Muller. “Convective Self‐aggregation in Diurnally Oscillating Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004576.
B. B. GOSWAMI, Z. Lu, and C. J. Muller, “Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 1. Wiley, 2026.
GOSWAMI BB, Lu Z, Muller CJ. 2026. Convective self‐aggregation in diurnally oscillating sea surface temperature and solar forcing experiments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 18(1), e2024MS004576.
GOSWAMI, BIDYUT B., et al. “Convective Self‐aggregation in Diurnally Oscillating Sea Surface Temperature and Solar Forcing Experiments.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 18, no. 1, e2024MS004576, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1029/2024ms004576.
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