Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes

Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. 2026. Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. 53(8), e2025GL119921.

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Journal Article | Published | English

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Author
Biagioli, Giovanni; Mandorli, Giulio; Freischem, Lilli Johanna; Casallas Garcia, AlejandroISTA ; Tompkins, Adrian Mark
Department
Abstract
Tropical shallow clouds are a major source of uncertainty in Earth's climate sensitivity, especially through their spatial arrangement, which global climate models do not represent. Efforts to understand their organization have partly relied on classifying observed scenes, identifying four patterns as archetypal regimes. Here we analyze geostationary satellite imagery of the western tropical Atlantic using the L‐function, a tool based on point pattern theory that quantifies cloud organization across spatial scales. Classical examples of the four patterns show distinct L‐function fingerprints, revealing their characteristic clustering and regularity scales and aiding physical interpretation. Yet, when evaluating many scenes at fixed spatial scales, the L‐function distribution lacks the distinct modes expected from discrete regimes. This is corroborated by analyses of other organization indices employing diverse approaches, from inter‐cloud nearest‐neighbor distances to fractal analysis. Implications for the parameterization of mesoscale cloud organization in climate models are discussed.
Publishing Year
Date Published
2026-04-28
Journal Title
Geophysical Research Letters
Publisher
Wiley
Acknowledgement
GB was supported by an ICTP Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Agreement. GM was supported by the CNRS. AC was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme Marie Sklodowska-Curie Grant agreement No 101034413. LJF acknowledges funding from the NERC Doctoral Training Partnership in Environmental Research Grant NE/S007474/1. We thank three anonymous reviewers and Jiawei Bao for their insightful comments, which greatly improved this manuscript.
Volume
53
Issue
8
Article Number
e2025GL119921
ISSN
eISSN
IST-REx-ID

Cite this

Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. 2026;53(8). doi:10.1029/2025gl119921
Biagioli, G., Mandorli, G., Freischem, L. J., Casallas Garcia, A., & Tompkins, A. M. (2026). Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921
Biagioli, Giovanni, Giulio Mandorli, Lilli Johanna Freischem, Alejandro Casallas Garcia, and Adrian Mark Tompkins. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes.” Geophysical Research Letters. Wiley, 2026. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl119921.
G. Biagioli, G. Mandorli, L. J. Freischem, A. Casallas Garcia, and A. M. Tompkins, “Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 53, no. 8. Wiley, 2026.
Biagioli G, Mandorli G, Freischem LJ, Casallas Garcia A, Tompkins AM. 2026. Spatial patterns of shallow clouds: Challenging the concept of defined regimes. Geophysical Research Letters. 53(8), e2025GL119921.
Biagioli, Giovanni, et al. “Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes.” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 53, no. 8, e2025GL119921, Wiley, 2026, doi:10.1029/2025gl119921.
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